poolz1 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 @Wentzadelphia Just saw your post before posting this... . Looks pretty familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I think if there's precip like advertised, we will still get snow. Even if there's a changeover, cold air is a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 I think the main show is still in the Southwest though....It would be like 2 part thing...How those 2 interact would be crucial. Going to be a fun 14 days boys, bunker in...going to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs near identical to the euro @ h5 d8. Lol. Another monster solution incoming for someone....the big ones are sniffed out early.... Was about to comment on the same. The big ones are caught on early and locked in from there (Jan 2016 a great recent example). Models are honing in on the potential that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Its insane to think several of us could potentially exceed our seasonal snowfall before the ball even drops on NYE based on some guidance today. Rest of season would be gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Its insane to think several of us could potentially exceed our seasonal snowfall before the ball even drops on NYE based on some guidance today. Rest of season would be gravy. It'll also be disappointing now if we get rain/nada. Could be baiting us, but it looks the best it could be 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 As depicted this would be a massive impact storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 What a sick progression on the gfs. Comes out in pieces with copious hp over the top.Damn, gotta stay up for the euro. Not sure if I can make it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Epic. No words on that solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Its insane to think several of us could potentially exceed our seasonal snowfall before the ball even drops on NYE based on some guidance today. Rest of season would be gravy. whoa tiger.... it looks great, but thats quite a reach pal... lets just be happy to see it verify and take a nice dent out of climo... You know i want you to be right, but thats a long poke with hazards everywhere....and were swinging with the stupid stick (driver-golf). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 It'll also be disappointing now if we get rain/nada. Could be baiting us, but it looks the best it could be 10 days outOh absolutely. Pure fantasy at this point. I have a feeling people will overlook Monday in anticipation of late week potential. Monday still is far from being off the table. Steady as she goes.....rough seas ahead matey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: It'll also be disappointing now if we get rain/nada. Could be baiting us, but it looks the best it could be 10 days out It’s an OP a week out. Gauge your expectations wisely as it could easily fail for us from currently depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 A 60 hour storm. This kind of fantasy storm is illegal to view in some countries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 whoa tiger.... it looks great, but thats quite a reach pal... lets just be happy to see it verify and take a nice dent out of climo... You know i want you to be right, but thats a long poke with hazards everywhere....and were swinging with the stupid stick (driver-golf). I knew when I pressed send I shouldnt have lol. It was only a thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Front desk at the Panic Room Hotel currently in chaos with hordes of weenies rushing to check-out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 look at 162 and then 312.... Relock reload its like top 40's radio....the hits keep on comin.... appears towards end to be ridge bridge... on that, i'm turnin in. Bring it home gang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Front desk at the Panic Room Hotel currently in chaos with hordes of weenies rushing to check-out. I NEVER panic. This is going to be an epic snow winter for the Mid Atlantic, and the "reaper" will never get so much as a morsel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 What's the BSR signal DT mentions in the tweet Cobalt posted above? I still dont understand it even with the images posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 BSR = Bering Sea Ridge = Bring Some Rum This is starting to look like what I had envisaged although I'm expecting a stronger blocking high and this to take 1-2 more days to evolve into a bigger storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Ukie looks good at 144 . Moisture riding underneath. Tried to post but old run pops up Way west of the Gfs for Christmas threat it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, yoda said: What' the BSR signal DT mentions in the tweet Cobalt posted above? Bering Sea Rule....Seems to work pretty well with predicting overall patterns down the line 2-3 weeks. Here is a paper about the rule...basically you can take what pattern occurs in the Bering Sea and project that pattern in the US weeks down the line. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/climate/STIP/39CDPW/39cdpw-JRenken.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 No one is even mentioning the cold that would come with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Not saying there is anything similar to this but I remember an event in feb? 2014 where we had a pure west track storm that was all snow. It was cold as hell but the models had the waa precip pushing midlevel warmth in fast. We expected a flip to sleet or zr but it never happened the cold won. Ji and wnwxluvr loved that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 For fun, 00z GGEM is approaching 20mm all snow as the run ends in the winter precip type meteogram for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Not saying there is anything similar to this but I remember an event in feb? 2014 where we had a pure west track storm that was all snow. It was cold as hell but the models had the waa precip pushing midlevel warmth in fast. We expected a flip to sleet or zr but it never happened the cold won. Ji and wnwxluvr loved that storm. Actually, one of the most impressive storms...never have I seen a legit snow storm start to finish on a S/SE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Canadian would be insane if verified. Kuchera ratio says it itself. Ratios of well over 10:1, and over 48 hours of snow. Dream snow for many, but still 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: For fun, 00z GGEM is approaching 20mm all snow as the run ends in the winter precip type meteogram for DC You mean 240 hours right? There's still a storm and a half after that. Too bad the Canadian doesn't run past 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Just now, Cobalt said: You mean 240 hours right? There's still a storm and a half after that. Too bad the Canadian doesn't run past 240 Yes... if GGEM did run past 240 we'd get a Bob Chill face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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