Cobalt Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:17 AM, osfan24 said: I can't seem to get my mind off those earlier runs, so really anything that doesn't turn into something resembling that will be disappointing to me at this point, and especially if northeast of us gets hit hard. Expand What comes around goes around. Forgot who it was, but someone on this board in Winchester only has 0.8" as of now. We will get our fair share of snow this year, especially since cold air is in pretty large supply so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Gfs throws a new twist. The gulf shortwave was ejected from the baja ull. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:19 AM, losetoa6 said: NS energy holding back for storm 2 ...should be better Expand Storm after the storm and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Oh man that's close to a triple phase right there. All 3 streams trying to pull it all together. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:20 AM, C.A.P.E. said: Storm after the storm and stuff. Expand Like I said, we get 7 or 8 threats in the next 2-3 weeks. We hit on 3 or 4 of them. Many chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 H5 looks nice at 174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 GFS is cold too. Snowing while it's in low 20s/high teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Can definitely see the NS energy "pulling back" more to the west to dig in compared to the past two cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Heavy snow while in low-mid teens. I'd throw away the Friday event for this 10 times out of 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 The entire gfs solution hinges mostly on the SW that was ejected from the baja ull. Take that away and it's way different. Please let it be a real shortwave....it's the catalyst of a big event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Turns the corner @ 186 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 186 is in a decent spot near EGC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:25 AM, Bob Chill said: The entire gfs solution hinges mostly on the SW that was ejected from the baja ull. Take that away and it's way different. Please let it be a real shortwave....it's the catalyst of a big event. Expand What, you dont want a sheared out SW form the PAC northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Whoa! Happy New Year GFS!! Let’s reel that in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:22 AM, Bob Chill said: Oh man that's close to a triple phase right there. All 3 streams trying to pull it all together. Wow Expand Yup...and 180 is even more so in terms of close to that kind of phase. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 word......perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:24 AM, Cobalt said: Heavy snow while in low-mid teens. I'd throw away the Friday event for this 10 times out of 10 Expand Hell with that. We are going to do the snow on snow deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:26 AM, Interstate said: What, you dont want a sheared out SW form the PAC northwest Expand Nope. You want that little wave down by Corpus Christi. That's the thing to track on any future run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Sleep on that one. Merry Christmas to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 25, 2017 Author Share Posted December 25, 2017 Lucy puts the football back down for a 8-12” New Years party. Merry Christmas ya filthy animals! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:28 AM, high risk said: I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. Expand Yes, but this new years event has been a fixture for the past 3 runs. If anything, this has more potential then the Friday event. Also, that storm has more snow, so it must be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:28 AM, Bob Chill said: Nope. You want that little wave down by Corpus Christi. That's the thing to track on any future run. Expand Yes I know... I am just making fun of the SW that was supposed to be our savior for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:28 AM, high risk said: I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. Expand I have neither pride nor sense, so I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just for the sake of learning, @Bob Chill , what would you want for that D7 storm to produce even more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:24 AM, Cobalt said: Heavy snow while in low-mid teens. I'd throw away the Friday event for this 10 times out of 10 Expand Yeah, was just checking out the 2-m temperatures. Well into the teens through what would be the heavy stuff. Now, if this can only not go the way of the dodo, like this upcoming Friday, we'll be good, LOL! In all seriousness, the 28-30 and 31-Jan 1 period were both "highlighted" as possibilities. Models had varied as to which system to key in on for us. Seem to recall a couple days ago the Euro was aiming NYE/NYD, even as the GFS was still (at that time) hitting us with late this upcoming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Cmc has a similar albeit weaker one at the same time. Heh. Fantasy or is it real? Tune in every 6 hours for the next week and find out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:24 AM, Cobalt said: Heavy snow while in low-mid teens. I'd throw away the Friday event for this 10 times out of 10People also said they would punt the Christmas Eve event for the Thurs thru Sat prolonged HECS and, umm, yeah. I will take the nearest threat and never again rely on some uber fantasy past 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 On 12/25/2017 at 4:28 AM, high risk said: I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. I will not get suckered in again by amazing day 7 forecasts. Expand You do know the definition of insanity, I presume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Didn't Roger Smith call for a big snowstorm in our area around New Years in his seasonal forecast months ago? If so kudos to him. I could be wrong though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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