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Winter model mehhem or mayhem nature will decide


weathafella

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7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing, just amazing. The grinch is real and there is no doubt, the string continues. Need a hail Mary on Christmas day to save any chances of white probably up into SNH

 

Oh god..what are we to do..the end is near.

 

it'll be a December to remember for sure now lol!!!!  The Grinch Rules....he’s a mean one!  

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10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing, just amazing. The grinch is real and there is no doubt, the string continues. Need a hail Mary on Christmas day to save any chances of white probably up into SNH

 

Oh god..what are we to do..the end is near.

 

it'll be a December to remember for sure now lol!!!!  The Grinch Rules....he’s a mean one!  

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14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing, just amazing. The grinch is real and there is no doubt, the string continues. Need a hail Mary on Christmas day to save any chances of white probably up into SNH

 

Oh god..what are we to do..the end is near.

 

it'll be a December to remember for sure now lol!!!!  The Grinch Rules....he’s a mean one!  

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5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That was about the Christmas day storm, bad reading for your loss, we cut we melt, we melt even before we cut

Let’s get this straight... you are guaranteeing warm , mild rains, snow wiped out to SNH, and no white Xmas? 

And no chance of a compromise solution between Gefs and Euro op?

 

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Let’s get this straight... you are guaranteeing warm , mild rains, snow wiped out to SNH, and no white Xmas? 

And no chance of a compromise solution between Gefs and Euro op?

 

Probably , warm week before Christmas, even without a cutter, could be a mild up low rain cutter but right now I would say the odds of white in my hood with 3 inches of baking powder OTG are slim

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it will def be a torch if it takes the track up the St Lawrence. But I wouldn't rule out a colder look just yet. Today's guidance def doesn't look good but still a week out. 

We are in the classic situation of "the cutters always work out" right now... it shows a cutter, its probably right, ha.  Lots of track options for it to rain but a much more narrow track needed for overrunning winter event.

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

We are in the classic situation of "the cutters always work out" right now... it shows a cutter, its probably right, ha.  Lots of track options for it to rain but a much more narrow track needed for overrunning winter event.

Yeah it could go through Massena or BUF or DET or the UP of MI and its all bad for us. 

That said, the overrunning or SWFE type track is still possible but today's euro and EPS were not encouraging. 

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5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This whole Grinch thing has literally gone back and forth 10’times already.  I wouldn’t be locking in either scenario at this stage-more than a week out.  Could be a nice mild Xmas holiday or not.  Anything is on the table..that’s the take away at the moment.

It should be colder than what the models show. The models are stuggling.

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