Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Looks a little flatter trajectory, but let's see where it goes Yea I rescinded what I said there. Spoke too soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, FallsLake said: Yep, next few frames will be telling. Didn’t continue to dig after I posted that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Tar Heel Snow said: Still shows a decent chunk of moisture at 108 It does but it is much more N/S dominant which is no bueno imo. Want to see the southern stream strong. Does pop the low near CHS this go around so hopefully it can get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Take a look at the forecast for Saranac Lake before and during this storm. Absolutely frigid. Usually if they are near or below zero the wedge will make it my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Lools similar to last nights EURO.. late bloomer and flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 At 114 the CAD looks to be stronger, deeper into GA and SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 72 CMC looks a lot like the last 84 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 For those bummed by the GFS...check out what the CMC just did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, HWY316wx said: At 114 the CAD looks to be stronger, deeper into GA and SC. That looks great! As good as last nights runs, IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Weaker than 6z. RDU would probably be the winner with a couple of inches of (actual) snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS looks good. We don't want it too amped or we'll be talking more ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: 72 CMC looks a lot like the last 84 NAM Somebody just got NAMd and CMCd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: For those bummed by the GFS...check out what the CMC just did CMC is all snow from I-20 north in Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS was a little better with the piece of energy then 0z run but it's also the 50/50 low is not lifting out. Any other winter that would start lifting out once inside day 3-4 and the NW trend commences. But, the Euro has been that way too. Either way, it looks like a major ice storm deep into GA/SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Whatever we gave up that run in QPF, we gained in ratios IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 12z GFS does not show the early 12/27 event. The placement of the SLP off shore and movement east northeast is almost perfect for central and eastern piedmont to get snow. SLP could even deepen some and still be ok with that vector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Somebody just got NAMd and CMCd! CMC says I am chasing snow SE of here...party at ColdRains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC was close to something even bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: CMC says I am chasing snow SE of here...party at ColdRains. I’ll be in raleigh singing O Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Happy hour with the CMC today...round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: CMC was close to something even bigger. I agree...I was actually a little disappointed with the end result after watching the 500 panels come in. It was close to being a major storm. Don't get me wrong, I'll take 4 inches of snow any day. Especially with what we've seen over the past winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: CMC was close to something even bigger. Don't want too amped! Could cause p type issues! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Yes please. 12z CMC or bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 12z Canadian is probably the best run this winter for MBY. Verbatim 2" on the 27th, another 5" on the 29th, then another 5-6" on Jan 2-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Uh oh...round two on the GFS coming in quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, SteveVa said: 12z Canadian is probably the best run this winter for MBY. Verbatim 2" on the 27th, another 5" on the 29th, then another 5-6" on Jan 2-3. Got another round day 10 coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Uh oh...round two on the GFS coming in quick. Cutter incoming! I'll be tired of snow and ice by then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 CMC round 1... This would be an ideal setup. Wave revs up late to avoid pulling a primary low up the TN valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Uh oh...round two on the GFS coming in quick. At hour 180 it looks like snow for N NC and ice southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 At hour 186 it looks like a potent winter storm for the up state SC to Charlotte to Raleigh northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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