Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that is one of the most bizarre things I've seen modeled Hurricane force gusts right off the south shore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Intense norlun feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 gfs wasn’t terrible for coast...very nice for nwct and Hudson Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: gfs wasn’t terrible for coast...very nice for nwct and Hudson Valley The 18z RGEM is mostly all rain until you get up into your area (Orange County). It has Rockland raining almost the whole event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The 18z RGEM is mostly all rain until you get up into your area (Orange County). It has Rockland raining almost the whole event Peek 850 and our LP... temps rise as LP slips wayyyy into W NY... LP on Coast doesn’t take over till Cape Cod on RGEM, I can’t see that happening... my opinion is rockland will stay all snow... I think CAD will also be undermodeled as usual and some will be surprised how south the Rain line stays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Temos in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 11 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Temos in NJ I'm 54 degrees imby...another pre Christmas torch...oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 And then we have NY state temps with a 19 in northern part of state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 And then we have NY state temps with a 19 in northern part of state.I love the graphics that look like NBC4 from 1992.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Took the bulk of the day to get the front through here. I was stuck in the mid 30s until 4:30 or so. Mid 40s now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Experimental has a 11pm start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Not sure what they say for your areas but I just checked and the weather channel says my area( NEW CITY ) gets mixing and about an inch total. Im not sure what they are looking at to come to this but I am leaning towards all snow,,,, but hey maybe I'm wrong. Curious to see what models spit out tonight and then its close to now casting and Santa ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 ...last gasp..last chance..twitter guys(inc. earthlight) mentioning a gravity wave swinging thru on christmas day..quick blast of ++S/gusty winds..lets hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Christmas Eve morning is here ! Ae we down to nowcasting ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 18 minutes ago, tim said: ...last gasp..last chance..twitter guys(inc. earthlight) mentioning a gravity wave swinging thru on christmas day..quick blast of ++S/gusty winds..lets hope. the 3km. NAM has been signaling a burst of snow here for the 9-12Z time since Friday We'll know soon enough if that comes to fruition but at least its something to keep an eye on. That's our only chance to get the ground whitened on the coast, but I would think everyone knows that by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Rather intense sunrise colors this morning. Temp is 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Rather intense sunrise colors this morning. Temp is 31. Red Sky in the Morning at MMU! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: This is certainly one of the more intense model forecasts for a gravity wave type winter squall. There was one event a few years back with wind gusts into the 60's out by Shinnecock Inlet. I was wondering if anyone can remember the date? I’m not sure if it was the event maybe 3 winters ago where parts of central Suffolk saw 4 inch per hour rates for about 20-30 minutes. It was around 7-9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 21 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I’m not sure if it was the event maybe 3 winters ago where parts of central Suffolk saw 4 inch per hour rates for about 20-30 minutes. It was around 7-9pm That was the end of December 2014 I think? That's what sticks out in my mind at least, had a squall here with pure whiteout lasted about 15 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Not sure if this is the event being talked about but Christmas Eve 2013 had heavy snow squalls move through between 5-7pm or so up here dropping 1-3”, with a couple spots around 4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 what is the start time for this ( Xmas Eve ),,,in Rockland anyways ? I saw one model had suggested around 11pm tonight ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 This storm was doomed from the beginning. As I’ve been saying all week, the temps will be very marginal at best, and the track will be one that favors New England over us. An inch or two, maybe 3 well inland and that’s about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: This storm was doomed from the beginning. As I’ve been saying all week, the temps will be very marginal at best, and the track will be one that favors New England over us. An inch or two, maybe 3 well inland and that’s about it. An inch or two is doomed? Jfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This storm was doomed from the beginning. As I’ve been saying all week, the temps will be very marginal at best, and the track will be one that favors New England over us. An inch or two, maybe 3 well inland and that’s about it. Not here... nice 2-4 on Christmas FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, BxEngine said: An inch or two is doomed? Jfc The coast won’t see even that much, and it’s a far cry from the 6”+ some were hyping during the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Not here... nice 2-4 on Christmas FTW I put your area in the maybe 3” category. I supposed you could get up to 4” though. Big difference between your location and 95% of the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This storm was doomed from the beginning. As I’ve been saying all week, the temps will be very marginal at best, and the track will be one that favors New England over us. An inch or two, maybe 3 well inland and that’s about it. the primary surviving all the way to Buffalo is lights out for NYC S and E. Also, not reallly alot of QPF until you get well into NE. A inch will be cool b/c it's xmas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 16 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: the primary surviving all the way to Buffalo is lights out for NYC S and E. Also, not reallly alot of QPF until you get well into NE. A inch will be cool b/c it's xmas.... Agreed. This one is over. Not only has the QPF been cut back but you have a warm boundary layer to start with, a primary low going to Lake Ontario and a secondary coastal transfer not happening until Cape Cod’s latitude. I’m doubting even an inch for my area, I think most of this is rain. If there is some wet snow, ratios will be horrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 hours ago, NJwx85 said: The coast won’t see even that much, and it’s a far cry from the 6”+ some were hyping during the week. Not that they'll admit it. Some were so confident we would at least get 1-3" from this so I went with them but they were wrong. It's a very minor bust but a bust regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 hours ago, bluewave said: The one that I remember was early in the morning. I believe the NWS may have issued a severe thunderstorm warning for it. January 2011 had that. We had a sleet thunderstorm in LB with winds gusting to 60ish. By far the heaviest sleet I have ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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