moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There’s no melting, just tell it how it is. Enjoy the meltdown. We start from scratch. I'm hoping I will have a little base left to add to. As of this morning, I still have over 8" on the picnic table. The damage from today's progged upper 30's might give a sense of what disaster awaits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Euro ensembles def ticked a little colder for Xmas. Still need a little help though for SNE. The front part of the grinch storm is turning into a sheared mess. Might actually get some front end snow out of that if it continues. Still won't avoid the eventual St Lawrence track though I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There’s no melting, just tell it how it is. Enjoy the meltdown. We start from scratch. There was never any doubt of rains to Maine or pack erasures to NH. Ours will be gone today. You lost it.. especially Sunday morning . Full on melt. At any rate, nice to see the ice/ snow threat for Xmas day now showing up . Gets stronger every 12 hours now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There was never any doubt of rains to Maine or pack erasures to NH. Ours will be gone today. You lost it.. especially Sunday morning . Full on melt. At any rate, nice to see the ice/ snow threat for Xmas day now showing up . Gets stronger every 12 hours now If we can pull some front-end magic on Friday, we might maintain a little coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Euro has taken a step towards the GFS over the last few runs, That first s/w is getting run thru the grinder some and is making it further south and east before it runs up the St Lawrence instead of cutting thru MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Euro has taken a step towards the GFS over the last few runs, That first s/w is getting run thru the grinder some and is making it further south and east before it runs up the St Lawrence instead of cutting thru MI. Hopefully the inevitable warmth will be both delayed and short-lived. I'm thinking GC will do better than the Mid-Coast in this set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hopefully the inevitable warmth will be both delayed and short-lived. I'm thinking GC will do better than the Mid-Coast in this set-up. Not saying the GFS is right, But if we can get a thump on the front end, Then rain and snow/sleet on the back end, We may not lose to much ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Not saying the GFS is right, But if we can get a thump on the front end, Then rain and snow/sleet on the back end, We may not lose to much ground. You're much better positioned in this than the coast. I might head up there tomorrow for a couple days. Hopefully it won't be a bad decision regarding the Friday/Saturday opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There was never any doubt of rains to Maine or pack erasures to NH. Ours will be gone today. You lost it.. especially Sunday morning . Full on melt. At any rate, nice to see the ice/ snow threat for Xmas day now showing up . Gets stronger every 12 hours now It's fun to troll you. I'm still hoping Christmas is at least somewhat wintry. I will lose it if it's another Christmas with the windows open and sweating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There was never any doubt of rains to Maine or pack erasures to NH. Ours will be gone today. You lost it.. especially Sunday morning . Full on melt. At any rate, nice to see the ice/ snow threat for Xmas day now showing up . Gets stronger every 12 hours now There will be no pack erasure here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: There will be no pack erasure here. No not your area. Even in a worst case scenario, you never lose it. It’s possible if these colder trends for Grinch are correct, that even N and W Mass keep theirs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: There will be no pack erasure here. Remember when 3 days ago it was melted to the Canadian border, I thought to SNH because of the paltry depth, any more shredded luck and they could get quite a thumper the dumper before showers and rain and then a Christmas day miracle. I have little chance at this time but there's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: There was never any doubt of rains to Maine or pack erasures to NH. Ours will be gone today. You lost it.. especially Sunday morning . Full on melt. At any rate, nice to see the ice/ snow threat for Xmas day now showing up . Gets stronger every 12 hours now Really? After today? How warm had it been the last few days down there? I thought you were sitting solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Really? After today? How warm had it been the last few days down there? I thought you were sitting solid. Had 4-5” when I left this morning. Stayed at 33-34 all night so that didn’t help. Plus it’s low water content snow only had some rain frozen into it after last weeks rainer. With strong SW winds today and 42-43, I expect at least grass to be showing in places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Stayed mild last night..eating up the snow slowly but surely overnight and today should do it in for the most part here. Had solid cover up until this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Theres a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro ensembles def ticked a little colder for Xmas. Still need a little help though for SNE. The front part of the grinch storm is turning into a sheared mess. Might actually get some front end snow out of that if it continues. Still won't avoid the eventual St Lawrence track though I don't think. I’m always wary of models blowing the warm front to Quebec with a high sitting off to our NE. We may not wire to wire snow, but I’m hedging towards colder scenarios myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No not your area. Even in a worst case scenario, you never lose it. It’s possible if these colder trends for Grinch are correct, that even N and W Mass keep theirs . Saturday should wipe me clean. Maybe some ugly swiss cheese left over that becomes a rink. That's the worst. I would rather get bare ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 We have 3-5" of snow on ground here. Should be close on if we lose it or not before Christmas, but Friday's system should help us stay alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxBlue said: We have 3-5" of snow on ground here. Should be close on if we lose it or not before Christmas, but Friday's system should help us stay alive. The cold to the north over Canada north of Maine has over performed so far the last couple events, I expect the same to happen again on Friday for some at the surface at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I have never seen so much attention to how quickly it cools after a cutter...I mean, call me crazy, but who cares? Lol One solution that results in zero snow is the storm cuts and its down to 38 at noon on Christmas. The other solution has zero snow and its still 45 for Christmas dinner!!!!! #firstworldproblems #wakemewhenanoptionincludesbigsnows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have never seen so much attention to how quickly it cools after a cutter...I mean, call me crazy, but who cares? Lol One solution that results in zero snow is the storm cuts and its down to 38 at noon on Christmas. The other solution has zero snow and its still 45 for Christmas dinner!!!!! #firstworldproblems #wakemewhenanoptionincludesbigsnows And a more likely solution is the cold comes in Xmas eve an the interior snows/ices for white Xmas..and even the coast changes over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: And a more likely solution is the cold comes in Xmas eve an the interior snows/ices for white Xmas..and even the coast changes over Idk about that...I'll have to look. Having my exam so close to the holidays was awful...all xmas shopping has to be done thus week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Idk about that...I'll have to look. Having my exam so close to the holidays was awful...all xmas shopping has to be done thus week. #Amazon. I haven’t gone to any stores. No need to anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: The cold to the north over Canada north of Maine has over performed so far the last couple events, I expect the same to happen again on Friday for some at the surface at least. Could be similar to yesterday's event. Don't think we can avoid the rain from the cutter afterward, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Could be similar to yesterday's event. Don't think we can avoid the rain from the cutter afterward, though. No, I don't either down this way but up north a different story, But it could minimize the damage to maybe a break even if the back end snow/mix shows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 EPS has the AO going towards neutral Euro is trending towards the gfs in regards to xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: #Amazon. I haven’t gone to any stores. No need to anymore This. 36.3*. Drip, drip, drip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: EPS has the AO going towards neutral Euro is trending towards the gfs in regards to xmas. The fact that some sort of compromise is probably in order is not suprising. But the problem is it that it we are still seeing a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 GFS op for Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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