Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 You are one of “them” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Figured the Euro sucked when after the GFS there were only 2 pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 11 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: You're a die hard, Jerry. 15.3* That’s what ruined it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Figured the Euro sucked when after the GFS there were only 2 pages. I’m not sure I’d call it a cave to the gfs.. but it definitely stepped in the direction of a non event... a compromise of current guidance will likely produce very little here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 I would watch it. Remember when this past storm was only an eastern event before it got sampled well? Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I would watch it. Remember when this past storm was only an eastern event before it got sampled well? Oops. Absolutely. Not giving up at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 I thought Jerry hated cold? Anyone writing off this weekend has the worst short term memory loss of all time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Absolutely. Not giving up at all. I just went back to look at old runs. The GFS did not catch on until about 12z on the 21. And even then, it was an all out coastal..lol. Euro showed a warmer event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I would watch it. Remember when this past storm was only an eastern event before it got sampled well? Oops. Wasn't it a western event until it became an eastern event and then went back west until slipping a bit east at nowcast time? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: Wasn't it a western event until it became an eastern event and then went back west until slipping a bit east at nowcast time? lol. Yes..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 48 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s so easy being them. Just go with the coldest and snowiest outcome.....but funny thing is, they been more right than not this decade lol. Ha it's just funny when models showed rain, Snow88 was saying the EPO will push it all east. Now when the models are a scraper, the western Atlantic ridge will push it back west. There's a pattern in his posting that suggests a different index each time will line it up beautifully lol. Though can't blame him as the last cutter did go east like he was saying...now let's see if the Atlantic ridge can bring a big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha it's just funny when models showed rain, Snow88 was saying the EPO will push it all east. Now when the models are a scraper, the western Atlantic ridge will push it back west. There's a pattern in his posting that suggests a different index each time will line it up beautifully lol. Though can't blame him as the last cutter did go east like he was saying...now let's see if the Atlantic ridge can bring a big snowstorm. I more or less thought he was probably more correct than not last time. This time though the cold is strong, the ridge is not . My guess is this ends up a low end warning event or like 3-6” of powder for SNE , but little more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Never surrender, never give-up. Just think that that overwhelming arctic flow would tend to develop the system as weak and suppressed, not getting it's act together until maritime latitudes. Key imho is watching the evolution at 5H and better sampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I thought Jerry hated cold? Anyone writing off this weekend has the worst short term memory loss of all time I do but record stuff is always fun. I’m determined to do some old school long live winter posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Man the GFS wants nothing. Hope that changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man the GFS wants nothing. Hope that changes. The northern stream actually looked a tick better..but zilch to show for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man the GFS wants nothing. Hope that changes. My fears are coming true for SNE this winter. When the cold is here, no storm. When there’s a storm, too warm. Hope this doesn’t persist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are one of “them” Did my 2-4” call for you work out fine yesterday? 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha it's just funny when models showed rain, Snow88 was saying the EPO will push it all east. Now when the models are a scraper, the western Atlantic ridge will push it back west. There's a pattern in his posting that suggests a different index each time will line it up beautifully lol. Though can't blame him as the last cutter did go east like he was saying...now let's see if the Atlantic ridge can bring a big snowstorm. I’m taking the -EPO logic from previous and thinking this system will go over Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said: My fears are coming true for SNE this winter. When the cold is here, no storm. When there’s a storm, too warm. Hope this doesn’t persist. Sometimes you just have crap luck. But, it's early still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I thought Jerry hated cold? Anyone writing off this weekend has the worst short term memory loss of all time Seen it so many times.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man the GFS wants nothing. Hope that changes. Until Day 11 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Did my 2-4” call for you work out fine yesterday? I’m taking the -EPO logic from previous and thinking this system will go over Bermuda. See the difference in EPO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sometimes you just have crap luck. But, it's early still. One upside of this cold is its going really lower SSTs. Around here that's important. So long as we don't torch, it should help in more marginal situations the rest of winter. Not a fan of frigid, especially since it's bare ground here but trying to see some silver lining if it does stay dry over the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, FRWEATHA said: One upside of this cold is its going really lower SSTs. Around here that's important. So long as we don't torch, it should help in more marginal situations the rest of winter. Not a fan of frigid, especially since it's bare ground here but trying to see some silver lining if it does stay dry over the next 10 days. I don’t think it makes that much difference. It was the mid levels that determined snow vs rain for the 12/25 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: One upside of this cold is its going really lower SSTs. Around here that's important. So long as we don't torch, it should help in more marginal situations the rest of winter. Not a fan of frigid, especially since it's bare ground here but trying to see some silver lining if it does stay dry over the next 10 days. That’s a dose of optimism. I’ll take it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: See the difference in EPO? lol that was my point, sarcastically. First week of Jan has potential. But Ive plowed 10 day snowstorms several times already, the truck needs a breather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Either the gfs is going to be really wrong or the euro isn’t going to slowly tick to its idea. I envision the euro will continue to slowly slink away from the measurable snowfall... and since it does it slowly, everyone will say how it’s superior... etc etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 There are the usual suspects that downplay any potential because it’s possible people get skunked. Then there are the realists who see potential and recognize it knowing it may not work out. We need Tip to inject a dose of emotion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: There are the usual suspects that downplay any potential because it’s possible people get skunked. Then there are the realists who see potential and recognize it knowing it may not work out. We need Tip to inject a dose of emotion. Just wondering, don't mean to get off topic...where has "Tip" been? Is he ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Either the gfs is going to be really wrong or the euro isn’t going to slowly tick to its idea. I envision the euro will continue to slowly slink away from the measurable snowfall... and since it does it slowly, everyone will say how it’s superior... etc etc We’re talking d5. And the euro is superior. It could be wrong this time but you’re not getting consistency until we’re much closer in. Personally I think when the cold buckles early next week before a reinforcement we have our best chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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