OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, Lava Rock said: How come York cty and southern NH get WSW, but north of there only WWA? The watch is for the area we think still has a shot at 6" of snow. The advisory is for areas where we are pretty confident it will stay sub-warning snowfall, but because our neighbors all went with advisories already for Saturday, we kind of needed to fill in the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Do you really think so or are you embellishing? Just wondering if I should stock up on some water and gas for the generator. I think your area is in trouble yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: The watch is for the area we think still has a shot at 6" of snow. The advisory is for areas where we are pretty confident it will stay sub-warning snowfall, but because our neighbors all went with advisories already for Saturday, we kind of needed to fill in the map. so despite being further south and possible more precip issues then north, is the reason they may get more snow due to greater storm intensity there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The watch is for the area we think still has a shot at 6" of snow. The advisory is for areas where we are pretty confident it will stay sub-warning snowfall, but because our neighbors all went with advisories already for Saturday, we kind of needed to fill in the map. I thought the threshold for NNE was 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Expecting a wintry event in BOS area. I respect the tuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Expecting a wintry event in BOS area. I respect the tuck. Lunenburg is going to be a mess. 19* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: so despite being further south and possible more precip issues then north, is the reason they may get more snow due to greater storm intensity there? The snow focus Friday is definitely southern NH. Saturday could be a whole different story, but we're treating the two events as separate, because there will be a noticeable break up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I thought the threshold for NNE was 7". CAR has a 7" threshold, and the LES belts (BUF, BGM, ALY) 7" is the threshold, but BTV and GYX are 6". To further complicate headline decisions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: The snow focus Friday is definitely southern NH. Saturday could be a whole different story, but we're treating the two events as separate, because there will be a noticeable break up this way. Will the onset be "fluff" and then turn heavy towards nightfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Lunenburg is going to be a mess. 19* Why? They should stay all snow through Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, 512high said: Will the onset be "fluff" and then turn heavy towards nightfall? I'm not sure it ever gets "heavy," but there could be a few bursts of around 0.5"/hr stuff Friday afternoon/early evening. I'm leaning towards better than climo ratios anyway. Mainly just a light to moderate, efficient snowfall event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3km NAM as usual going nuts with topography. But still has a huge area of greater than 0.5" QPF in the Adirondack/Lake George/Saratoga region into central and southern VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm not sure it ever gets "heavy," but there could be a few bursts of around 0.5"/hr stuff Friday afternoon/early evening. I'm leaning towards better than climo ratios anyway. Mainly just a light to moderate, efficient snowfall event. Yeah I expect like 3" of snowfall out of 9 hours of steady snow...that type of event. All in all not that different from the event the other day where it snowed all day long and into the night for about 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 44 minutes ago, WintersComing said: 18z NAM stays below freezing the whole event in SNE ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? I corrected that statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 So, is there still an icing threat for S ORH county and N CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Gfs looks like a serious ice event. Due north winds in Ern MA at 18z saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Bring 'em down, down to the ground, all around, hearing that cracking sound, not a light on to be found. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks like a serious ice event. Due north winds in Ern MA at 18z saturday Yeah... ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 can one infer colder east to be 'sleetier' west or is it warm aloft for all? I really don't want an ice issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: How come York cty and southern NH get WSW, but north of there only WWA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: can one infer colder east to be 'sleetier' west or is it warm aloft for all? I really don't want an ice issues. I'm not convinced on that. The deeper cold air is NE not NW, so there is a better chance to retain enough surface cold to refreeze the farther NE you are. In my opinion right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 I'm kind of hoping to not see 0.30"+ ice accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm kind of hoping to not see 0.30"+ ice accretion. I feel like I'm usually good around here up through a half inch of ZR. It's after that point I've run into problems. Probably pretty similar to you I would think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 This is getting good. Really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I feel like I'm usually good around here up through a half inch of ZR. It's after that point I've run into problems. Probably pretty similar to you I would think? 0.50" is a bigger problem, But i don't like any ice in this instance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is getting good. Really good Doesn't look terribly exciting in the Tolland Hills. Maybe a tenth of an inch of ice? Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Doesn't look terribly exciting in the Tolland Hills. Maybe a tenth of an inch of ice? Meh. Lol. Everything pointing to 1/2” accretion here . Colder here than valley if Euro right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. Everything pointing to 1/2” accretion here . Colder here than valley if Euro right Actually nothing is. But keep on spinning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, CT Rain said: Actually nothing is. But keep on spinning! Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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