dendrite Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Takes away the big storm and instead has a day of -30C 850mb temps over NNE. To me the cold seems like it should win this battle but we'll see. That is a frigid run...like holy sh*t. idk...that had potential nuke written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's not the point, it's 5H moves thousands of miles in 6 hours across the globe every run Since when does anyone trust the GFS for east coast cyclogenesis? It has been consistently terrible for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Not to sound like captain obvious but these are the swings you get when a storm is 7 days away. I wouldn't sweat it. 0z will be congrats ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's not the point, it's 5H moves thousands of miles in 6 hours across the globe every run It almost seems like the upgrades improve some areas at the expense of others... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Since when does anyone trust the GFS for east coast cyclogenesis? It has been consistently terrible for years. It's gotten worse, look at the scores. I noticed this summer how bad it is Hemispherically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It almost seems like the upgrades improve some areas at the expense of others... HRRR has also become a big bag of fail at times. Look at the MW tonight, totally underdid the WAA snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: HRRR has also become a big bag of fail at times. Look at the MW tonight, totally underdid the WAA snows We'll be watching the big boy EURO all week. Hopefully this threat works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Tough crowd on a d7 prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It's gotten worse, look at the scores. I noticed this summer how bad it is Hemispherically Yeah, it's horrendous. On a totally unrelated note, did you see some of those EPS members take the low into the 950s south of Long Island? We salivate and dream. Impressive signal at this range in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Euro control is 950mb over eastern ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah, it's horrendous. On a totally unrelated note, did you see some of those EPS members take the low into the 950s south of Long Island? We salivate and dream. Impressive signal at this range in general. 954 is our record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Tough crowd on a d7 prog. Nah I just had to vent finally. Poor NWS and rip and readers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 954 is our record For non-tropical I assume? When was that? 1915? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: idk...that had potential nuke written all over it. Gotta find a way to get a -30C H85 bubble to break off and undercut a huge storm. Sub-zero snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 GGEM has improved quite a bit on skill scores since upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2017 Author Share Posted December 29, 2017 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GGEM has improved quite a bit on skill scores since upgrade It still blows. Honestly among the most improved guidance the past few years is NAVGEM but it still is in the low minors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 I'm hoping to see the following phrases at some point over the next few days: "Heights better out west," "Look at that ridge!", "It's going negative tilt earlier", "Phase!", "Subsume!", "Captured!", "Incoming!", "Bomb!", "Feet and feet!", "HECS!", "Naked twister", "Pants off, keyboard hit the ceiling," "It's happening, James!" "New chapter in the Kocin book." And so on... Best time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 47 minutes ago, Hoth said: For non-tropical I assume? When was that? 1915? March 1923 rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Hazey said: Not happening James. I think it just might happen as the signals are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 I see wide right being more of a concern than a hugger that spills milk for the EMA crowd. It takes a lot for the northern stream to catchup to a speeding southern vort and hook it left, esp without much help from the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 It’s not New Year yet. Put bottles down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Hoth said: I'm hoping to see the following phrases at some point over the next few days: "Heights better out west," "Look at that ridge!", "It's going negative tilt earlier", "Phase!", "Subsume!", "Captured!", "Incoming!", "Bomb!", "Feet and feet!", "HECS!", "Naked twister", "Pants off, keyboard hit the ceiling," "It's happening, James!" "New chapter in the Kocin book." And so on... Best time of year. I'm waiting for "18-24 inches. We can increase them later." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 "Capture, subsume, just inside the benchmark...slow retrograde" #soithasbeensaidsoitshallbewritten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 12z EURO really runs that low into brick wall of confluence and scoots end out under us...man. Just saw details now. Thing develops in the Bahamas. Steve, I stand corrected on the banana high....didn't see it that was on the cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not New Year yet. Put bottles down That ggem improvement post shows us who really needs to put the bottles down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: HRRR has also become a big bag of fail at times. Look at the MW tonight, totally underdid the WAA snows was off its rocker for the xmas snow totals..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 CMC at 0z a bit more bullish on the Sat event. RGEM was, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 gfs has been struggling, file this run under ‘fwiw’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Good bye and good luck on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 See ya on the GGEM as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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