powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Only lol... you’ve had a good winter so far, no? You read that way too seriously, lol. Sarcasm meter must be broken. It was a joke compared to the 8+8 and wasn't even thinking about the winter as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle would snow plenty before anyone mixes or rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: Link on the UKIE? The only place i usually get it is UQAM and thats still on 00Z. How about this one? (from Weather.us) http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/ukmet.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Not suprising. Lets see this play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 DC FTW on the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man it gives North Adams, west of the Berkshire crest, an 8+8. Kind of funny because N Adams is one of the great New England snow holes. It also give Fitchburg 8+8 and since I am half way in between those two locations I will take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Ukie solution is drool worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: How does one interpret that little low that pops up south of LI and what effect does it have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Kind of funny because N Adams is one of the great New England snow holes. It also give Fitchburg 8+8 and since I am half way in between those two locations I will take. My thing with the MOS... is say for North Adams, how does it print out back-to-back 8's while at the same time the highest 12-hour POP it has is 56%. Like there's a 50% chance of snow but if it snows it'll be a blizzard is what I read from that thing, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but the pressure gradient as projected on some of these runs is comparable or greater to '78 right? That was like a 1040 and 980 gradient if memory serves... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: Somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but the pressure gradient as projected on some of these runs is comparable or greater to '78 right? That was like a 1040 and 980 gradient if memory serves... 984 to 1052 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 984 to 1052 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 14 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: How does one interpret that little low that pops up south of LI and what effect does it have? The northern and southern shortwaves basically. The southern shortwave gets slingshot into ME when the upper low captures it. The northern stream forcing pops the low south of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The northern and southern shortwaves basically. The southern shortwave gets slingshot into ME when the upper low captures it. The northern stream forcing pops the low south of LI. Thanks. Still not sure what that does synoptically but it’s good to know lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Euro looking better thru 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Lack of blocking is probably a good thing in this storm otherwise it would probably retrograde into NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, JBinStoughton said: Thanks. Still not sure what that does synoptically but it’s good to know lol. It's unlikely this is how it would truly play out. More often than not the southern stream shortwave will dominate low development and the northern stream will direct it (like with a stall and capture) rather than forming a new low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lack of blocking is probably a good thing in this storm otherwise it would probably retrograde into NJ. Ah haha... Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Euro is further east with the srn s/w, but nrn stream looks more cohesive through hr 120. Trying to do the dual structure there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's unlikely this is how it would truly play out. More often than not the southern stream shortwave will dominate low development and the northern stream will direct it (like with a stall and capture) rather than forming a new low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Def decent for eastern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Congrats Leo on the sling shot into NS. Looks like more PVA/dynamically induced snow here like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 may end up a higher amplitude version of the SYZYGY storm back in '86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 We take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 What an absolute monster for NS. Holy sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: What an absolute monster for NS. Holy sh*t. White Juanita Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Warning snows back west of river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 lol sub 950 into NS. Illustrates the dynamics at play. Need about 100-150 miles west in 5 days. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: White Juanita That's probably a lot of rain there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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