tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Pretty bad time of year for radar issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Its been out since before Christmas and its still not fixed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Holiday and government don't mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 The nws snow polygon is really hammering Roc from 4pm until midnight. Is it at all reliable? I cant remember it having Monroe in moderate returns for so long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 For what it's worth, the Ukmet is only slightly worse than the euro. Its better than the GFS. Scores second on skill score . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Nws added ontario county to lake snow advisory. Up to 6 inches tonight there. Bodes really well for Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 None of the models, and I mean not a 1 had this band to my West, making it past Fulton by much and its already almost to me, and still heading East, at a pretty good clip. it's already past 81 to my North. How can anyone trust a model when its wrong, as the event is underway, like the HRRR. what a great example: Look at where it has the band progged to be at 3, just not gonna happen and its too far South as well and the orientation is all screwed up but I guess it has an idea. With this event the HRRR is to far SOuth and way to quick. I guess thats what you can take away from this model, but thats just not good enough for LES, sorry. It is however good for a synoptic event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: They're in a terrible location for lake effect. You literally need a SW/SSW flow to hit them. That flow occurs 5-10% of the time in any given year. Put KBUF at southern end of Cheektowaga or Lancaster (literally 3-4 miles away) and they average 100-110"+ per year. Yes, but that’s not my point. KBUF is certainly in the bottom half of locations in the greater Metro for seasonal snowfall, but even by that lesser standard, KBUF has averaged under (often well under) its own seasonal average for something like six of the last seven years. Before this season the 1991-2017 average was something like seven inches below the 1981-2010 average, and based on the first part of this season, it will drop even more. Unless there are some big positive variances from now through 2020, Buffalo could be looking at at 85” seasonal climate average. It’s an indicator of how weak the snow season has been for most of Buffalo in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Someone's gonna get hammered with that band that's sinking southward towards KROC. Man the Lake must look awesome today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I think Wayne County gets the brunt of this but then again I can't really see it as clearly as others can. Wish we had someone who was in NW wayne cty cause their getting absolutely murdered right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Huge parachute flakes falling here in Hannibal. Coming down pretty good for the last half hour or so. This keeps up it's gonna add it quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Vortmax is next town north of me in ontario.nw wayne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I meant NE not NW. Yeah he's in Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Vortmax is next town north of me in ontario.nw wayne Yup, about 3 miles inland. Dark to the north...just flurries still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I just need, the way its snowing right now, to continue for 6 straight hrs, thats all I ask and I'll have 18" easy! But it'll be gone just as quick as it began. Just cant get one to stick around for more than an hr or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I am 8 miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 i am in webster and see dark clouds getting close real slowly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Wow, another KROC poster, kool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Rochesters fate later this eve. Marquette gusting to 55 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1" last 20 minutes so close to 3"/hr right now that wasns't supposed to make it here but it is so its a surprise I suppose! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: 1" last 20 minutes so close to 3"/hr right now that wasns't supposed to make it here but it is so its a surprise I suppose! Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 There is a spin in clouds just east of gb moving south east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: 1" last 20 minutes so close to 3"/hr right now that wasns't supposed to make it here but it is so its a surprise I suppose! Congrats man.. I’ve picked up another 0.5” in the last hour. Too bad it’s heading out. I’d take those rates over nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This cold air incoming is causing quite a ruckus all across the Great Lakes. As soon as this wind turn NW then NNW look out South Shore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Really has a N wind component. It will break the back of this persistent WNW flow. Noticing it on upstream radars. Cleveland looks to cash in on a connection to Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Still dumping huge parachute flakes here. Adding up quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Guesses for accumulation tonight? Im going with just sub warning amounts for my back yard. Irondequoit 5” Ontario 8” Walworth 9” Roc airport 3-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This could turn out to be quite the surprise if this keeps up and judging from KBGM's radar, it just might. Winds look to remain WNW until the front comes through and if that happens, I'll be one happy camper but I just can't see it happening as I have been burned too many times. Its usually the surprises that overperform! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Hannibal 16” Fulton 5” Syracuse 6” Skaneatles 9” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 13 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Wait till the flow goes wnw-nw for the next 2 months straight, as we'll be smiling while others start jumping off bridges, lol! Alright. I'm breaking my self imposed timeout, only to add that I feel like Clark Griswold when he found out that his boss gave him the jelly of the month club and went on his epic rant...only im wondering who did the buffalo metro area piss off??? Benchwarmers get more action than the metro and nor t htowns do! This pattern sucks like a porn star in a contest. I dont know what to hope for because every shortwave, pv position, arctic front, clipper, ec storm has screwed this area. Well at least I have my hair...oh wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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