dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 12z Euro, Scrapes SNE and misses NNE, This is one of my visions for this next one if it doesn't dig far enough south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 There’s always next year folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro, Scrapes SNE and misses NNE, This is one of my visions for this next one if it doesn't dig far enough south. IMO there's no way this comes anywhere close to NNE with this cold air mass and lack of anything to slow down the flow and bend it back. I guess maybe where you are on the NNE coast it might be worth watching but I can't envision a scenario with continued push of brutal cold that would let this thing get anywhere near 90% of NNE if you discount maybe some arctic sand from the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Wow, the story really is going to be about the ridiculous prolonged cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: IMO there's no way this comes anywhere close to NNE with this cold air mass and lack of anything to slow down the flow and bend it back. I guess maybe where you are on the NNE coast it might be worth watching but I can't envision a scenario with continued push of brutal cold that would let this thing get anywhere near 90% of NNE. I hear you, I'm not feeling it for this one, After this past weekend, I have plenty of work to do as far as removal still, So if it whiffs, Its not going to hurt my feelings, Its going to be balz cold to boot, I have to get at some potential damming issues on the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Ha... I love it... i have some confidence in the threat... and the euro immediately begins to cave back to the flat meh guidance. Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Wow, the story really is going to be about the ridiculous prolonged cold... Penny stock, blowing all around in wind chills 15 to 20 below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ha... I love it... i have some confidence in the threat... and the euro immediately begins to cave back to the flat meh guidance. Classic. Which guidance do you believe it caved to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s always next year folks. There's always the cutter at 300hrs on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Penny stock, blowing all around in wind chills 15 to 20 below zero Gonna need deeper pack for that. I think the solid 4-8 Saturday that’s coming should do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 A light to perhaps moderate (esp. SE NE, S of the Pike) is still in the cards for this one. Still the chance it stays flat and we get scraped or it amplifies in the short term and we get a larger event. I'd give it until midweek before narrowing the goal posts. Everything still on the table right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Where is Judahs ssw and blocking? I’ll have grey hairs on my balls soon waiting for him to be right, lets go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Wow, the story really is going to be about the ridiculous prolonged cold... Definitely worth watching for you guys down there... I love Ginxy's spot in these brutal air-masses. The ocean right there with cold pressing down. Stuff happens when energy travels out under SNE in these set-ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Looks a lot like the Ukie. Plenty of time to sharpen it up a bit being 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna need deeper pack for that. I think the solid 4-8 Saturday that’s coming should do it The model snow maps show 10-1, with those temps and .3 qpf, we score 4 easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Definitely worth watching for you guys down there... I love Ginxy's spot in these brutal air-masses. The ocean right there with cold pressing down. Stuff happens when energy travels out under SNE in these set-ups. Yep, squeeze it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Yeah... a step in the wrong direction on the euro. The positive about this setup though is even modest amounts of liquid could produce some decent totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 18 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah... a step in the wrong direction on the euro. The positive about this setup though is even modest amounts of liquid could produce some decent totals See this is what happens when you aren't worried about rain. You begin to focus on the QPF and hoping for ratios, . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 I think the fact that models are throwing snow so far west (excluding goofus) is a decent sign. But everything is timing. Get the wave in a data rich area maybe Thursday and we’ll get some more consistency one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think the fact that models are throwing snow so far west (excluding goofus) is a decent sign. But everything is timing. Get the wave in a data rich area maybe Thursday and we’ll get some more consistency one way or another. The shortwave is pretty impressive...wouldn't be surprised to see it come back west. That front-leading shortwave though has been trending stronger which is something we do not want...and is probably at least partially responsible for the shift east today on the Euro. But it seems these shortwaves have been coming in more impressive every time they get into more data-rich areas, so hopefully that bodes well for the 12/30 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 eps mean is more progressive than the op. The trend has been going in the wrong direction past several days....hanging on by a thread now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Penny stock, blowing all around in wind chills 15 to 20 below zero It's going to be more than 10:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: eps mean is more progressive than the op. The trend has been going in the wrong direction past several days....hanging on by a thread now. We saw this happened with the past storms. It should trend back west with the strong Atlantic ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: We saw this happened with the past storms. It should trend back west with the strong Atlantic ridge. But what about the EPO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: eps mean is more progressive than the op. The trend has been going in the wrong direction past several days....hanging on by a thread now. Yeah, that’s def concerning.... yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, that’s def concerning.... yuck Give it time. I don’t think the northern stream has even come onshore on the WC yet. Still another 24-36 hours for big corrections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Incredible to see 80% of the CONUS in deep cold. You would think with the largest cold anomalies being in the Plains that there would be at least some room for UL ridging over the eastern CONUS, particularly with a +NAO. I want to see our southern stream wave help set the table here...Can’t wait for the Atlantic...need our southern stream wave moving across the Rockies around hr 72 to flex its muscles and provide some downstream ridging earlier on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 Meanwhile how crazy am I. Taking a walk in 80/67 and happily booked return early to Thursday night vs Friday. Gotta experience it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 40 minutes ago, powderfreak said: But what about the EPO? It’s so easy being them. Just go with the coldest and snowiest outcome.....but funny thing is, they been more right than not this decade lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 32 minutes ago, weathafella said: Meanwhile how crazy am I. Taking a walk in 80/67 and happily booked return early to Thursday night vs Friday. Gotta experience it! You're a die hard, Jerry. 15.3* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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