Hazey Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Jeeze this trend keeps up and there maybe a few folks who might have to apologize to that Snow88 kid....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 35 minutes ago, dryslot said: As we see time and time again, The cold is under modeled on the front end and should continue to see some improvements going forward. Snow88? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 A lot of hope is being placed on the ever so steady GFS Just get the rain out of here early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Hope this doesn’t affect Xmas snows/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Jeeze this trend keeps up and there maybe a few folks who might have to apologize to that Snow88 kid....lol He's an adult Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: Jeeze this trend keeps up and there maybe a few folks who might have to apologize to that Snow88 kid....lol He’s a cop in NYC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s a cop in NYC lol He has been for a little while now. I recall when he first started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: He's an adult 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s a cop in NYC lol LOL whatever. He might be the new Rev if he pulls this one off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hope this doesn’t affect Xmas snows/ice It might...but who knows for sure. The Xmas storm is still pretty precarious anyway. I think this run will be decent though on the GFs, it looks cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Quite the run form the 12z GGEM, Doesn't cut the first s/w on the 23rd but cuts the one on Christmas...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Gfs is coming in colder for xmas Better press of colder air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Santa spotting on gfs, coming up the east coast christmas eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Definitely deeper cold for the X-mas storm to work with on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Quite the run form the 12z GGEM, Doesn't cut the first s/w on the 23rd but cuts the one on Christmas...........lol Classic GGEM, some exotic solution past 96 hours. But can't really discount anything yet...this is the classic powderfreak analogy...the unmanned firehose going in all different directions with each little ripple in the flow. It can change the outcome quite a bit from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 That's a pretty big jump east on the 12z gfs. Puts most in the game for a white x-mas. hmmm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Classic GGEM, some exotic solution past 96 hours. But can't really discount anything yet...this is the classic powderfreak analogy...the unmanned firehose going in all different directions with each little ripple in the flow. It can change the outcome quite a bit from run to run. , It swings for the fences many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 MJO 7-8 and negative epo will force the cold air into the east and force the baroclinic line offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Not a big storm, but at least flakes would fall on Christmas. Really have to watch the Friday/Saturday system north of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2017 Author Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, WxBlue said: Not a big storm, but at least flakes would fall on Christmas. Really have to watch the Friday/Saturday system north of the Pike. 3-6+ for Boston on both GFS/CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Not a big storm, but at least flakes would fall on Christmas. Really have to watch the Friday/Saturday system north of the Pike. Why wouldn’t 95 north watch it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 That xmas vortmax gets sheared out...keep it consolidated and move it through more compact and we'll get a stronger system. Plenty of time to work on that...just get the cold air in ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: MJO 7-8 and negative epo will force the cold air into the east and force the baroclinic line offshore If it is phase 7, the rain/snow line should be somewhere in the vicinity of Sussex County, but if it gets into phase 8 then we are looking at something more along the lines of Monmouth to Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 As I predicted several pages back......We SNOW on Christmas!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, JC-CT said: If it is phase 7, the rain/snow line should be somewhere in the vicinity of Sussex County, but if it gets into phase 8 then we are looking at something more along the lines of Monmouth to Suffolk. Metfan has it so simplified. I'm not sure why we never figured it out before. Maybe James can write a sequel to Good Will Hunting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: That xmas vortmax gets sheared out...keep it consolidated and move it through more compact and we'll get a stronger system. Plenty of time to work on that...just get the cold air in ahead of it. Yeah I'm more concerned about getting the boundary offshore enough than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 The irony of the cutter is this scenario is probably a net loss up here even with a few inches on Friday. The cutter gets pretty amped up and my hunch is even we'd mix out to brief 50s dews in CADland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why wouldn’t 95 north watch it? A lot more tainting happening between 95 and 90, but as someone noted, our Quebec highs kept overperforming this year so we'll have to see. Could be a solid event north of Pike with the tainting to minimum before the cutter bring all of us rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Yeah I'm more concerned about getting the boundary offshore enough than anything else.It kinda seems like it is trending that way over the last few cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Is it just me or does it seem like the Euro this early season has been playing catch up to the other models with many of the systems thus far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Is it just me or does it seem like the Euro this early season has been playing catch up to the other models with many of the systems thus far? The Euro has been behind every model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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