wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 27 minutes ago, swva said: Close to showing me some love before I leave. Still gives me 2-4” with ratios. Interested to see what RGEM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 GB is producing but very localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Pulaski special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 You know how you can tell this tiresome clipper track is etched in stone? ERIE. 100 Miles S and it woulda been Roc. 100 Miles N and it woulda been Buf. Trends exist and take a steam roller to break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 NBC - 3 Just called for 6-12” here tomorrow afternoon - 7am Tuesday. Someone is going to be wrong. LOL KBUF vs NBC3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Gfs is giving roc foot of snow for end of week onto weekend from lake effect. Won' be hard to do work 30 to 1 ratios. O noticed the 7 inches at roc and was only .2 tenths of a inch. Gfs is giving .33 when it shuts off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Tomorrow looks like a advisory for monroe county. Thinking 3 to 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Happy New Years!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Happy New Year all and may 2018 be a prosperous and snowy yr for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Happy New Year everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Happy New Year! Go Bills!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Storm for end of week has me intrigued. Almost same type of set up as march of last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: THE BILLS ARE IN THE PLAYOFFS!! Let’s go buffalo!!!!!! Bills in the playoffs more rare than a SW flow LE event off Erie!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 39 minutes ago, tim123 said: Storm for end of week has me intrigued. Almost same type of set up as march of last year. All I’m seeing on models is a storm east of BM and maybe advisory snows in eastern New England. Maybe some NW flow lake effect behind it. Of course I could be missing something....but all I see is cold and dry for the next 7+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 From the low coming into northern great lakes gets to Burlington vt and stalls wrapping around lots of background moisture with extremely well aligned nw Flow. Cms has it so does ukmet and gfs all giving south shore near half inch or more of precip. With ratios so high lot of snow. In fact all of western ny looks to get decent snow with upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 15 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: All I’m seeing on models is a storm east of BM and maybe advisory snows in eastern New England. Maybe some NW flow lake effect behind it. Of course I could be missing something....but all I see is cold and dry for the next 7+ days. 0z Euro has a 941 mb bomb 100 mi. South of Halifax at 96h...GEM in tighter maybe but similar to Euro, 954 mb, rakes NE, GooFuS way east of everything else. Have to say, 941 mb catches the eye. Too far East for us but wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 That' not what will directy get us. The h500 low spins over Vermont for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Ukmet precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, tim123 said: That' not what will directy get us. The h500 low spins over Vermont for 2 days. Not per the 0z Euro h5 chart I see...system is progessive. A 1039 mb high is over Columbus Ohio by h144, which will shut down whatever LES was going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 31 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Let’s go buffalo!!!!!! Bills in the playoffs more rare than a SW flow LE event off Erie!! We could get no snow rest of 2018 and I'll be happy. The Bills are in the playoffs!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Still snowing here, light for the most part but has picked up in intensity over the last 10 min or so..Probably 1/2”-3/4” of fresh snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Well euro gives roc .5 to .75 precip. With ratios 15 to 20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Or basically 10 to 20 across monroe county from sw to ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Euro is actually near blizzard for Friday sat. Temps below zero with gusts 20 to 40 mpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 16 minutes ago, tim123 said: Well euro gives roc .5 to .75 precip. With ratios 15 to 20 inches I see a couple of tenths in numerical LE output for ROC on 12z, 0z not fully loaded. H5 flow looks to be northerly though in wake of storm so wouldn't surprise if ROC and south shore does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Syracuse gets nailed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Syracuse gets nailed too. Maybe. No synoptic moisture with a system over NS and headed outbound fast. I could see a few inches here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Well tell me where .5 to inch precip come from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, tim123 said: Well tell me where .5 to inch precip come from I haven't seen 0.5" liquid on any global NWP for ROC, or SYR. Frankly, if EC is right, w/ -30C 850T's it'll take days to squeeze out 0.5" LE if at all. I dont really pay attention to NWP qpf, esp for lake snow... its the least reliable field. Might be ok for placement idea but amounts are usually bogus. It'll be a dessicated airmass, like recently, the near shore areas will accum several inches of fluff. Everyone else gets a feed of crystal meth snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 It does take 2 days. Roc got 7 inches from .2 tenths liquid. And most of that was in 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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