RogueWaves Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 hour ago, DAFF said: Need we remind of the last system which formed out of nothing for DTX... This winter is far from over and there will be more snow. Pretty sure he meant for "useful amounts and conditions". We scored the official white Christmas a year ago. Let's advance a bit from that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 38 minutes ago, DAFF said: Need we remind of the last system which formed out of nothing for DTX... This winter is far from over and there will be more snow. From an astronomical perspective it hasn't started...starts tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 06Z GFS came in even more suppressed and south. Seems like the CMC may have scored a victory after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 12z Nam close to 06z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 12z GGEM was an incredible run for IN/OH especially the southern halfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 7 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Lol you said that several weeks back before we got over a foot of snow from a few clippers. I do see your mindset of the bigger the better, but it seems that with this particular setup we benefit from a weaker system in terms of snow potential. Stronger would go further west, no? We literally are the only place that got hit with both clippers, look around yourself besides metro Detroit. We got incredibly lucky. And no a stronger system doesn't necessarily mean further west, it depends when phasing would occur, right now though there is no phasing just Southern stream energy being obliterated because the Northern stream is too strong. Also when I made that declaration the polar vortex was going to end up near or on top of us which is normally bad for systems into this region even clippers, we got lucky that it ended up to our northeast and that we were able to get 2 clippers to come down the back side of it, though the 2nd storm was of Pacific origin as it came ashore in Central BC. Only the first system was a true clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 MKX came out with the snow predictions for the storm. We are going to get a grand total of *drumroll* 3 inches.... * sighs* Well, no Madison special this time. :C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 13 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: MKX came out with the snow predictions for the storm. We are going to get a grand total of *drumroll* 3 inches.... * sighs* Well, no Madison special this time. :C This is actually more than what the models are showing for southern Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 MKX came out with the snow predictions for the storm. We are going to get a grand total of *drumroll* 3 inches.... * sighs* Well, no Madison special this time. :CBowling Green, Kentucky will do better than you with this suppressed mess.Good news for you is that you can get a decent snow around memorial day.Sent from my SM-G925T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 hours ago, blackrock said: This is actually more than what the models are showing for southern Wisconsin. Really? huh. Next time I really should look at the models more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Dusting this afternoon. Now a whiff to the north before tomorrow's whiff to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 In Iowa, the NAM, Canadian and GFS have all returned to placing 1-2 inch snow totals in most of central iowa except the far south again, which is a departure from the last 1.5 days of model runs. This is interesting because the NWS DSM is sticking to their ice-only forecast. Perhaps they are just going with what is most dangerous at the moment despite a trend toward snow again, because likely there will still be some ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 00z NAM looks like it may come north for Fri-Sat. Southern wave more intense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 I'm supposed to be driving to western Iowa Friday for Christmas with family. Might have to bump those plans up if this is still showing in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 End of the 3km NAM showing some heavy freezing rain in southern Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3km NAM depicting some grass-covering back-end action over MBY. Yeah, like THAT always verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 11 hours ago, harrisale said: End of the 3km NAM showing some heavy freezing rain in southern Ontario. Looking solid for 4-6", locally 8" across the GTA tonight into tomorrow afternoon. In regards to the freezing rain, potential is definitely there, however we will have to monitor the amount of CAD we can bring in with the HP to the north. Surface temperatures and temperatures at 700mb look to remain solidly below freezing. A very thin layer of warmth is possible at 850mb, which may create the risk of freezing rain especially near the lake Saturday morning before it transitions back to snow (1-3"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 18z NAM is stronger and slower with the Friday/Saturday storm. Would have thought it would have pulled in more cold air on the backside but didn't seem to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Amped NAM run. Feels like old times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Amped NAM run. Feels like old times. NW trender makes sense with the warm regime still in effect when that wave turns the corner. Cold pushing is delayed. Those over-amped GFS runs that IWX bought into..well let's just say lesson learned on that SWS. A little more NAMage and you're in the game. I like my chances. Any bump north and I could get a really nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 5 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: NW trender makes sense with the warm regime still in effect when that wave turns the corner. Cold pushing is delayed. Those over-amped GFS runs that IWX bought into..well let's just say lesson learned on that SWS. A little more NAMage and you're in the game. I like my chances. Any bump north and I could get a really nice surprise. To be fair, it wasn't just the GFS that went big on the cold. The EC/GEM were advertising that ridiculous surface high right after Christmas as well. As far as this system, not holding my breath but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Getting some spits of drizzle the past several hours. Temps well above freezing though, so no problems on the roads around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 hours ago, RogueWaves said: NW trender makes sense with the warm regime still in effect when that wave turns the corner. Cold pushing is delayed. Those over-amped GFS runs that IWX bought into..well let's just say lesson learned on that SWS. A little more NAMage and you're in the game. I like my chances. Any bump north and I could get a really nice surprise. I'll give it a 2% chance of happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, Powerball said: I'll give it a 2% chance of happening. They way every model has been waffling all over the place, i'd say it has about the same chance as anything else verifying. Clearly, the models are struggling, and seem to play catch up at the last minute. That being said, I see your 2% and raise you 5%, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Here so far not much of anything has fallen. Temps are just now beginning to freeze in DSM. Models continue however to plot a solid inch of snow here but NWS DSM is mostly all about the thin and dangerous layer of ice from freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Getting some sleet at the moment. It's actually somewhat uplifting, as it's a form of frozen precip falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 6 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Getting some sleet at the moment. It's actually somewhat uplifting, as it's a form of frozen precip falling from the sky. Finally ended the records for latest first measurable snowfall in second place and longest streak of no measurable snow in third place. This frozen precip is neat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Measured 4.6" before heading out this morning. Ended up on the lower end of what was predicted as the system didn't materialize as expected. However, a nice winter wonderland outside. Let it snow! On the bright side, the office closes at 12 today so I get to go home early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Looking out the window here in Madison WI I say, "what winter storm?" Ground is bare. No white Christmas for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 5 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Looking out the window here in Madison WI I say, "what winter storm?" Ground is bare. No white Christmas for us. It's depressing considering what could've been for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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