Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Theres a chance at least 60-70% is great at this time frame. That map 2 days ago was under 10% Its coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 60-70% is great at this time frame. That map 2 days ago was under 10% Its coming The trend is our friend...for now. Still time to hone the details. Let's see what the 12z suite brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 We've got another 36-48hrs before the s/w comes onshore so don't go leaving weenies and milk out for Santa just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: We've got another 36-48hrs before the s/w comes onshore so don't go leaving weenies and milk out for Santa just yet. Pretty sure that may be illegal in some states...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Models are showing some man cold next week too. Not sure if wxblue is returning to NC for the holidays, but we may be able to get him some below 0F even at DAW...-25C 850s tickling S NH on the ec and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Models are showing some man cold next week too. Not sure if wxblue is returning to NC for the holidays, but we may be able to get him some below 0F even at DAW...-25C 850s tickling S NH on the ec and gfs. Nothing fake about whats coming in here next week for cold as long as it holds up on the models and doesn't moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 There's a pretty classic icing signal over the interior for Friday night and early Saturday....that's gonna have to be watched. Unless we keep drifting a bit colder, then maybe its more IP/SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 NAM is pretty interesting in its lalaland range for NNE late Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: NAM is pretty interesting in its lalaland range for NNE late Sat. Also seems to have trended a bit cooler as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 More overrunning on the Nam at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, WintersComing said: Also seems to have trended a bit cooler as well. My 850s and 2m are still below freezing at 84hr valid 00z Sun. That low is way SE compared to where it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Not saying its right or wrong at this lead, But models seem to be moving slowly away from the full blown cutter that was showing up a few days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Looks like the NAM may be trying to develop a meso low in the GOM at the end of it's run. This trend just keeps getting better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Not saying its right or wrong at this lead, But model seem to be moving slowly away from the full blown cutter that was showing up a few days back. usual NAM caveats, but lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 This may stay below 32 right to the coast of SNE entire event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Every model has a mesolow too that forms near the Cape or just south and moves NNE....that's an obvious cold tuck sig for eastern MA and maybe even RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's a pretty classic icing signal over the interior for Friday night and early Saturday....that's gonna have to be watched. Unless we keep drifting a bit colder, then maybe its more IP/SN. I'm a little worried about that. I am picking guests up at Logan 6:00 pm Friday. The ride back could get dicey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: usual NAM caveats, but lol... Last couple days that slp was already moving thru the lakes...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Maybe one of those multi-day events with a pause or 2, but we end up with snow on 3 out of 4 days in a row. Dec 2008 style. I know, its a different set up, but I want one of those "days and days of snow" event that Kevin talks about so regularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Closing in on a foot in the southern whites on Saturday evening. Whatever falls on Sunday cements it in for Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 At this point, It really looks like we gain on the pack even if we get some RN, It would be temps in the high 30's for a short period of time up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: At this point, It really looks like we gain on the pack even if we get some RN, It would be temps in the high 30's for a short period of time up here. I approve this message Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 It sounds like it could be good base building stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 45 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not saying its right or wrong at this lead, But models seem to be moving slowly away from the full blown cutter that was showing up a few days back. Snow88 FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Having the wave trend less amplified and scoring a few inches of snow on the front end does not mean the EPO block prevented a cutter. It means that we were lucky to have the wave amplify/phase less and/or later. The EPO def. helps by having all of the cold in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Oh boy here we go again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 20, 2017 Author Share Posted December 20, 2017 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Having the wave trend less amplified and scoring a few inches of snow on the front end does not mean the EPO block prevented a cutter. It means that we were lucky to have the wave amplify/phase less and/or later. The EPO def. helps by having all of the cold in place. It means the amplified solution gave to the pushing of the cold high to the north. It is not pure luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 GFS coming in colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: It means the amplified solution gave to the pushing of the cold high to the north. It is not pure luck. A surface high does not influence mid level dynamics. A triple point low will delay, but as the front nears the atnosphere will mix out and temps will spike. If you are to keep the mid levels east, you are at the mercy of timing related nuances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 12z GGEM is now a SWFE................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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