RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro FTW. No changes interior areas. Actually hooks up BOS Expand It was worse for you but keep dreaming, hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:07 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It was worse for you but keep dreaming, hard. Expand Not really worse for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Whatever snow does fall will stick easily to the frozen and ice covered ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Euro was fine for many. Smidge warmer than 00z but still pretty cold. Pins the CF at 128. Euro actually throws a little CCB at the very tail end from N CT to S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:07 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It was worse for you but keep dreaming, hard. Expand Seriously you need to stop. No it wasn’t . It’s a 5-6” snowfall in my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:09 PM, JC-CT said: Not really worse for him. Expand We’ll have to rely on the backside stinger to accumulate quickly. 2-4” is our call nw of 84 with 1-2” se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:11 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro was fine for many. Smidge warmer than 00z but still pretty cold. Pins the CF at 128. Euro actually throws a little CCB at the very tail end from N CT to S NH. Expand ORH- fast moving? idea end time ASH area? 6pm? later? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:14 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ll have to rely on the backside stinger to accumulate quickly. 2-4” is our call nw of 84 with 1-2” se. Expand Reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Seriously you need to stop. No it wasn’t . It’s a 5-6” snowfall in my area Expand I see this getting ugly later with snowfall vs not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Seriously you need to stop. No it wasn’t . It’s a 5-6” snowfall in my area Expand Noise really, i suppose, though it ticked warmer.....but pick the snowiest solution and go go go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:14 PM, 512high said: ORH- fast moving? idea end time ASH area? 6pm? later? thanks Expand Pretty much done by 11-12 in ash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:15 PM, JC-CT said: Reasonable Expand That's good without traveling headaches. I'm worried about the existing ice combined with new snow. This could break the pines/spruce around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Seriously you need to stop. No it wasn’t . It’s a 5-6” snowfall in my area Expand Hammer the under on 5”... I’d say more like 2”... max 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:24 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Expand Validation for Kevin if it verifies. Even gives me enough to keep me happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:23 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hammer the under on 5”... I’d say more like 2”... max 3” Expand We know his game by now. No one is trying to steal his snow but God almighty everything is higher and bigger and more damaging. Here is 0z run, clearly 12z is worse for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:27 PM, weathafella said: Validation for Kevin if it verifies. Even gives me enough to keep me happy. Expand About 3" for you. Still gotta watch the ending for a 1-2 hour surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:30 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We know his game by now. No one is trying to steal his snow but God almighty everything is higher and bigger and more damaging. Here is 0z run, clearly 12z is worse for CT. Expand Splitting hairs though. What is the difference? Like 0.05 of qpf as snow for his area? Made a bigger difference to his south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 3:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: ORH 6-8” Gay 6-8” BDL 4-7” BOS to PVD 2-4” Expand KGNX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:27 PM, weathafella said: Validation for Kevin if it verifies. Even gives me enough to keep me happy. Expand It’s a worse look for CT overall and the trend for a stronger primary is pretty evident. Another nudge nw tonight and it’s american models ftw. This will be a nowcast event along 84 and Boston, for sure. If we can cool the mid levels quickly i feel good about waking up in a joyful spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:30 PM, ORH_wxman said: About 3" for you. Still gotta watch the ending for a 1-2 hour surprise. Expand That’s what I saw as well-although the front end before the mid levels and 925 warms is improving and flying under the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:32 PM, Ginx snewx said: KGNX? Expand 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: Splitting hairs though. What is the difference? Like 0.05 of qpf as snow for his area? Made a bigger difference to his south. Expand Thats the point, it really tighten up along 84 so there isnt much more room for error for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:33 PM, weathafella said: That’s what I saw as well-although the front end before the mid levels and 925 warms is improving and flying under the radar. Expand Yep. I mentioned that to Scott earlier. Front end is cooling on all guidance. It makes sense. Look at the high and look at the dew points and wind direction this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:23 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hammer the under on 5”... I’d say more like 2”... max 3” Expand For Kevin? He’ll do better than 2 or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yep. I mentioned that to Scott earlier. Front end is cooling on all guidance. It makes sense. Look at the high and look at the dew points and wind direction this afternoon. Expand Yeah even HRRR has it. Might be able to grab a bit here before the taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yep. I mentioned that to Scott earlier. Front end is cooling on all guidance. It makes sense. Look at the high and look at the dew points and wind direction this afternoon. Expand Couple of minor things, front end might overproduce, being at night those on the very edge might have a tiny advantage. Any thumping will be snow despite a 33 degree surface. I think this will come down to dynamics for those sitting on the edge. FYI Euro was 2 mb deeper offshore the Cape and a half degree or so colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:37 PM, CoastalWx said: For Kevin? He’ll do better than 2 or 3. Expand What's Enfield looking like for snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: Couple of minor things, front end might overproduce, being at night those on the very edge might have a tiny advantage. Any thumping will be snow despite a 33 degree surface. I think this will come down to dynamics for those sitting on the edge. FYI Euro was 2 mb deeper offshore the Cape and a half degree or so colder. Expand Yeah dynamics will matter a ton. The warm nose aloft too is pretty thin and centered more near 850. An under performing storm to me is going to be because of weak dynamics and rates and less because it tracks further west than advertised. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 6:43 PM, Sugarloaf1989 said: What's Enfield looking like for snowfall? Expand I feel like a good 3-5 there..maybe outside shot 6”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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