moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 11:49 AM, powderfreak said: I like 4-6" up here on 0.4" QPF... the wildcard is always the ratios. It's almost better to forecast the QPF and let the ratios and snow totals end where they end. Expand qpf or bust, I always say. 29.6* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Euro is a Christmas miracle, but not sure I believe it around BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro is a Christmas miracle, but not sure I believe it around BOS. Expand I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it far Expand The RGEM was getting trashed last night as being wrong in recent events, wouldn't use it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it far Expand Yeah I know. Tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Merry Christmas(eve) to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it far Expand Just a lot of meh for my area. Small bit of snow then a bit of sleet then riding the rsin train. Good thing that I don't invest much time and energy into this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Meanwhile, respect the cold next week. I'm liking the 7* high on Thursday on my p/c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:18 PM, powderfreak said: The RGEM was getting trashed last night as being wrong in recent events, wouldn't use it now. Expand It looks like you will get smoked for a few hours from the forcing of the UL support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:18 PM, powderfreak said: The RGEM was getting trashed last night as being wrong in recent events, wouldn't use it now. Expand You can't trust a model that isn't giving you snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:21 PM, Cold Miser said: Just a lot of meh for my area. Small bit of snow then a bit of sleet then riding the rsin train. Good thing that I don't invest much time and energy into this. Expand 1-3" for you. You'll have a 3-4 hour period of accumulating snow.. As will Ginx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it far Expand BOX is there with you and your 4-8 in inland areas. It has you on the low end of that, but it's consistent with the range you put out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 BOX call looks reasonable. Gonna be a good hit north of pike and near 495 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:30 PM, CoastalWx said: BOX call looks reasonable. Gonna be a good hit north of pike and near 495 for sure. Expand It's too bad this is trucking along like it is. A bit slower would help all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:21 PM, moneypitmike said: Meanwhile, respect the cold next week. I'm liking the 7* high on Thursday on my p/c. Expand Looking at lows up here in the -10 to -15 range Weds thru Friday, Real man cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Its a general 6-10" statewide with some lolis to 12" in a lot of places, Mountains should do well as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Boy there is a massive...massive discrepancy with low level temps from guidance. RGEM,NAM,GFS all throw the 32F line padt Hubbdave. Euro keeps it near BOS..so does the WRF ARW-NMM stuff. Huge difference in weather. Wow. I toss anything warming Hubby past 32. One thing in our favor..we have a stout high which will help prevent all out furnace. But man oh man...that is a tough call. We hope, we pray, we want to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:33 PM, dryslot said: Looking at lows up here in the -10 to -15 range Weds thru Friday, Real man cold. Expand Yeah--even my p/c at Pit2 which is literally 2' from the water is -8*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:35 PM, dryslot said: Its a general 6-10" statewide with some lolis to 12" in a lot of places, Mountains should do well as usual.We takeSent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:00 PM, Lava Rock said: We take Sent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Expand Riding should be really good after this next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:02 PM, dryslot said: Riding should be really good after this next one. Expand That's good.....I'm not feeling next weekend will do any more than than graze James and keep us with cool temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Boy there is a massive...massive discrepancy with low level temps from guidance. RGEM,NAM,GFS all throw the 32F line padt Hubbdave. Euro keeps it near BOS..so does the WRF ARW-NMM stuff. Huge difference in weather. Wow. I toss anything warming Hubby past 32. One thing in our favor..we have a stout high which will help prevent all out furnace. But man oh man...that is a tough call. We hope, we pray, we want to believe. Expand Go with Swiss Miss for temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1-2” looks reasonable along 84 corridor with 2-4” closer to the border. Just whiten the ground in the morning, one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:15 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 1-2” looks reasonable along 84 corridor with 2-4” closer to the border. Just whiten the ground in the morning, one time. Expand I'd go 3-5. A little to start then; meager rates if/when it taints; and then an hour or so of sn+ before a hard stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:07 PM, moneypitmike said: That's good.....I'm not feeling next weekend will do any more than than graze James and keep us with cool temps. Expand Jury is still out on that one, But could squashed south of here, Ice should be safe after next week everywhere, Going to be doing some Riding, Ice fishing and Smelting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 12:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I can't believe so many forecasts are using the GFS for this. Euro has been steadfast, Reggie colder,, Even your Swiss model flips you to snow. Toss US . Toss it farYa seems like most CT Mets are going all in on the warner solutions. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:26 PM, WintersComing said: Ya seems like most CT Mets are going all in on the warner solutions. . Expand Euro on its own, for a favorable solution, has usually lead to meltdowns around here. Have to see the upstream look later today and nowcast where Santa is tracking. I dont trust the rgem lately, but it doesnt even look that good for anyone south of the CT mountains either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:33 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro on its own, for a favorable solution, has usually lead to meltdowns around here. Have to see the upstream look later today and nowcast where Santa is tracking. I dont trust the rgem lately, but it doesnt even look that good for anyone south of the CT mountains either. Expand CT mountains? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:26 PM, WintersComing said: Ya seems like most CT Mets are going all in on the warner solutions. . Expand Only worthy channel is NBC 30 and they have 3-6”. But it depends which met is on lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 On 12/24/2017 at 1:42 PM, moneypitmike said: CT mountains? lol Expand They consider the Poconos as ‘mountains’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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