butterfish55 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Ct license?MA masters, RI Journeyman, no CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Mainly an Adirondack focus, but really does not look like much good for SNE with this scenario:http://www.ilsnow.com/2018/01/07/whats-next/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Mainly an Adirondack focus, but really does not look like much good for SNE with this scenario:http://www.ilsnow.com/2018/01/07/whats-next/ We delude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Gfs unloads the arctic after the cutter with a storm threat. CMC also has some snow for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Eps looking better for the weekend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2018 Author Share Posted January 8, 2018 Does anyone have a link for the most up to date MJO forecasts? CPC link is a week old it seems. Going forward ensembles suggest we have a mild period mid to late this week and then again mid next week for a longer spell. The good news is you can already see the beginnning of a better pattern (reload) at the end of the run but it’s like d15 so I wouldn’t take that to the bank, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 We rains to snowmobiles in Maines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 lol at that backdoor oozing in during the weekend storm. Flips ME/NH into a significant icing event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: Does anyone have a link for the most up to date MJO forecasts? CPC link is a week old it seems. Going forward ensembles suggest we have a mild period mid to late this week and then again mid next week for a longer spell. The good news is you can already see the beginnning of a better pattern (reload) at the end of the run but it’s like d15 so I wouldn’t take that to the bank, Looks like 50s max this first "thaw" and then the second one just slightly AN for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Looks like a snowy night in Foxboro on Saturday for the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Not sure about that, but definitely an ice possibly ME and NH, nrn ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 15 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Looks like 50s max this first "thaw" and then the second one just slightly AN for a few days. No, this warm up at the end of the week is just the appetizer, the real thaw starts in a week and runs for at least two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like a snowy night in Foxboro on Saturday for the game 50s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure about that, but definitely an ice possibly ME and NH, nrn ORH? Interesting seeing the gfs with the freezing line to LWM 18z Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: 50s? ?? Front is thru Fri nite/Sat Am and it's snowing Sat pm/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: No, this warm up at the end of the week is just the appetizer, the real thaw starts in a week and runs for at least two It's about a week. The cold looks to be back around Jan 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2018 Author Share Posted January 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: No, this warm up at the end of the week is just the appetizer, the real thaw starts in a week and runs for at least two No it doesn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 45 minutes ago, weathafella said: No it doesn’t. His schtick is tiring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2018 Author Share Posted January 8, 2018 Thru 1/7/18: BOS: -16.0 ORH: -16.4 PVD: -15.5 BDL: -17.3 Needless to say they’ll be coming up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Will be interesting to see how the weekend trends, especially with high pressure to our nw. Looks like a 1040 in the northern plains with an arm reaching over into ontario. I am guessing that the upper levels are toast due to the substantial warming thurs and fri? And the cold that seeps in is mostly lower level cold? Thus, ice storm. Seems like a mostly snow event is off the table for all but northern NNE. But then some cold early next week and then the thaw starts late week? And goes a week before high latitude blocking makes it interesting again? That's all I can seem to glean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ?? Front is thru Fri nite/Sat Am and it's snowing Sat pm/night On the Euro? The low cuts west of Buffalo, how are you snowing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 A decent amount of damage can be done between Thurs afternoon until Saturday afternoon. SW winds, 40 degree overnight low, fog and an inch of rain. Will damage the pack in the fields but the woods will still be fairly deep I'd think. Then some ice and maybe more snow to bullet proof for the thaw. I just hope to get a pack of more than 3 feet at some point this winter. I think my personal best is 34" a few years ago. If we can emerge with 12+ after the thaw then I think there is a real shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 6z GFS is crazy wet for this weekend, looking in the Adirondacks it prints out 2-3 inches of QPF, an inch of rain, than an inch of PL, than a half inch of snow. Euro is much different, just some rain. At this point, I have to doubt this historic storm on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 20 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: A decent amount of damage can be done between Thurs afternoon until Saturday afternoon. SW winds, 40 degree overnight low, fog and an inch of rain. Will damage the pack in the fields but the woods will still be fairly deep I'd think. Then some ice and maybe more snow to bullet proof for the thaw. I just hope to get a pack of more than 3 feet at some point this winter. I think my personal best is 34" a few years ago. If we can emerge with 12+ after the thaw then I think there is a real shot. I think we'll hold off the really warm stuff up here until sometime Friday...then we'll pop to 45-50F in the afternoon. The follow up system will be pretty wet, but as of now it looks like we'll advect some cold in here ahead of it...enough for a cold rain. Then we wait and see if we can backdoor some below freezing air in the low levels before it completely exits. I have less snow in the woods than in the yard. Usually the woods makes gains when the solar issues become a problem. We're obviously nowhere near that point yet. Still lots of ice in the trees too although the majority of it has sublimated away. My pack is at 22" right now. Rain and 40s will knock it down a bit, but there's 3-4" of liquid in that pack...probably about 6:1. Over time the old stuff trends toward 3-5:1. I think having over a foot left is a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: No, this warm up at the end of the week is just the appetizer, the real thaw starts in a week and runs for at least two A week tops , maybe not even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: No, this warm up at the end of the week is just the appetizer, the real thaw starts in a week and runs for at least two Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 56 minutes ago, Dan76 said: His schtick is tiring Time for the "weenie tag"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 45 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: A decent amount of damage can be done between Thurs afternoon until Saturday afternoon. SW winds, 40 degree overnight low, fog and an inch of rain. Will damage the pack in the fields but the woods will still be fairly deep I'd think. Then some ice and maybe more snow to bullet proof for the thaw. I just hope to get a pack of more than 3 feet at some point this winter. I think my personal best is 34" a few years ago. If we can emerge with 12+ after the thaw then I think there is a real shot. Yes. "we" will all be working hard to help you achieve this goal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: On the Euro? The low cuts west of Buffalo, how are you snowing? The op Euro? Didn’t know anyone was using that which oh by the way is east of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 We joke about the Christmas Grinch but honestly MLK weekend is right up there with less than ideal ski days or at least it seems that way the past 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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