Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is further east with the srn s/w, but nrn stream looks more cohesive through hr 120. Trying to do the dual structure there. ? Further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This end of the week system is my last hope. I'm headed out that Sunday for 10 days.....I'm afraid I'm going to miss much snow while I'm gone. 7.7* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's probably a lot of rain there. Flooded out streets to flash freeze? GL Hazey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2017 Author Share Posted December 30, 2017 For the queens: eiro 0.5 line moved about 75 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: For the queens: eiro 0.5 line moved about 75 miles west. which places it where? Systems looks way east for any of us in GC. Hopefully the EPS is showing things a couple hundred miles closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: For the queens: eiro 0.5 line moved about 75 miles west. To where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Flooded out streets to flash freeze? GL Hazey Nope. No snow otg to block storm drains. Winds would be a concern especially after our Christmas Day windstorm. Anyway moot point at Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Warning snows back west of river Storm total QPF from EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Further west Not with the srn one. That kicks out if you compare hr 120- vs hr 132 of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 That PNA is gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Ahh queening it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Further west I thought it looked further east on the 500mb plots than the 00z run...toggling them its definitely further east with the southern energy. The QPF increased though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's probably a lot of rain there. Wet Juanita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Tick tick , don’t need a 955 , 6 to 10 would work just fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Storm total QPF from EURO. That would simply suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ahh queening it lol you didn't see one thing that would make you think warning snows back west of the river. You are just "wishing" at this point. It's like the battle cry for models that might be shifting west... "warning snows to west of the rivah!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 You can see how you don't want to be too close to where it sling shots. You could end up with rain for a time. If there was big NAO blocking this would have a higher risk of that for us. But the progressiveness could actually be an ally in a setup with this much powder keg potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Tick tick , don’t need a 955 , 6 to 10 would work just fine And keep on ticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Dear Lord the cold after it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: You can see how you don't want to be too close to where it sling shots. You could end up with rain for a time. If there was big NAO blocking this would have a higher risk of that for us. But the progressiveness could actually be an ally in a setup with this much powder keg potential. Right. I was thinking that as well. Good thing there isn't blocking, or we'd have to send a guard to Tamarack's house and keep all sharp objects away from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol you didn't see one thing that would make you think warning snows back west of the river. You are just "wishing" at this point. It's like the battle cry for models that might be shifting west... "warning snows to west of the rivah!" That whole look says heavier snow to NY border. Looking at a qpf chart 6 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Don’t think so, deeper and west with midlevels at 120 500 mb Steve. Not 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Anyways, the nrn stream really helped induced an area of fronto and lift. That's what helped the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That whole look says heavier snow to NY border. Looking at a qpf chart 6 days out? "The whole look"... lol. Explain that to us. I think many would be interested in how that run of the Euro would bring warning snows way back west. That run doesn't even have above normal precipitable water advected inland. 150% of normal for eastern areas though with the classic hammer style depiction. Im sure you looked at all the RH plots too and saw the sub-saturation in western half of SNE at 850mb. That's a sure sign of heavy snows. What are your thoughts on that run though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: "The whole look"... lol. Explain that to us. I think many would be interested in how that run of the Euro would bring warning snows way back west. That run doesn't even have above normal precipitable water advected inland. 150% of normal for eastern areas though with the classic hammer style depiction. Im sure you looked at all the RH plots too and saw the sub-saturation in western half of SNE at 850mb. That's a sure sign of heavy snows. What are your thoughts on that run though? Just a gut feeling with these, but a lot of time to correct west and get you into siggy snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dear Lord the cold after it.... Nice little pockets around -35C for the picnic tables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 500 mb Steve. Not 850. I know what you are talking about. I actually thought it would be a worse run than 00z looking at the 500mb vorticity swinging further east with that southern shortwave...but caught just in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Just a gut feeling with these, but a lot of time to correct west and get you into siggy snows. I can use a whole lotta correcting.....let's see what the ensembles have. Something to watch in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol you didn't see one thing that would make you think warning snows back west of the river. You are just "wishing" at this point. It's like the battle cry for models that might be shifting west... "warning snows to west of the rivah!" I guess he and several others reinvested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just a gut feeling with these, but a lot of time to correct west and get you into siggy snows. Oh I agree fully. We've got 5 days to go. I'm more curious where his comments come from. It's almost like he makes stuff up...almost . I guess we'll agree to disagree that the Euro would support Warning snows west of the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.