CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Well Friday is congrats NNE pretty much so 12z yesterday seems a fake out. Maybe some light snow down here. But the euro op pretty much wedges us lol. No cutter there. Hopefully that is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 EPS is colder than the op for Xmas storm The op also shifted east and it wouldn't take much for everyone to be in play. Right now , inland areas have the best chance of accumulating snow. The Euro also shows a big snowstorm at the end of the run just like the other models show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well Friday is congrats NNE pretty much so 12z yesterday seems a fake out. Maybe some light snow down here. But the euro op pretty much wedges us lol. No cutter there. Hopefully that is right. Meaning 30’s Sat and no sector? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I'm heading up to Pit2 this morning to perhaps late Friday/maybe Saturday depending on weather. I think I'll score some snow at one place or the other--leaning toward Pit2 as the winner. Man, the CMC is tasty though. 34.9, gusting to 28mph at 8'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Euro is pretty awesome http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF0.5_0z/ecmwfloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Hit em in the left knee, hit em in the right knee, hit him in the weenie-weenie-we need a touchdown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Triggered What's your problem ? Lol, some of you guys take this way too seriously. Sent from my XT1254 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Meaning 30’s Sat and no sector? Yeah or low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Wait, so can someone lay out the main changes to be expected starting Friday and ending Tues? I'm looking at the models but I just want to be sure. Thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Wait, so can someone lay out the main changes to be expected starting Friday and ending Tues? I'm looking at the models but I just want to be sure. Thanks guys!We’ll let you know on Wednesday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 WPC is leaning Euro and GEFS and throwing out the GFS: THE GFS HAS CONSISTENTLY BEEN ON THE FAST SIDE WITH MOVING THIS SURFACE LOW NORTHWARD ON CHRISTMAS DAY (DAY 5), WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF WAS MUCH CLOSER TO THE ECENS/GEFS MEAN CONSENSUS, WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A DECENT CLUSTERING OF MEMBERS FROM BOTH ENSEMBLES. THUS, THE ECMWF IS GENERALLY THE PREFERRED DETERMINISTIC SOLUTION FOR HANDLING OF THE EAST COAST SURFACE LOW DAYS 5-6. THE GFS WAS REMOVED ENTIRELY FROM THE FORECAST BLEND STARTING ON DAY 5, IN FAVOR OF INCREASED ENSEMBLE MEAN WEIGHTING ALONG THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Some good signals for better systems in the LR. See how that unfolds once we celebrate santas arrival with a cold front. Better than previous years but brown grass it is. Last few pages have been a circus, funny yet borderline problematic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Coming in here and seeing only a page and a half of post told me all i need to know for Friday and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 59 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Hit em in the left knee, hit em in the right knee, hit him in the weenie-weenie-we need a touchdown! Congrats Syracuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Some good signals for better systems in the LR. See how that unfolds once we celebrate santas arrival with a cold front. Better than previous years but brown grass it is. Last few pages have been a circus, funny yet borderline problematic. Xmas looks great . You will not see your grass. Not sure what you are looking at, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: Coming in here and seeing only a page and a half of post told me all i need to know for Friday and Monday. Yup. I was hoping to see multiple pages of "Holy Sh*t" but instead it's just crickets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Yup. I was hoping to see multiple pages of "Holy Sh*t" but instead it's just crickets Not really much to discuss. The chances are still there. That's all anyone needs to know at this point. I'm sure chatter will pick up later today if things look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: Coming in here and seeing only a page and a half of post told me all i need to know for Friday and Monday. It's snows where it wants to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 20 minutes ago, Hoth said: Congrats Syracuse. That's always the problem this far out. This'll be a fish storm soon. Back to microanalyzing wind vectors at 384 hrs on global models for fake snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's snows where it wants to snow. Looks like its CNE north right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Xmas looks great . You will not see your grass. Not sure what you are looking at, I’m not a big fan of systems forming after a CF passage. The timing has to be just right. We’ve been lucky with those, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I’m guessing people are using op GFS runs. That’s the only thing to figure. We’re planning on snow to the coast with this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 No, I saw el euro and eps...still dont trust the setup though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's snows where it wants to snow. Tried and true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m guessing people are using op GFS runs. That’s the only thing to figure. We’re planning on snow to the coast with this setup Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Friday/Saturday storm could go anywhere. At this point, I don't think we can rule out a coastal bomb. Pretty much every model I've seen has trended east from a disgusting cutter a few days back, to something that tracks up Central New England, to an outright coastal nearly over the benchmark. Hopefully the trend continues today and this thread is 50 pages by tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Friday is more CNE and NNE. 12z yesterday looked a little too good to be true. Looks like more of a little -SN or mixed precip down here. Possible extended glaze inland if euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m guessing people are using op GFS runs. That’s the only thing to figure. We’re planning on snow to the coast with this setup Theres a chance at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 GFS has trended east. The last shift is 100 miles from keeping NNE all snow. Not saying it's going to happen but I'd give it a 25% chance. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Theres a chance at least lol...that's increased a bit from yesterday it seems....going in the right direction I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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