kdxken Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 4:22 PM, Ginx snewx said: No power for Christmas is a Pants tent? Expand It is for me , I sell firewood :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 5:20 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sorry for the crap in the thread, guys....but I'm glad something constructive came out of it in the end. Expand As Isotherm stated yesterday...you were both kind of right. He explained it pretty well. Anthony did also mention the MJO as well when he was calling for a trend towards a colder solution..so to be honest he just wasn't only harping on the -EPO either. I think you both have valid points...and as we all know it's always a marriage of sorts between all of these tele's and nuances. Glad we're all friends again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 5:40 PM, kdxken said: It is for me , I sell firewood :-) Expand Only would help those that have a fireplace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 5:21 PM, OSUmetstud said: These latest changes might save a white Christmas for me. It was looking bleak a few days ago. Expand Wait....Wut?....You just got over a foot of snow the other day....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 5:47 PM, Hazey said: Wait....Wut?....You just got over a foot of snow the other day....LOL Expand Its raining and semi warm now and it was expected to be rainy and warm originally the 23/24th. That wave has trended towards a swfe with more snow to rain which would save Christmas. We would get through today but not the latter imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Big storm potential through Christmas week into the first week of the New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Can we start a thread for the Christmas Day Storm potential too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Congrats on a cold rain for the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Euro goes Grinch this run. As was to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Congrats on a cold rain for the euro. Expand Another meltdown! Here we go folks. Please do it again because it helped the cutter turn into an ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Another meltdown! Here we go folks. Please do it again because it helped the cutter turn into an ice storm Expand Just stating what it has. Congrats BTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Lol at how negative you guys are. That isn't too far off from a Major snowstorm on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Congrats on a cold rain for the euro. Expand Nasty icestorm for places like ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:29 PM, ORH_wxman said: Nasty icestorm for places like ORH. Expand Yeah that would not be good...but I bet there is IP there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Hour 126 FTMFW. Wow that'd be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Didn't like seeing that low track shift west this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:33 PM, powderfreak said: Hour 126 FTMFW. Wow that'd be awesome. Expand No its not..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would not be good...but I bet there is IP there. Expand Where should I be looking at to see possible ZR vs IP? 850s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:34 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Where should I be looking at to see possible ZR vs IP? 850s? Expand 925 was near zero, but 850 was very mild. In theory, you should look at soundings..but the euro folks are limited on that. If 925 is below 0, but 850 is like +3 or so..probably sleet. If 850 was +5 or more..might be more ZR because you just completely melted the hydrometeor and there may not be enough time to freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 850 0C hit a brick wall in S NH. I won't even take a guess on SN or PL at this point, but that would be a big impact Xmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 That would at least be a decent dryslot for a while on xmas in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 93-94 esque Mid ATL style with multiple icestorms back to back ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would not be good...but I bet there is IP there. Expand Yeah esp early on...prob quick inch or two fo SN to IP to ZR....not really worth parsing too much at 120 hours...esp given the model spread right now. But it could be a decent impact. GFS is prob wrong...all other guidance has an event. Maybe if we weight the GFS like 25% it would turn out great for most of the forum...colder/snowier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 20, 2017 Author Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 4:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: But if the high moves northeast, we warm and rain. Once we mix out, we warm and rain. Expand You’re not gonna let this go so I’ll do it for you-agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Euro snow map, including Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:47 PM, Blizz said: Euro snow map, including Friday Expand Is a bunch of that sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: 93-94 esque Mid ATL style with multiple icestorms back to back ? Expand Verbatim, euro sucks for CT on xmas but it gets too amp happy with northern streams. Flatten it some and we could be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:52 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Verbatim, euro sucks for CT on xmas but it gets too amp happy with northern streams. Flatten it some and we could be ok. Expand As is it’s snow to ice to cold rain, but likely will end up a snow advisory event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:51 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Is a bunch of that sleet? Expand I'd be wary of euro snow maps with ptype issues involved and limited temp data available for the algorithms to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/20/2017 at 6:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: As is it’s snow to ice to cold rain, but likely will end up a snow advisory event Expand It’s mostly rain then dryslutted. No reason to debate r/s line at this point but if you want to think back to back ice storm to raise your mood....by all means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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