MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Models are bringing the coastal further west on the 12z models. Lets see what the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Hard to tell with the maps I have access to but it looks like somewhat more impact for the Delmarva and southern NJ on the 12z Euro. Still nothing for NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, Nibor said: Hard to tell with the maps I have access to but it looks like somewhat more impact for the Delmarva and southern NJ on the 12z Euro. Still nothing for NYC metro. Slightly west but nothing like the cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 27 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Slightly west but nothing like the cmc The CMC is an outlier. No other models show what it does for tomorrow night. It’s in a world all to its own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The CMC is an outlier. No other models show what it does for tomorrow night. It’s in a world all to its own Wrong 15z with a huge northwest shift for tomorrow night https://www.americanwx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2017_12/image.png.e19a32e038aef676473b9a59bd1ef783.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wrong 15z with a huge northwest shift for tomorrow night https://www.americanwx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2017_12/image.png.e19a32e038aef676473b9a59bd1ef783.png God speed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: God speed Compare that to 9z and see the difference. Imagine another weak storm with a big shift within 1 day. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 NAM just did the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 NAM is identical to CMC if not slightly farther N and W with the slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 NAM is only a trace of actual precip though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: NAM is only a trace of actual precip though... That trend tho. Big jumps today. Dont think we've seen the last shifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Dusting at most outside of Central/Southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: That trend tho. Big jumps today. Dont think we've seen the last shifting. IMO This is going to be a southern/eastern New England event if anything and not a big one at that. Maybe eastern Long Island too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: IMO This is going to be a southern/eastern New England event if anything and not a big one at that. Maybe eastern Long Island too Based off what ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Based off what ? His opinion lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Upton said what storm and so do I. I’ll pass on this one after working a 20 hour shift today on no sleep. Plus I’m going to Vermont tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 Gfs is coming in further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 18z vs. 12z RGEM: Parts of the Region could receive a light snowfall. Southern NJ seems to have the best chance at picking up a moderate snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 This is 1 to 2 in CNJ out on to ELI and maybe up to 4 down in the Tom's River south to AC type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I am not to invested in the potential event at the moment, will be curious to see if the 0z runs continue to shift further north and west. In all honesty it is nice to see events become more favorable for us as they get closer and not the opposite at least so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I am not to invested in the potential event at the moment, will be curious to see if the 0z runs continue to shift further north and west. In all honesty it is nice to see events become more favorable for us as they get closer and not the opposite at least so far.Any and all snow is worth getting "invested" in. You honestly never know if it could be the last for the season. I've personally been waiting for a while for a season to start early with frequent threats to track even if minor. It has been too long. Savoring every flake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 26 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am not to invested in the potential event at the moment, will be curious to see if the 0z runs continue to shift further north and west. In all honesty it is nice to see events become more favorable for us as they get closer and not the opposite at least so far. Any and all snow is worth getting "invested" in. You honestly never know if it could be the last for the season. I've personally been waiting for a while for a season to start early with frequent threats to track even if minor. It has been too long. Savoring every flake! Same here I even track flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 27 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am not to invested in the potential event at the moment, will be curious to see if the 0z runs continue to shift further north and west. In all honesty it is nice to see events become more favorable for us as they get closer and not the opposite at least so far. Any and all snow is worth getting "invested" in. You honestly never know if it could be the last for the season. I've personally been waiting for a while for a season to start early with frequent threats to track even if minor. It has been too long. Savoring every flake! So true. I "only" received an inch and a half this morning, but no matter. It all adds up in the end regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 22 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: So true. I "only" received an inch and a half this morning, but no matter. It all adds up in the end regardless. I enjoy all the snowfalls, even the small ones...especially when its very cold like last nights 23 degree temp... Going out a 3am to measure 1" of snow lol. My enthusiasm never wanes even after 57 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 SREF wetter https://www.americanwx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2017_12/IMG_0298.GIF.aa80e0946fecae58855d9d0f0b6b7993.gif.87b0d608fc5d9d42347ebd07dd5f0097.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Long range HRRR is wayyyy north and west... light snow as far north as Ulster county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 The SREFs def came in wetter and farther NW with the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 SREF plume mean for NYC area 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 Nam is coming in more northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 Nam looks very nice for NYC south , especially for Staten Island southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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