RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Too bad it’s 200+ hours out and it’ll change next run. CMC offers very little if any snow through the entire run Actually, Fri is like 114hr and follow up is 180hr but whats 100 hours amongst friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2017 Author Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Eh... they could all whiff, who knows Did you bother to look at the CMC ensembles for the appropriate time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Tip wherever he his and Jerry will appreciate this, don't think I have seen -5.5 since Jan 94 most relaible indicator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Crushers on guidance. Long week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Crushers on guidance. Long week ahead. Worth watching for another day or two, but I'm guessing these will be southern/eastern things. Very unlikely these impact up here barring any far distant deformation banding. I like my p/c for Thursday. Thursday Sunny and cold, with a high near 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 lol...one 4” storm on Xmas morning after a forecast of 7” and MPM is in full Eeyore mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 58 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol...one 4” storm on Xmas morning after a forecast of 7” and MPM is in full Eeyore mode. It's become quite tiresome to hear every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2017 Author Share Posted December 25, 2017 24 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's become quite tiresome to hear every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2017 Author Share Posted December 25, 2017 Those Canadian ensembles were known back in the day as our most reliable temperature guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 49 minutes ago, weathafella said: Those Canadian ensembles were known back in the day as our most reliable temperature guidance. MEX with a double 6 up here Fri/Sat and a 6-2 at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 EC op/EPC 2m temps don't get above -2 here Thu...should be no cheap midnight highs either. MEX is currently 10F at CON which would be about 7F here. My hunch is it'll underestimate the llvl cold and it'll verify a few degrees colder than that. I think my record low max here since '06 is 4.2F or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Looks like a classic GFS bias of making the southern stream dominant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks like a classic GFS bias of making the southern stream dominant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Powderkeg potential this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Methinks gonna be a doozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 And GFS also shows the NYD potential as well. A bit offshore but very similar to preceding storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 00z CMC did that too. Lots of time for improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 00z CMC did that too. Lots of time for improvements. Hopefully not a real ****streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2017 Author Share Posted December 25, 2017 46 minutes ago, dendrite said: MEX with a double 6 up here Fri/Sat and a 6-2 at BOS. Already plotting an early return from FL. Wife is on board. Leaving for FL 4pm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 A week out. Hoping we see trends go in a drier direction. I have enough things to do without having to shovel, snowplow and worry about getting to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 11 minutes ago, The Graupler said: A week out. Hoping we see trends go in a drier direction. I have enough things to do without having to shovel, snowplow and worry about getting to work. Blasphemy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 13 minutes ago, The Graupler said: A week out. Hoping we see trends go in a drier direction. I have enough things to do without having to shovel, snowplow and worry about getting to work. You will take 6-12" from off the top rope and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: You will take 6-12" from off the top rope and like it. And thensome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 hour ago, dendrite said: EC op/EPC 2m temps don't get above -2 here Thu...should be no cheap midnight highs either. MEX is currently 10F at CON which would be about 7F here. My hunch is it'll underestimate the llvl cold and it'll verify a few degrees colder than that. I think my record low max here since '06 is 4.2F or something. That's because you weren't there in 2004. On Jan 14,15 that year I had highs of -7 and -8, and that -7 was recorded at 9:01 PM on the 13th as the temp plummeted by, afternoon of the 14th topped out at -11, with a biting wind. Farmington co-op had -8 and -6, tying for 3rd and 5th coldest maxima in 125 years of record. Since that year my lowest maxwas+1 in 2007, though cheap 9:01 PM highs spoiled the -2 on 3/6/07 and zero on 3/11 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 12z GEFS unenthusiastic about the 30th. Went the wrong way from 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Good, I hope you all get the snow you desire with a massive dry slot over my house and drive to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 31 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z GEFS unenthusiastic about the 30th. Went the wrong way from 06z. There is zero doubt in my mind that a miss is solidly on the table... easily could just scoot south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There is zero doubt in my mind that a miss is solidly on the table... easily could just scoot south Jeez you are Debbie Downer. There is no doubt in my mind that a miss is on the table re a coastal storm being modelled 6 days out. Is there ever not a doubt in that situation? If our pattern persists we have a good shot of a storm that affects a good part of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Did anyone take note of the act of God sparing Bermuda on the 12z GFS? Whew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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