WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, Hazey said: Yeah but the last half dozen runs have been leaning warmer. Sadly the only thing struggling is our chances of a white Christmas. That’s not so...0z last night GFS had cold and snow Xmas day. Listen, I don’t care if there’s snow on the ground or not on Xmas day...if there is great. But if not I’m not all upset about that either. Lots of cOld and action coming in right after Xmas..even if it ends up being a warm one. I’m not convinced Xmas is gonna be mild yet though...time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s not so...0z last night GFS had cold and snow Xmas day. Listen, I don’t care if there’s snow on the ground or not on Xmas day...if there is great. But if not I’m not all upset about that either. Lots of cOld and action coming in right after Xmas..even if it ends up being a warm one. I’m not convinced Xmas is gonna be mild yet though...time will tell. I’m not nearly as sold lock stock and barrel like Ginx is. Obviously there is some concern. If it becomes apparent it is in the 60’s with dews and rains like they say/show.. I’m going to be very very upset. But it’s too early for that. Many times these end up CAD with 3 hours of warmth prior to fropa . Many options on table 7 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not nearly as sold lock stock and barrel like Ginx is. Obviously there is some concern. If it becomes apparent it is in the 60’s with dews and rains like they say/show.. I’m going to be very very upset. But it’s too early for that. Many times these end up CAD with 3 hours of warmth prior to fropa . Many options on table 7 days out Don't worry about it Sipperell gotcha back uesday Partly sunny, with a high near 46. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Friday A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Lol we actually agree on that Kevin. its a ways off yet..9 days, so anything can happen. And if it gets mild..don’t let it ruin your holiday/day...can’t control it either way. Lets see how it all plays out over the next week plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 pull down the shades and get out the razor blades.....geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't worry about it Sipperell gotcha back uesday Partly sunny, with a high near 46. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Friday A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Except that Hayden Frank was on the desk today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 33 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol we actually agree on that Kevin. its a ways off yet..9 days, so anything can happen. And if it gets mild..don’t let it ruin your holiday/day...can’t control it either way. Lets see how it all plays out over the next week plus. Basically trolling Kevin knowing he is on edge about losing his pack, things change every 12 hrs but today was a bad day, lets hope there is a Miracle on 34th Street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Basically trolling Kevin knowing he is on edge about losing his pack, things change every 12 hrs but today was a bad day, lets hope there is a Miracle on 34th Street Ryan’s boss says naso fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 I’m close to buying a one way ticket on the torch train. Close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m close to buying a one way ticket on the torch train. Close. That period near Christmas doesn’t look good. That cutter is definitely the favored outcome of that look holds. After that, who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m close to buying a one way ticket on the torch train. Close. Pouring gas on the tracks I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Pouring gas on the tracks I see I mentioned two weeks ago that if the -EPO forms...you risk cutters near Christmas. Prepare and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I mentioned two weeks ago that if the -EPO forms...you risk cutters near Christmas. Prepare and hope for the best. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 The Christmas cutter is the one meteorological phenomenon that is invincible to regression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats That's not my point. In the face of snowbros slapping their weenies across each others face about winter locking in...I simply was stating something realistic. I know it goes against the cold and snow agenda, but so be it. I despite cutters like anyone else, but lets not sugar coat it. Hopefully we have a flatter solution. This far out you favor a EPS solution, but I would not toss anything. Better hope the EPS is right for Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's not my point. In the face of snowbros slapping their weenies across each others face about winter locking in...I simply was stating something realistic. I know it goes against the cold and snow agenda, but so be it. I despite cutters like anyone else, but lets not sugar coat it. Hopefully we have a flatter solution. This far out you favor a EPS solution, but I would not toss anything. Better hope the EPS is right for Christmas Day. Only 1 snowbro thought winter was locking in, rest understand the risk. We wait 5 hrs for the next segment of how the weenies turn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 I will say, After today's model runs, I had this acid vomit taste in my mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: The Christmas cutter is the one meteorological phenomenon that is invincible to regression. we 2007/8 congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: I will say, After today's model runs, I had this acid vomit taste in my mouth. Bud Lime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Bud Lime? Actually, Crown on the rocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Actually, Crown on the rocks. my Man, heights AN Eastern Canada, you have to love that, low dew point drains against a SE Ridge, you are going to have one long arse winter my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 33 minutes ago, dendrite said: The Christmas cutter is the one meteorological phenomenon that is invincible to regression. The Saint Johnsbury (1V4) 2F average temperature increase around the 25th is the real deal though dailies have some variability... it's still amazingly consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 I'm glad everyone here is concerned about the massive SE ridge around Christmas, looks like 60s and high dews coming. Grinchmas has officially become a meteorological holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The Saint Johnsbury (1V4) 2F average temperature increase around the 25th is the real deal though dailies have some variability... it's still amazingly consistent. We documented the reality, its the strangest thing. I can't find another month Nov to March where ave temps rise for 2 days late in the month then fall. Amazing couplet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We documented the reality, its the strangest thing. I can't find another month Nov to March where ave temps rise for 2 days late in the month then fall. Amazing couplet. Or maybe we can mimic the best Christmas Miracle Christmas eve of them all 1983, Grinch washed away the cover as temps rose near 50 on the 22nd and 40s on the 23rd. An arctic blast was preceded by the most idyllic fluffy snow you ever want to see Christmas, followed by the coldest Christmas day of my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I’m close to buying a one way ticket on the torch train. Close. Why ? Nothing supports that near xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: That's not my point. In the face of snowbros slapping their weenies across each others face about winter locking in...I simply was stating something realistic. I know it goes against the cold and snow agenda, but so be it. I despite cutters like anyone else, but lets not sugar coat it. Hopefully we have a flatter solution. This far out you favor a EPS solution, but I would not toss anything. Better hope the EPS is right for Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 16 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Why ? Nothing supports that near xmas. Sure it does. Are you not looking at guidance? Could easily end up colder but to say nothing supports it is just flat out wrong. The big EPO folding over a little was mentioned a few days ago as something that could support a cutter or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Or maybe we can mimic the best Christmas Miracle Christmas eve of them all 1983, Grinch washed away the cover as temps rose near 50 on the 22nd and 40s on the 23rd. An arctic blast was preceded by the most idyllic fluffy snow you ever want to see Christmas, followed by the coldest Christmas day of my life I'll never forget that cold . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 15 minutes ago, kdxken said: I'll never forget that cold . This one in 1980 didn't have the wind chill but oh my snot freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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