psuhoffman Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Omg. Northern stream closes off at 186. Most epic progression I've ever seen. Lock this up and I don't care if we torch from Jan 10 to next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Our region kicks everyone's a$$... longest duration ever. No way this happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Look at those freaking temps about to flood in at the end https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2017122300&fh=198&xpos=0&ypos=14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 The firggen Great Lakes Low keeps the snow going. I've never seen it work out this way, but the low is still above MSLP this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 No capture. Only thing missing. If there was a phase/capture/bowling ball overhead it would have beeb 4' of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Crazy run. Mountains are still snowing Sunday morning with upslope snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Finally out of here by 12z Sunday. Nearly 66 hour snowfall. Pretty amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Blocking and a 50/50 low. Remove those factors and the high would retreat. Glad this high is bringing backup for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: Lock this up and I don't care if we torch from Jan 10 to next winter. Surprise neg nao...was this forecasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Omg. Northern stream closes off at 186. Most epic progression I've ever seen. There are literally no words right now. I keep looking at H5 vort panels to see if I'm seeing this correctly. You got to love seeing multiple ways to get hit in this setup. Finally get some blocking and a solid 50/50 position. I still think we have a ways to go with evolution through the weekend, but we should have a better clue by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: And 186 and 192.... this run is just, well no words. 48 hours of cold snow. It's as if someone gave me some markers and let me draw up this run. Starts at 144 and still snowing for all at 204. That’s 60+..... my God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Lock this up and I don't care if we torch from Jan 10 to next winter. The big ones are sniffed out early. We've seen a few in recent years. Cmc almost gave us a foot and it seems small. Lol. Madness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: The big ones are sniffed out early. We've seen a few in recent years. Cmc almost gave us a foot and it seems small. Lol. Madness. This is the kind of pattern where the atmosphere could fart and mid-Atlantic would see a legit storm. Lol In all seriousness, this has what’s been depicted for several days of OP/ensembles...many different solutions but all provide some type of snow/mixed storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Check out those temps afterwards well below 0 in Tennessee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Starts at 144 and still snowing for all at 204. That’s 60+..... my God. 138 here. 138 - 200 here...WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Omg. Northern stream closes off at 186. Most epic progression I've ever seen. t may be onto something. The Euro did close to the same with the Great Lakes low at 12z too, remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Save this run, it's a masterpiece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 60 hour event but only 2-2.5qpf. That's disappointing. I guess never going above 25 the whole time makes up for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, Amped said: Save this run, it's a masterpiece. Jan 2016 had some epic runs... But this is the best long duration I have ever seen... Never seen anything like it. Ever.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 60 hour event but only 2-2.5qpf. That's disappointing. I guess never going above 25 the whole time makes up for it 2 feet is okay with me I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Here's H5 for posterity purposes. The evolution of the northern stream leading to the interaction with the southern vort is a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: t may be onto something. The Euro did close to the same with the Great Lakes low at 12z too, remember Sure seems like a nuke is on the table for someone. It's not even fantasyland when you can see the setup/progression starting at hr96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 So is the GFS a stone cold assassin now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 60 hour event but only 2-2.5qpf. That's disappointing. I guess never going above 25 the whole time makes up for it Wouldn't that still be like 12"-18" though? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Wouldn't that still be like 12"-18" though? Lol More like around 2 feet if this run was correct and 10:1 SRs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Wouldn't that still be like 12"-18" though? Lol High ratio on this one. Great column and copious moisture. 20-30"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I think GFS just progged Richmond's heaviest snowfall ever, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Hey guys...storm develops Tuesday in the gulf per gfs. Tuesday not that far awaySent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The big ones are sniffed out early. We've seen a few in recent years. Cmc almost gave us a foot and it seems small. Lol. Madness. Yea and I'd imagine that's because the big ones usually accompany a classic pattern. We can fluke our way to a 4-8" snowstorm. Even a 6-12" once in a blue moon. But the HECS events usually require the textbook pattern setup and so the models can see it easier. There aren't a lot of flaws. This pattern might fit that bill. 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Surprise neg nao...was this forecasted? No. 5 days ago there wasn't even a -AO on the guidance. That's when things looked ok but nothing eye popping. Then the epo ridge just kept trending into a ridge bridge and eventually became a complete high latitude ridge encompassing the epo/ao/nao domain. Ironically right after bob said how difficult that would be to happen. But that's how it goes. Typically a -nao pops up at day 10 or inside even so this is standard. It's believable because the major pattern drivers are only 3 days away from being in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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