ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:12 PM, OceanStWx said: I do think we may have overshot snow amounts for today. Near a foot seems like a tough ask. Expand Gonna have to go at least an inch per hour to get there in those spots. Though that stuff coming out of NY state is starting to look pretty good. Still hoping for a burst down here after 3-4pm...at least re-cover some of the bare spots before the ZR moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:12 PM, OceanStWx said: I do think we may have overshot snow amounts for today. Near a foot seems like a tough ask. Expand This was my first thought when I saw the NWS Gray account tweet their snow map. Was shocked to see 7" for myself in Nashua. I've been telling people 2-4". But would love to hear the rational for higher total. I don't get to do much forecasting anymore so I'm very rusty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:12 PM, OceanStWx said: I do think we may have overshot snow amounts for today. Near a foot seems like a tough ask. Expand Well lets see what the batch of heavy echoes just coming into WNH does. If the snow growth is good and ratios are high, we could have a great burst hear near dendrite from maybe 1-5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:17 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: This was my first thought when I saw the NWS Gray account tweet their snow map. Was shocked to see 7" for myself in Nashua. I've been telling people 2-4". But would love to hear the rational for higher total. I don't get to do much forecasting anymore so I'm very rusty. Expand Models have been rock steady actually on a sharp cut off somewhere in those southern NH counties. The jackpot has been modeled in a band around Dendrite (what else is new?) for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:18 PM, mahk_webstah said: Well lets see what the batch of heavy echoes just coming into WNH does. If the snow growth is good and ratios are high, we could have a great burst hear near dendrite from maybe 1-5? Expand Yeah, I always liked that area to go over 6" but I still think 12" will be tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:23 PM, OceanStWx said: Yeah, I always liked that area to go over 6" but I still think 12" will be tough. Expand 6z NAM had 1” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:08 PM, moneypitmike said: I define GC as the furthest west zones in BOX's CWA. Expand What do GC stand for anyway? I think I have an idea of what it is, but I want someone to confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 God's country someone should start a definition thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Geezus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:43 PM, Ginx snewx said: Geezus Expand Congrats real hills of CT Congrats real interior SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:47 PM, JC-CT said: Congrats real hills of CT Congrats real interior SNE Expand Map looks pretty close to my thoughts this morning but you woke up angry, Hope you are well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:32 PM, Bostonseminole said: God's country someone should start a definition thread Expand whoosh Last we checked God created more than just wma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:56 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Map looks pretty close to my thoughts this morning but you woke up angry, Hope you are well. Expand They make good cheese. Not sure how they do with NWP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:57 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: whoosh Last we checked God created more than just wma. Expand We might want to double check with Zeus on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:43 PM, Ginx snewx said: Geezus Expand We hunker down and charge devices and wait . Icestorm imminent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Sleeting in Ledyard 33 when I left, 31 and snowing here in Ballouville at Mom in laws nursing home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Brief snow here now over to freezing drizzle, 31F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We hunker down and charge devices and wait . Icestorm imminent Expand That is about 0.2" for your hood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:27 PM, JC-CT said: That is about 0.2" for your hood? Expand That green over Putnam which has little elevation was meant to be over elevated Tolland county up to Union etc. whomever programmed the data misinterpreted the geography Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That green over Putnam which has little elevation was meant to be over elevated Tolland county up to Union etc. whomever programmed the data misinterpreted the geography Expand Lol I gotta give you credit for creativity. That green is over union. https://weather.us/model-charts/newengland/connecticut/acc-precipitation-ice/20171225-1100z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Ripping big fluffies here at the Pit, vis well below 1/2 mile. 18.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That green over Putnam which has little elevation was meant to be over elevated Tolland county up to Union etc. whomever programmed the data misinterpreted the geography Expand I actually think it's showing cold trapped in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We hunker down and charge devices and wait . Icestorm imminent Expand Is that actually rain with the 2m temp <32? If so, that's not the total accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:34 PM, CT Rain said: I actually think it's showing cold trapped in the valley. Expand Looks like downslope from northeast off ORH hills screws him while the valley stays more northerly drain. Bring up the temps in Tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:44 PM, ORH_wxman said: Looks like downslope from northeast off ORH hills screws him while the valley stays more northerly drain. Bring up the temps in Tolland? Expand Bring 'em up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:46 PM, CT Rain said: Bring 'em up! Expand BTW, 44F in BDR and 38F at HVN right now....wow! We were kind of skeptical they'd warm that much this early in talking last night, but they are relatively torchy. Gotta wonder how bad it might be down there later tonight? That could be a total shocker. HVN looks like a better spot for the cold tuck, but even BDR...or at least near it...could get a flash freeze. Still a lot of model spread though...these are always ugly forecasts. Small changes with such huge consequences in sensible wx. Some guidance doesn't really cool it down much while others are going for upper 20s down there. The cold is available there to drain just north of BDL right now...it's like mid 20s BAF with dews in the teens. Just a matter if it can be transported all the way down the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: BTW, 44F in BDR and 38F at HVN right now....wow! We were kind of skeptical they'd warm that much this early in talking last night, but they are relatively torchy. Gotta wonder how bad it might be down there later tonight? That could be a total shocker. HVN looks like a better spot for the cold tuck, but even BDR...or at least near it...could get a flash freeze. Still a lot of model spread though...these are always ugly forecasts. Small changes with such huge consequences in sensible wx. Some guidance doesn't really cool it down much while others are going for upper 20s down there. The cold is available there to drain just north of BDL right now...it's like mid 20s BAF with dews in the teens. Just a matter if it can be transported all the way down the valley. Expand That easterly component today got it done. Once winds back to more northerly they should be able to drop quickly. I think the saving grace is that there's really very little precip around until late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 31 in the Wey with some very light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: BTW, 44F in BDR and 38F at HVN right now....wow! We were kind of skeptical they'd warm that much this early in talking last night, but they are relatively torchy. Gotta wonder how bad it might be down there later tonight? That could be a total shocker. HVN looks like a better spot for the cold tuck, but even BDR...or at least near it...could get a flash freeze. Still a lot of model spread though...these are always ugly forecasts. Small changes with such huge consequences in sensible wx. Some guidance doesn't really cool it down much while others are going for upper 20s down there. The cold is available there to drain just north of BDL right now...it's like mid 20s BAF with dews in the teens. Just a matter if it can be transported all the way down the valley. Expand Dropping here .Down to 25.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 7:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That green over Putnam which has little elevation was meant to be over elevated Tolland county up to Union etc. whomever programmed the data misinterpreted the geography Expand Seriously though...How can you just re-draw a map, moving the results where you want them to be? C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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