dryslot Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Waiting on QPF maps but UKMET looks like a huge hit Yeah, I looked at the individual panels, I would like to heave seen where that low was at hr 108, Just looking at where it is at hr 120, It would have to have been pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah.. was just gonna mention that the intermediate stream mechanics for that whole ordeal is just is only getting ejected out of that elongated SPV over the N pac; this run in some respects is just as dicey as any up to this point. By my estimation, the "southern" stream shortwave is the swirl over BC right now, the northern stream is trucking along south of the Aleutians. But there are still some pieces, like north of Nunavut that will come into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Somebody (Bob maybe?) posted an image yesterday showing something like 7 different pieces of Energy as they were currently (yesterday) that had to be resolved. Lots of things need to go right, but several models showing hits right now. We are good for a few hours of enjoyment today. Lets see what the Euro brings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 UK is a big hit for east zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Somebody (Bob maybe?) posted an image yesterday showing something like 7 different pieces of Energy as they were currently (yesterday) that had to be resolved. Lots of things need to go right, but several models showing hits right now. We are good for a few hours of enjoyment today. Lets see what the Euro brings I did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: UK is a big hit for east zones. Post a precip map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I did Ok. Any updates on that one? Not sure if you made it or found it online Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 36 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET appears to be a decent hit for SNE. Its a total miss for almost everyone else and probably even western parts of MA Ahhh no low tracking into PWM anymore?! What an east trend on the UKMET . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Somebody (Bob maybe?) posted an image yesterday showing something like 7 different pieces of Energy as they were currently (yesterday) that had to be resolved. Lots of things need to go right, but several models showing hits right now. We are good for a few hours of enjoyment today. Lets see what the Euro brings This is why triple phasers are rare. Even a triple phase rarely has just three pieces coming together. Even a basic Northeast snow storm typically has a northern, southern, and kicker shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 15 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: By my estimation, the "southern" stream shortwave is the swirl over BC right now, the northern stream is trucking along south of the Aleutians. But there are still some pieces, like north of Nunavut that will come into play. yup, and there's a lot of sensitivity ...with very minute alterations in correct sampling and/or assimilation techniques easily contributing to intensity and track ... I mean those details play a roll in the whole circulation medium ...etc, such as whether the ridge in the west pops some critical DM taller ...subsequently tipping the flow more N at mid levels through the Dakotas ... It's changing not just storm-centric mechanics, but also the indirect influence of the surrounding circulation idiosyncrasies. oy. System could end up incredibly deep bet thinly miss east... Moderate and directly striking,... or mix matching those characteristics... All of which would still actually be statistically supported by the large mass-field arguments, too... That's the other thing, if if missed entirely east and we smoke frigid dry air under milk skies, it's still an successful in purely atmospheric terms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Post a precip map Struggling to find final qpf printout. Was going off classic panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 12z GEFS highest snow probabilities are like an axis from BOS to PVD. Most in eastern areas should be feeling pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 12z GEFS highest snow probabilities are like an axis from BOS to PVD. I define anything 4+ as significant. I’d take that and run. Haven’t seen that in nearly two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 12z GEFS highest snow probabilities are like an axis from BOS to PVD. Unfortunately, we lost the tucky tucky members from 6z lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately, we lost the tucky tucky members from 6z lol. You knew they were wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You knew they were wrong. Yes, but a boy can dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes, but a boy can dream. lol know they are wrong but can dream they aren't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes, but a boy can dream. Nothing worse than getting a miss followed by brutal cold air. We have to hope that GEM is correct. Surprising the GFS barely gets 4 inches to Boston. A complete miss is still on the tabke as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Heh I see we can always count on the Canadian when morale is floundering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately, we lost the tucky tucky members from 6z lol. Noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Started a storm specific thread. Confidence is there for a storm to impact the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Started a storm specific thread. Confidence is there for a storm to impact the area. You’d best have some juju left... The cold on the backside is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes, but a boy can dream. I would not count you out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Nothing worse than getting a miss followed by brutal cold air. We have to hope that GEM is correct. Surprising the GFS barely gets 4 inches to Boston. A complete miss is still on the tabke as well. Still time to correct things, I personally think this comes west enough for most. Just a hunch that I think this digs more and curls it back then what most current guidance shows. 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I would not count you out. Deff not. I see subtle improvements with the northern stream diving further in the backside of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Nothing worse than getting a miss followed by brutal cold air. We have to hope that GEM is correct. Surprising the GFS barely gets 4 inches to Boston. A complete miss is still on the tabke as well. Lol. 0% chance of a miss . Get it together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just a few short minutes until the first "euro looks better" posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Kuchera for the GGEM is insane... 30”+ in SE Conn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Hazey said: Just a few short minutes until the first "euro looks better" posts. to be followed by "maybe not" and then "euro looks east" and then "last minute capture?" and then "looks great here!" by someone without a location and Scott will say something intentionally oblique just to f*ck with us weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 to be followed by "maybe not" and then "euro looks east" and then "last minute capture?" and then "looks great here!" by someone without a location and Scott will say something intentionally oblique just to f*ck with us weenies.Yup. Right out of the weenie 101 playbook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 30 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Started a storm specific thread. Confidence is there for a storm to impact the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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