OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 12 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: My favorite meltdowns were the pattern theads in mid January 2015 with a cutter imminent on the 19th and the apocalyptic meltdowns in late January 2013 saying how the predictions of a snowier pattern were a huge failure...after like 1 week of cold and dry. Scooter returning all of Bryce's Christmas gifts to teach him a lesson on what it's like when people steal your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: After day 14 there was def a moderation You do know the EPS only goes to 15 days, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 If you have access to the individual European ensemble members and want to brighten your mood, go look at members 3, 10, 16, 29, 33, & 46. Will put a smile on your face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You do know the EPS only goes to 15 days, right? Um yeah .not warm , but a def 1-2 week relaxation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 12 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: If you have access to the individual European ensemble members and want to brighten your mood, go look at members 3, 10, 16, 29, 33, & 46. Will put a smile on your face. (I know it doesn't fit any of those numbers, but you get the point) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Yeah there is definitely + height anomalies on the east Coast, so cutter risk there. It's a -PNA look to so maybe overrunning..,mabye cutter risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 19 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Scooter returning all of Bryce's Christmas gifts to teach him a lesson on what it's like when people steal your snow. Nah that was more for the 24th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I come into this thread to start discussing the massive signal for 1/4-5 and I endured 3 pages of ratter discussion. The signal in the modeling guidance for 1/4-5 reminds me of the signal for January 26-27, 2015. Massive west coast ridge and east coast trough. Just classic. Agree. I'm focused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 gfs is real close at h5 to drop the hammer. May run out to fast in the flow but nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs is real close at h5 to drop the hammer. May run out to fast in the flow but nice to see. Tasty look with the 3 s/w's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs is real close at h5 to drop the hammer. May run out to fast in the flow but nice to see. LOL suck up a Yucatan low. A James dream scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 See if it comes up the coast or scoots just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Jeez that is a powderkeg setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 That H5 depiction is a serious tug to the NNW with the offshore s/w, 12z CMC had it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Looks like the GFS will be a near miss. That southern s/w gets out ahead a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL suck up a Yucatan low. A James dream scenario. A pelican farts and James gets his 2005 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Triple phasuh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Very much improved setup at 5h as compared to the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Huuuuge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Plenty of time to bring that into NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks like the GFS will be a near miss. That southern s/w gets out ahead a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 The Dawn Awakening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Wasn't the last triple phaser February 2004 that slammed Nova Scotia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Plenty of time to bring that into NYC. We obviously know its coming way west of this. The GFS and probably even the Euro/UKIE are overdone with the high/cold press into the SE US. I fully expect if this materializes its a pretty significant winter storm for places like BHM/ATL/CLT and then up the coast. It may initially track further south than most Miller As but will likely resume a typical benchmark track once it turns the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: We obviously know its coming way west of this. The GFS and probably even the Euro/UKIE are overdone with the high/cold press into the SE US. I fully expect if this materializes its a pretty significant winter storm for places like BHM/ATL/CLT and then up the coast. It may initially track further south than most Miller As but will likely resume a typical benchmark track once it turns the corner Way west? congrats ROC then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Double-barrel low structure obviously won't occur. That southern vorticity is a monster. GFS has a 980-mb low over freaking Bermuda than magically pops a sub 980 mb low just east of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 That run was 20"+, Only gets worse from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Double-barrel low structure obviously won't occur. That southern vorticity is a monster. GFS has a 980-mb low over freaking Bermuda than magically pops a sub 980 mb low just east of BOS. Euro did it too. It's rare, but the dynamics are so powerful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 GGEM does the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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