Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Just now, qg_omega said: No changes enjoy your 50s Bump! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Quite the range for temperatures on Saturday, even the ensembles within 3 days show a low confidence forecast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bump! FYI,even the latest 18z NAM shows 50s on Saturday for you and about 99% of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 13 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Quite the range for temperatures on Saturday, even the ensembles within 3 days show a low confidence forecast.... I mentioned the uncertainty in the other thread...very high. I'm starting to lean colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I mentioned the uncertainty in the other thread...very high. I'm starting to lean colder. I think high uncertainty this close in is good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Nice E MA hit on Euro next Tue-Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 24 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: FYI,even the latest 18z NAM shows 50s on Saturday for you and about 99% of SNE. To be fair: looks like most--if not all of SNE--loses the 50's Friday night, around midnight...per 18z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 33 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: FYI,even the latest 18z NAM shows 50s on Saturday for you and about 99% of SNE. Nam rips front thru around midnight. Frozen precip by or before dawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2018 Author Share Posted January 10, 2018 Glad we’re back up! Nice 7 day period beginning Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 On 1/9/2018 at 6:50 AM, qg_omega said: Enjoy the 50s and rain Friday and Saturday, pack will be gone for all come Sunday and this is just the beginning of the torch All the exaggeration in that post is a bit much imo. Yes it will be 50's and raining Friday but Saturday maybe not so much now. The pack won't be gone for ALL and the 'this is just the beginning of the torch' is way too much. One day in the 50's and maybe two days is not a torch to me as expressed. Looks cold and wintery next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I don't know about that...been doing fine here in Central CT for the most part. 15 inches on last weeks blizzard isn't too shabby. While in 2015 Eastern areas got the Jackpot no doubt, but since then it's been fine in my hood. 29.5" on the season isn't so bad at this early juncture. And we still were well above average for our areas in 2015 as well. Great winter if u do not look at Bostons totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I don't know about that...been doing fine here in Central CT for the most part. 15 inches on last weeks blizzard isn't too shabby. While in 2015 Eastern areas got the Jackpot no doubt, but since then it's been fine in my hood. 29.5" on the season isn't so bad at this early juncture. yes you are correct, I have to stop counting you in with my area....your area has produced vastly better I wasn't fully awake...my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 18z GFS back on board with solid miller B next week....most guidance is on board at this point. Long ways to go still at 6 days out though. But the large scale pieces are there....we have more than enough antecedent cold, with a robust shortwave digging into a longwave trough with a very stout PNA ridge....those are good anchors to have in supporting a storm threat without having to rely on threading needles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Wrong thread earlier but might be some coastal flurries light snow off and on until any storm next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wrong thread earlier but might be some coastal flurries light snow off and on until any storm next week. Just days and days of snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Just looking on Weatherbell. The 18Z GFS delivers 5-15" of snow for SNE next Wed. Trend is your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS back on board with solid miller B next week....most guidance is on board at this point. Long ways to go still at 6 days out though. But the large scale pieces are there....we have more than enough antecedent cold, with a robust shortwave digging into a longwave trough with a very stout PNA ridge....those are good anchors to have in supporting a storm threat without having to rely on threading needles. I know it shouldn’t be posted at this lead time, but since the 12z Euro was posted — 18z GFS shows similar Boston bullseye. Obviously selfishly hope the wealth can be spread back a bit west, as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 When would it be appropriate to start a thread on next week? I know 6 days is an eternity in the meteorlogical world and a lot can and probably will change but this threat seems to have some legs for a significant event. Saturday? If it's still on the models by then of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, JKEisMan said: I know it shouldn’t be posted at this lead time, but since the 12z Euro was posted — 18z GFS shows similar Boston bullseye. Obviously selfishly hope the wealth can be spread back a bit west, as usual. long ways away but that almost has a developing too far north and east look....where did the nj/delmarva bombs go??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 11 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: When would it be appropriate to start a thread on next week? I know 6 days is an eternity in the meteorlogical world and a lot can and probably will change but this threat seems to have some legs for a significant event. Saturday? If it's still on the models by then of course yeah once inside of 5 days if the support is very robust, then its prob pretty typical. Sometimes we'll wait until 4 days or less if it's not very strong on guidance. This one does seem to have some good support though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 we nuke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 that gfs run is why a place like ORH love miller Bs. Get hit front,side. and back. Cant draw it up any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2018 Author Share Posted January 10, 2018 We (continue to) snow in the model world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Is the Currier and Ives snows Sunday and Monday only for coast ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Oh wow at Harv's forecast for next week. There's your days of snow in the air. He wasn't specific but seems like flakes for the coast early and more widespread at midweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is the Currier and Ives snows Sunday and Monday only for coast ? Verbatim it probably is not likely..but it was sort of an inv trough look prior to any storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Both the 12z EURO and the 18z GFS have H5 closing off over se MA for next week....whisker south and 18 hours sooner, and we make history again. This would be a different beast.....not going to be the immense system intensity wise that the blizzard was, but it has the potential to drop more blizzard like snowfall totals. The ceiling is higher with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Both the 12z EURO and the 18z GFS have H5 closing off over se MA for next week....whisker south and 18 hours sooner, and we make history again. This would be a different beast.....not going to be the immense system intensity wise that the blizzard was, but it has the potential to drop more blizzard like snowfall totals. The ceiling is higher with this one. Potential slow mover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Verbatim it probably is not likely..but it was sort of an inv trough look prior to any storm. But if it was.. is it just for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 16 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Potential slow mover? Waaaaaaaaaay ahead of ourselves.....but for educational purposes, hypothetically speaking....it could slow down as H5 closes off, but I was more alluding to the rate of max intensification with regard to the mid level lows. We won't have to worry about a decaying CCB/deformation zone this go around....rather the challenge will be getting it to ignite soon enough. Plenty of time to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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