powderfreak Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 EPS with 6"+ for pretty much all of NNE, with gradient in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: furthermore at some point the E crowd is going to have to withstand some regression to the mean You pray And I think you are projecting. Everything will be ok..i swear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Who is mad? lol right? Its 6 days away. That's an eternity in model land. There may not even be any storm period. I'm a little weary of the day 4-6 pump fake, where it looks good then starts going back the other way, but that's just because I don't want to tell everyone it looks like snow on Christmas, only to have it go back to something from earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who is mad? Bitter much? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Might need to start Snow Anonymous meetings at St Leonard’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Winter is awful and someone is taking my snow. I am upset and sullen. Am I doing it right? Am I learning to forum correctly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, Minenfeld! said: Winter is awful and someone is taking my snow. I am upset and sullen. Am I doing it right? Am I learning to forum correctly? Not bad, but add a bit of wishcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: Winter is awful and someone is taking my snow. I am upset and sullen. Am I doing it right? Am I learning to forum correctly? Guide to correct phrases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 20, 2017 Author Share Posted December 20, 2017 52 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: maybe we have to withstand a few cruddy systems before something better, at least it will be fairly snowy up north which is more overdue than my next hand pay...almost no one back this way and especially n/w is complaining but the epicosity crowd seems especially pensive must be like heroin....the highs the E crowd have had are just so intoxicating that they seem to just want more and more and more, fortunately I have not had that problem furthermore at some point the E crowd is going to have to withstand some regression to the mean Can you picture the man breaking fishing poles in half in a drunken rage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Might need to start Snow Anonymous meetings at St Leonard’s. lol....Norwalk or Newington? I can come to the one in Newington and would attend every meeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 18 minutes ago, ice1972 said: lol....Norwalk or Newington? I can come to the one in Newington and would attend every meeting I was thinking more North End Boston, for the addicted EMA crowd Codfish is angry at. You have suffered enough in death valley over the years and I have busted/missed on a number of big events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Nice GFS Christmas day inverted trough miracle. That'll happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 bernie thinks xmas snow might have some legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said: maybe we have to withstand a few cruddy systems before something better, at least it will be fairly snowy up north which is more overdue than my next hand pay...almost no one back this way and especially n/w is complaining but the epicosity crowd seems especially pensive must be like heroin....the highs the E crowd have had are just so intoxicating that they seem to just want more and more and more, fortunately I have not had that problem furthermore at some point the E crowd is going to have to withstand some regression to the mean Lol, project much? Nobody here is complaining. It’s also important to point out that everyone has done half decent overall. Has Anyone had it bad?the skiing has been pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I firmly expect a regression at some point, but I don’t think many are going to get sour grapes. Even James doesn’t melt lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 51 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Nice GFS Christmas day inverted trough miracle. That'll happen. That’s nonsense. Hopefully we see the models compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 20, 2017 Author Share Posted December 20, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s nonsense. Hopefully we see the models compromise. Models all over the place. I’m liking the continuing good pattern in the long range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 gfs still not buying xmas. Comprimise with eura would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I am hearing from very smart folks that we are entering into a very cold next few weeks at least. As Siberian cold air comes down. A major pattern change is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: We don't toss the EPS: Big snowmaker in my area too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs still not buying xmas. Comprimise with eura would be nice. I am still dead on the path it’s going to resemble the east members of the EPS. Looking at numerous other models for the event and using biases/tendencies vs the GFS/Euro when we see this sort of scenario unfolds leads directly to a weaker storm idea. I don’t even use the Canadian since it’s just usually too wacko and inconsistent from event to event but the NAM at 84/NavGem coupled with about 4-5 other foreign models I usually use all are anti storm for the most part and usually at least 2 from that group would already be amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: Models all over the place. I’m liking the continuing good pattern in the long range though. Me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I am still dead on the path it’s going to resemble the east members of the EPS. Looking at numerous other models for the event and using biases/tendencies vs the GFS/Euro when we see this sort of scenario unfolds leads directly to a weaker storm idea. I don’t even use the Canadian since it’s just usually too wacko and inconsistent from event to event but the NAM at 84/NavGem coupled with about 4-5 other foreign models I usually use all are anti storm for the most part and usually at least 2 from that group would already be amped As much as I want the EURO solution to pan out, I do think there's a very real chance its not that organized and/or passes out to the south with areas of snow showers and weird meso-scale stuff bringing some light snows. The compression of the height fields in the northeast looks like a meat grinder scenario would certainly be possible. Compressed fast flow may very well win out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 6 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Where should I be looking at to see possible ZR vs IP? 850s? Scott gave a nice primer. The best way is definitely forecast soundings. Typically you need about 1000 m of >0C air to fully melt a hydrometeor. So if you have a deep region of +1C, you can still get a lot of FZRA. At the surface you want close to 1000 m of <0C air to fully refreeze to PL (ideally with the coldest temp in the near surface cold layer -6C or less). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Agree with PF and GreyGoose. I havent liked the setup, eura op is way too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: As much as I want the EURO solution to pan out, I do think there's a very real chance its not that organized and/or passes out to the south with areas of snow showers and weird meso-scale stuff bringing some light snows. The compression of the height fields in the northeast looks like a meat grinder scenario would certainly be possible. Compressed fast flow may very well win out. I feel like this has some thing going for a more hugger solution too. I take 3-5" and a dryslot and you can get your 12" of gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Christmas snowstorm on the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2017 Author Share Posted December 21, 2017 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Christmas snowstorm on the CMC GFS is just starting to sniff it. In either case, active and cold next week onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Oh man if only the CMC could get it right for a change. What a tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Harv is going for colder solution on Christmas and leaning toward snow for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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