Sn0waddict Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Very disappointed in our Regulars who never checked the UKmet East report, we bang Oh god no! Thanks for the map though I was wondering what the ukie was showing precip wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 There’s a lot to work out still.......EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 weather bell snowfall maps are very good ones for ecwmf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 the storm will be two days not one day wont move fast like some models show . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 EPS is dead nuts on, or even a hair worse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EPS is dead nuts on, or even a hair worse.. Cluster looks a little more east to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Cluster looks a little more east to me Yes..tiny bit. We lost more tucked members, than seaward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I think 12z UK was a huge it, with over 2" of frozen, so that is east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes..tiny bit. We lost more tucked members, than seaward. Ya lost some way OTS ones as well which is nice, but looking at cape cod you can see how the mean is a little more east in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 EURO control run looks tasty haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO control run looks tasty haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 That control run is a blizzard if I have ever seen one.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 That thing would turn a clipper into a 940 bomb lol if only it could verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I think in the aggregate, 00z is a slight net loss....all I wanted to see was the EURO not fall off the map because we should get a jolt once that n stream disturbance gets sampled. Keep the defecit to one run so we can keep in striking distance for when the slugger comes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 thanks for posting the maps Ray... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Organizing Low said: thanks for posting the maps Ray... Happy New Year, bro...post more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's a decent decrease from 12z to 00z.... looks like we lost the bigger ticket events with the few hugger tracks dropping the 15-30" amounts everywhere and skewing the mean high have disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Happy New Year, bro...post more! I wish he would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 43 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That's a decent decrease from 12z to 00z.... looks like we lost the bigger ticket events with the few hugger tracks dropping the 15-30" amounts everywhere and skewing the mean high have disappeared. Yea, the big hitting huggers have practically vanished unfortunately. Still have 48hrs, imo, to get a true picture but the clustering has really tightened for an offshore eastern zone event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Theres always the navgem ticking closer every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 This will throw good snows way west into NY state. Nice set up for that. Only thing left to figure out is if big big snows stay offshore or come onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I'm good with the Euro track. No need to see a track any closer at this point unless we see it bomb out sooner. Lower levels are tickling 0c at 925mb and lower. This is not our traditional storm track set up. We have a strong high pressure to our west and a modeled strong storm to our east. This will have a pretty broad qpf field thrown back into the cold side of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6z gefs threw us 2 inland hook and latter solutions lol . All other members are offshore with several way right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 As I said last night this is either 50 or 100 miles offshore tracking storm the ridge out west is too Far East and the vortex in southeastern Canada eat if James bay is jot conducive for a western track maybe as far west as the benchmark no further Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 6z gefs threw us 2 inland hook and latter solutions lol . All other members are clustered fairly tightly offshore. LOL, they're like the track of the Euro from Wed/Thur. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Theres always the navgem ticking closer every run. that is really the track most of the forum needs...maybe 50-75 mi east is ok too.....I really think this one is slipping away though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 27 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Theres always the navgem ticking closer every run. We were just talking about this in the NYC forum. A Met on twitter posted the NavGEM is likely far west because it is not resolving the idea of the convection forcing the further east low development the other models are catching onto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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