CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Look at this in SE Lake MI, Just unreal as almost 4 meso's combine into one monster area of snow, that's about to push ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I'm still banking on the one for Wed and Thur, but that's just me, as there is so much more room for this to come West and I'll continue to argue for a much closer track, than what most globals, are showing except for the UKMET, which is still a good hit but I haven't seen the 00Z, so it may have Went East cause it can't go any further West, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Wow, just checked out the UKMET and it went East but as expected as it was way West so there was only one way to correct now we have 4 days to will it West, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 About 7 inches in walworth. Still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Didn't measure but looks like a good 12-14" here in Hannibal from last night and over night. Temp is 0 brrrrr coldddddd day ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I'd say only 5 or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Looking out the window I'd eyeball an additional 1-2 inches overnight. Flake size has been reduced to grains and inland penetration is waning but at least it's still snowing the tiniest amount. I'm about to clear the driveway so I'll have slightly more accurate totals when I return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1.7 here....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3.3" new snow from last eve and overnight. 0.23 LE...14.3:1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Best shot at a synoptic system may be between the 8th and the 10, cold seems to ease up some..The euro hinted at it last night and continues to show something during this time frame, ggem has jumped on board as well.. 0z GFS and GEM have a lakes cutter and full meltdown with temps into 40s for upstate...followed by cold, though not as cold as right now. Not exactly buying that at D8-9 time range but it will be a chance to validate the axiom that lake cutters always verify. Edit: Euro has snowstorm with maybe some mix here D8/9 FWIW. Long way out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Hey Tim, are you a CoCoRaHS observer? Someone from Walworth reported 6.3 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I also think the KU method can be used since ratios should come into play as temps during the heart of the event are between -8 and -12C and drop to -21 with the last few tenths of precip falling so yeah, a nice event but anything from historic or a KU standard event! That map is hard to square with the EC numerical output I scanned last night. Although it appears they were 12z numbers that i was inadvertantly viewing. BDL (Hartford) shows 0.7" LE now...BOS about 1.1"... Cape Cod goes above 32 for part of storm (which makes no sense to me given EC's track outside the Benchmark). So Euro did tick west on 0z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Picked up 1.25 overnight. Storm total 5.5" Thank god for the meso-band! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 18 hours ago, rochesterdave said: Guesses for accumulation tonight? Im going with just sub warning amounts for my back yard. Irondequoit 5” Ontario 8” Walworth 9” Roc airport 3-4” I also called for 16” in Hannibal, 6 in Syr and 9” in Skaneatles. I like my calls. I did, however, call for 5” in Fulton. Which was a huuuuuge bust. As usual. Ended up with just under 5 in Irondequoit. NW suburbs and NE Orleans (no warning) did the best with near a foot. This next one looks to be for the fishes with nuisance stuff on the south shore. Brutal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 KITH is getting it from Cayuga and Lake Ontario or shall I say Cayuga Lake is enhancing an already strong band from LO, lol! There's a poster from down there so maybe he'll chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 8.2” reported in the city at 7am(co-op) and 8” at 530 am(social media) , it has been snowing lightly since, probably finish with a storm total around 9” or so..The 3 k nam has another 0.4” of liquid for tomorrow night but subject to change.. e northwest flow will focus lake effect snow across the Western Southern Tier off Lake Erie and from Wayne to Oswego counties off Lake Ontario. Accumulations in these areas are likely be 3 to 7 inches, which may require winter weather advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 SE minetto picked up 10.6” with 0.36” LE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 Eden picked up over 21" the town just south of me. Pretty crazy event. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 Probably the coolest thing I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: KITH is getting it from Cayuga and Lake Ontario or shall I say Cayuga Lake is enhancing an already strong band from LO, lol! There's a poster from down there so maybe he'll chime in. Looks like light snow at Ithaca (Cornell). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 12Z GFS came back to the west with Thursday's storm but there's still a long way to go to affect us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 IDK. I wouldn’t think anyone in our area should be getting their hopes up for the midweek storm. Most of the models have been consistently OTS. The underlying set up allows for ‘some’ western shift but comeon, this thing starts in the Bahamas. It’s likely not gonna end up over Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Ukmet joined the masses. Wide and right. Fishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 41 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Looks like light snow at Ithaca (Cornell). I went to Ithaca last summer, the Robert Treman state park was incredible. I didn't even know Cornell was located there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 22 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Ukmet joined the masses. Wide and right. Fishes. We knew this a few days ago, blocking isn't strong enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I went to Ithaca last summer, the Robert Treman state park was incredible. I didn't even know Cornell was located there. Cornell is my alma mater so I know the area. Did you make it to Taughannok Falls state park? It's pretty spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Its going to hug the coast, Models all converged 4 days before the event, you think their not gonna change? We need it close enough to switch winds into the WNW/NW for a prolonged period of time. Could care less if we're not affected by the system itself. Rather it close off over the NH than the Maritimes, but thats just for us over here anyway. Wanna see KBOX taint so I'll try and will this event to the West. I'll turn into JI for this event, lol, if anyone knows him from the MA thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 31, 2017 Author Share Posted December 31, 2017 50 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Cornell is my alma mater so I know the area. Did you make it to Taughannok Falls state park? It's pretty spectacular. Wow, that is awesome! Yeah we went there as well. Central New York has some beautiful parks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: We knew this a few days ago, blocking isn't strong enough. That's really not how blocking works in this case I think. The mean upper level trough is too far east. In fact I think blocking isn't particularly helpful to get noreasters to affect upstate NY. Some of bufs best Synoptic months are with la Nina and a pos nao but with confluence in the right spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Found this and kinda like it. Is it ok? Confluence - a car full of air (a parcel) is getting ready to jump on to the wind flow expressway. The point where that on-ramp meets the main flow is the point of confluence. Much like when the Arkansas River meets the Mississippi River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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