WarmNose Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Move to banter if you will, but I think Santa Clause is about to bring the goods at 12z. NAM not so good at this range for details but great at picking up on new trends that can drastically effect our LR models. Think positive and Merry Christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 14 minutes ago, burrel2 said: I just want to point out, (not that it will be the case this time), but 96hrs out from our last event, the Euro showed zero precipitation in the mountains. Most models did except for the cmc and navgem. The jma, navgem, and the ensembles are amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 20 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The NAM is almost always the most amped so thats not good news for folks in NC hoping for snow or mix That use to be the case, not so much anymore. Really did well with previous storm here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huriken Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Could this be a Christmas miracle, perhaps?! Maybe the models will trend in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Doesn't look like the 12z GFS is going to have the 27th minor flurryfest, so that should make for a better 29th outcome, I hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Doesn't look like the 12z GFS is going to have the 27th minor flurryfest, so that should make for a better 29th outcome, I hope! GFS looks worse at 60...if that’s possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: GFS looks worse at 60...if that’s possible. Yea I deleted my comment. Guess it was just a ripple or spoke of energy. I thought maybe it was trying to get something going but.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: yea my bad guess I saw something that wasn’t there lmbo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: GFS looks worse at 60...if that’s possible. Yeah, it's about to drop a lump of coal into our dumpster fire! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Looks like the new GFS is picking up some of that trough over the baja region... allowing the flow to go more westerly/ southwesterly, I think this run will be slightly better than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 About to go boom at 72-78 I believe!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CummingGaSnow Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: About to go boom at 72-78 I believe!! Good! We need a good model run or two to pick us up from the dumps of yesterday. Bring on the winter precip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Dangerous 2m temps for ATL metro at 81 with a slug of moisture inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 yep ensemble precip will be interesting wonder if itll look like last night geps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Dangerous 2m temps for ATL metro at 81 with a slug of moisture inbound. I'd take 78 all day long! I'm getting snow, looks decent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: I'd take 78 all day long! I'm getting snow, looks decent! Thought it was over for you and partly cloudy? Hahahhaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 still looks pretty meh to me at 84. SC is getting light sleet/ZR nothing into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Thought it was over for you and partly cloudy? Hahahhaa 84 says, enjoy your event!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, wncsnow said: still looks pretty meh to me at 84. SC is getting light sleet/ZR nothing into NC Perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 grasping straws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Congrats to the SC and GA folks on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Congrats to the SC and GA folks on this run. Do tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 The big story with this "system" looks to be the ZR deep into the SC low country. .50 or more for places like orangeburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CummingGaSnow Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Congrats to the SC and GA folks on this run. Can someone post any maps of the best parts of the run? lol I need some eye candy after yesterday's letdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 GFS better this run. Focus on trends as opposed to output of one model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Not horrible at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Overall the 12z GFS ticked up with qpf and brought the low closer to the coast. Good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Thought it was over for you and partly cloudy? Hahahhaa The same guy 2 minutes before putting a lump of coal on the Dumpster FIRE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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