Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Euro and EPS did not appear southern stream dominant and were underwhelming at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Eps looked pretty good if you want it to snow this upcoming weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro and EPS did not appear southern stream dominant and were underwhelming at 12z It is not per se the handling of the southern stream shortwave, it is the handling of potential phase between the northern stream and the southern stream, the northern stream is the stream being mis handled right now, instead of swinging the disturbance in the south from NC to the NE or NNE up the coast, the northern stream isn't digging enough into the OH Valley to make the southern stream come up the coast, while in this case the southern stream is more so the Pacific Jet stream. Not really a sub-tropical jet influence, which is why I think this storm comes up the coast, we have seen this season already in the first month with coastal storms coming closer than modeled in the last 36 hours, this system isn't even in the NAM range yet of 84 hours, we have plenty of time before we give this system no more chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Models look good for an Ocean Effect Snow potential given the NNE winds or N winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I said that if we finished the month with less than 12", which is a normal December here, then I'd be dissapointed considering the look. 13.5" and the whitest Christmas ever. I'm content. 31.60" for December so far, If i don't see another flake this month, I'll have no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro and EPS did not appear southern stream dominant and were underwhelming at 12z Euro was no blizzard but a nice 3-6” refresher S of the Pike. Less north. No complaints this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: 31.60" for December so far, If i don't see another flake this month, I'll have no complaints. Remember when you said this was no 07 and I said just wait, well 7 more inches to catch 07 for Dec for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Remember when you said this was no 07 and I said just wait, well 7 more inches to catch 07 for Dec for you? 9.9" to be exact, 41.5" for dec that winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Euro was no blizzard but a nice 3-6” refresher S of the Pike. Less north. No complaints this far out. Those looking for the big dog will miss the small dog thru the trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: 10" Gray had 38 in 07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gray had 38 in 07 9 storms, 41.5" here in Dec 07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 47 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro and EPS did not appear southern stream dominant and were underwhelming at 12z Really? I haven't looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Weeklies don't really have a January trough anymore Negative epo from week 4 onward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 31.60" for December so far, If i don't see another flake this month, I'll have no complaints. Nice! Only 18.75 here at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: Nice! Only 18.75 here at the Pit. Last December, to date, was better. Looks cold and dry for WNE the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 Euro likes NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 hours ago, weathafella said: Euro likes NYE. 06z GFS coming around too. It’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: 06z GFS coming around too. It’s coming. Don’t we generally want a whiff at this lead time? Seems like a storm modeled greater than maybe 3 days out almost never comes to pass. Well, it does pass — out to sea or up the apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 hour ago, JBinStoughton said: Don’t we generally want a whiff at this lead time? Seems like a storm modeled greater than maybe 3 days out almost never comes to pass. Well, it does pass — out to sea or up the apps. No that’s sort of a myth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Euro on its own. A few years ago I would have assumed all the other models will be playing catch-up. Nowadays it seems we are just waiting for a euro cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Euro on its own. A few years ago I would have assumed all the other models will be playing catch-up. Nowadays it seems we are just waiting for a euro cave. Remember when the gfs was out to sea for yesterday? I’ll take the euro. And it’s not a cave. When guidance is highly divided there is usually a compromise in that 3-4 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Then again euro has SW CT in a qpf bullseye....so of course it is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Euro looks all northern stream Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 BOX: The impact of a potential weekend storm will remain somewhat uncertain while the contributing energy is over the data sparse regions of the Arctic and Pacific Ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 The euro did ok with yesterdays storm, I would not be kicking it to the curb on this next potential, But i'm not on board for anything significant up here on this one yet , It could very possibly be a miss and stay further south in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: The euro did ok with yesterdays storm, I would not be kicking it to the curb on this next potential, But i'm not on board for anything significant up here on this one yet , It could very possibly be a miss and stay further south in SNE. It would be about time this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2017 Author Share Posted December 26, 2017 Anyone on the line temperature wise yesterday knows the euro killed other globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 So what I'd like to see from the GFS today is a continued suppression on the lead southern s/w. That's what the trend has been over the last 3 runs. It scoots well offshore ahead of the trailing northern stream diving out of Canada. By doing all this it allows for the trailing wave to dig more and carve out a decent trough and develop our Miller B that the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Anyone on the line temperature wise yesterday knows the euro killed other globals. I’m banging the Swiss. Nailed temps. While the stupid azz GFS had LWM at 32, it showed a pool of 20s sagging southeast. It was the only model bringing me off the ledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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