griteater Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 8 minutes ago, Jonathan said: grit, where are you getting the CMC so quickly? We knew this would happen with the GFS. Stormvista pumps it out quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC once again holds a similar solution and the GFS looks nothing like it did 6 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 00Z GFS picking up on what the CMC and EURO have been trying to tell it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC has frigid temps thoughout the SE as this bad boy bakes in he gulf. Love this look. Look that that High pressure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Stormvista pumps it out quick Dude CMC=bombs away. Great sign! Thanks for the update. Just viewed it now and there are some sick storm qpf totals showing up again. Wicked CAD signal too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS coming in with round 2 for new years eve... Lets see what it does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 One change on the otherwise wintry CMC is that it seems to shorten the event duration a bit. Can't see qpf but would suspect perhaps a bit lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: GFS coming in with round 2 for new years eve... Lets see what it does... Temps look good. Don't think 850's will hold on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS colder with the 2nd system looks like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, beanskip said: One change on the otherwise wintry CMC is that it seems to shorten the event duration a bit. Can't see qpf but would suspect perhaps a bit lower. QPF is much more across the SE on the new CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Here is the CMC precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, beanskip said: One change on the otherwise wintry CMC is that it seems to shorten the event duration a bit. Can't see qpf but would suspect perhaps a bit lower. Total qpf by hour 162. Just missed some sick qpf totals for the entire forum. http://wx.graphics/models/cmc/cmc.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Big Larry says no blocking, so HP would slide out correct? No mention of SE? LarryCosgrove @LarryCosgrove 1h1 hour ago More https://lnkd.in/eB6pjM7 WEATHERAmerica Newsletter is online! The potential for a significant snow and ice event looms for the Mid-Atlantic and New England regions around December 29 - 31. Lots of Arctic air, but little or no blocking signatures at high latitudes. Merry Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC wants to make NC an ice rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS showing another strong CAD signal for our New Years storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, beanskip said: One change on the otherwise wintry CMC is that it seems to shorten the event duration a bit. Can't see qpf but would suspect perhaps a bit lower. More precip on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Big Larry says no blocking, so HP would slide out correct? No mention of SE? LarryCosgrove @LarryCosgrove 1h1 hour ago More https://lnkd.in/eB6pjM7 WEATHERAmerica Newsletter is online! The potential for a significant snow and ice event looms for the Mid-Atlantic and New England regions around December 29 - 31. Lots of Arctic air, but little or no blocking signatures at high latitudes. Merry Christmas He needs to retire.... or be fired, embarrassing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS 540 line from far SW PA border to just south of DE-NJ border at 18Z all the way down to thru northern NC on OOZ valid at 18Z Sunday big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: QPF is much more across the SE on the new CMC. To wit, here is the 0z CMC at 6z Friday vs the 12z run. As you can see, it's all over in GA/upstate SC on the 0z, but still going on the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: He needs to retire.... or be fired, embarrassing. LOL -- any doubt a big storm is coming just erased. LC is the worst ice storm forecaster on the planet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC on bord with the EPS for frigid first week or so of January. Brrr das cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, beanskip said: To wit, here is the 0z CMC at 6z Friday vs the 12z run. As you can see, it's all over in GA/upstate SC on the 0z, but still going on the 12z. Trend GIF shows a good deal more precip across the entire SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, snowlover91 said: Trend GIF shows a good deal more precip across the entire SE. Definitely filled in that lee shadow in NC Guess it just wrings it all out faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, burrel2 said: He needs to retire.... or be fired, embarrassing. One would think after how bad we schooled him years ago he would have . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, beanskip said: LOL -- any doubt a big storm is coming just erased. LC is the worst ice storm forecaster on the planet. lol, Guess he hasn't notice there is a SE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: lol, Guess he hasn't notice there is a SE!! Like JB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, beanskip said: Definitely filled in that lee shadow in NC Guess it just wrings it all out faster. Yep a little stronger system and the precip falls faster. Still a solid 12-18 hour event it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 That is life threatning cold for people who lose power during this event as modeled on the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 6 minutes ago, shahroz98 said: Looks like no power for alot of us if this verifies As modeled it would be about 24 straight hours of sleet/ zr for many piedmont areas, not a good situation! While I would definitely take sleet over zr, all I would be thinking about is what could have been with snow instead. This setup looks pretty good for winter weather, but just remember everyone, this is still about five days out and what we are seeing now will most likely not be the final result. Massive changes could still be in-store. We have seen cases before with good general model concensus that turned out to be way off. Not trying to be negative, just keep it in perspective. Definitely be excited about the upcoming pattern though, best looking stretch we've had since at least 2010-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 8 minutes ago, Lookout said: One would think after how bad we schooled him years ago he would have . Lookout, I would love to hear your take on the upcoming potential, especially with regards to the NEGA / Upstate area that is so prone to icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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