Cobalt Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Glad 0z not showing the torch like last run. Even though it'll most likely change by next run, the thing we know is that it looks like once the SE ridge is broken down (or when it's broken down), a cold shot will follow, and it may be a major cold shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Not a drop of rain in 15 days in fire torched Cali Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 18 minutes ago, ice1972 said: WOW 0z GFS doubles down on the Grinch.......JFC Definitely still a grinch storm but the low tracks over CT vs cutting into the Great Lakes. Move that low east some and things would be pretty interesting. So much time for this to change too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Thats a helluva lot of happy ski areas Christmas week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2017 Author Share Posted December 17, 2017 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thats a helluva lot of happy ski areas Christmas week I think they’d be a lot happier with people having snow in their yards. That’s what brings the crowds typically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Expect the gradient to shift further east once the model realizes the negative epo. What a dumb post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I will say this... it isn’t looking good through Christmas. What happens in the last week of the year, is still up in the air given the timeframe. If in two weeks, we haven’t had another appreciable snowfall and most of SNE slinks into January under 10” or so, December was absolutely a disappointment, no question. Given the pattern coming in, it would def be a little frustrating Agreed. I still have to think we get another significant event prior to nye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Good morning Kev, take the banana hammock out of the closet. Just got home from work and I see this. Run at 65? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I think they’d be a lot happier with people having snow in their yards. That’s what brings the crowds typically. Christmas week vacations are booked a year ahead. Stay away at all costs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I will say this... it isn’t looking good through Christmas. What happens in the last week of the year, is still up in the air given the timeframe. If in two weeks, we haven’t had another appreciable snowfall and most of SNE slinks into January under 10” or so, December was absolutely a disappointment, no question. Given the pattern coming in, it would def be a little frustrating I agree if a decent system doesn’t materialize before the end of December, then it will be a tad anticlimactic. But ironically enough..already over 10 inches here(10.5”)..it’s been a good week here in the snowfall department. So I can’t complain all that much if it goes to the dogs from here on out for December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 3 hours ago, WxBlue said: A rather frigid look after a brief torch. Near record-breaking cold in the Mississippi Valley and into the Western Apps/OH River Valley. PV is like -32C 850mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, nzucker said: Near record-breaking cold in the Mississippi Valley and into the Western Apps/OH River Valley. PV is like -32C 850mb temps. Congrats them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 We wipe the slate clean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We wipe the slate clean. I am not shook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I am not shook. We should be used to it. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 8 hours ago, kdxken said: I'll never forget that cold . I remember 1980 well; no recollection of '83 though. I must have had a late night....... 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We wipe the slate clean. I'm not ready to throw in the towel yet. If it's still ugly at this time tomorrow, I'll be winding up. 10.9/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: We documented the reality, its the strangest thing. I can't find another month Nov to March where ave temps rise for 2 days late in the month then fall. Amazing couplet. I Have heard that (at least in this area) there is a similar spike around January 20-25 for the mid -Winter thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Christmas week vacations are booked a year ahead. Stay away at all costs Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We should be used to it. Oh well. That 6z GFS run was fun... just a day of tropical downpours across New England. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That 6z GFS run was fun... just a day of tropical downpours across New England. Ha. I'm glad the deep winter pattern was locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm glad the deep winter pattern was locked in. The quality of the posts in this subforum's model thread has really gone downhill. Just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, wkd said: The quality of the posts in this subforum's model thread has really gone downhill. Just saying. Thanks for adding to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Verbatim GFS is close to 3" of rain from 23rd-25th for many in SNE. Hopefully plays out differently. It not only would sucks for skiing but creates unsafe pond ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Verbatim GFS is close to 3" of rain from 23rd-25th for many in SNE. Hopefully plays out differently. It not only would sucks for skiing but creates unsafe pond ice. There may be some interior CAD prior to the torch and then again if the GFS is right. Those details won't be resolved until we get closer. But with the big ridge plunging north through AK, s/w energy literally dives due south into the four corners area and spins up a low. That's the risk with a -EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 You'd think that once the trough moves off shore on the 24th, the next system wouldn't ride up the Ohio valley but that's what the models have it doing. I guess the trough axis never clears the coast. Figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 37 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Yeah that's two runs in a row now trending worse for next week. Gonna have to reverse that soon if we want to avoid the full banana hammock On Dec 23-24. At least we're used to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thanks for adding to it. Scott, I apologize if you took my comment personally. I should have made a separate post. This subforum has among the best mets giving model analysis and is usuallly the go to place when threats are on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 It really is quite exceptional how we've all had to reckon with some sort of torching cutter that kills the spirit within a standard deviation of a few days around Christmas. Who says you can't predict the weather? Maybe a clandestine snowstorm will pop up after the fact and say sorry. Let's hope what it's showing now at least shears out and trends flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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