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South of the pike clipper


ORH_wxman

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3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

If only all of us could live in a hamlet wedged in the green mountain spine...

It's all relative anyway. I'm sure Grand Targhee, WY peeps laugh at green mountain upslope events.

We have our cycles... we did not have many (and for long periods of time, none) warning criteria events in the Dec 2013 through April 2016.  There are certainly time periods when its more pronounced but that's how climo eventually works out.  You have your little runs in certain patterns. 

Those out west definitely laugh, except in times like this when the East is much more wintry than out west.  Crazy how rough the early season has been out there.

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21 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

We have our cycles... we did not have many (and for long periods of time, none) warning criteria events in the Dec 2013 through April 2016.  There are certainly time periods when its more pronounced but that's how climo eventually works out.  You have your little runs in certain patterns. 

Those out west definitely laugh, except in times like this when the East is much more wintry than out west.  Crazy how rough the early season has been out there.

Mammoth STD snowfall: 39".

Jay Peak STD snowfall 90".

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Quote

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Taunton MA
324 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ017>024-RIZ001>008-140400-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon,
Putnam, Willimantic, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River,
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown,
Vineyard Haven, Nantucket, Foster, Smithfield, Providence,
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick,
Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
324 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...Accumulating Snow Likely Thursday morning South Coastal
Massachusetts and Rhode Island, including Cape Cod and Islands...

Light snow will overspread Connecticut, Rhode Island and southeast
Massachusetts between 4 AM and 7 AM. A band of moderate snow will
likely then develop between 7 AM and 10 AM along the immediate
south coast and islands, then quickly moving offshore by midday
with dry weather to follow.

This band of moderate snow will likely result in snow accumulations
of 1-3 inches along the immediate south coast of Massachusetts
and Rhode Island, including the islands. Given the timing and the
cold airmass over the region roads will quickly become snow
covered and impact the morning commute from Westerly to Newport
to New Bedford to Cape Cod.

Farther north snow intensity will decrease with just light snow or
flurries across the remainder of Connecticut, Rhode Island and
Massachusetts, with little if any snow north of the Mass Pike.
However there is some uncertainty how far north the accumulating
snow shield will track. There is a low probability that
accumulating snow could reach Hartford to Providence to Plymouth.

Stay tuned to later forecasts for any possible changes.

$$

 

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8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

With the high ratios.... there will be some surprises.  Someone will score 3-4” I think 

Yeah probably...though the question is whether that is confined to MVY and E LI or if that can get further into mainland SNE.

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah probably...though the question is whether that is confined to MVY and E LI or if that can get further into mainland SNE.

Will, hows the radar looking upstream?  You said earlier today if it looked decent out in(I thought you said NY state?), then that would bode better for SNE.  You seeing anything that’s tipping you off one way or the other?

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7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Will, hows the radar looking upstream?  You said earlier today if it looked decent out in(I thought you said NY state?), then that would bode better for SNE.  You seeing anything that’s tipping you off one way or the other?

Nothing surprising out there as of now. It doesn't look like some huge positive bust is developing. We're getting a lot of 1 SM snow in the BUF-ITH corridor. If we start seeing more 3/4 and 1/2 there and up into SYR and then we see 1-2 SM reach ALB, then it would be ominous. But right now, no reason to stray from current forecast of 1-3" for south coast and probably coating to 2" for a chunk of CT/RI/SE MA.

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15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nothing surprising out there as of now. It doesn't look like some huge positive bust is developing. We're getting a lot of 1 SM snow in the BUF-ITH corridor. If we start seeing more 3/4 and 1/2 there and up into SYR and then we see 1-2 SM reach ALB, then it would be ominous. But right now, no reason to stray from current forecast of 1-3" for south coast and probably coating to 2" for a chunk of CT/RI/SE MA.

I’d gladly take 2 inches.  Thanks for the info.

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3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

We have our cycles... we did not have many (and for long periods of time, none) warning criteria events in the Dec 2013 through April 2016.  There are certainly time periods when its more pronounced but that's how climo eventually works out.  You have your little runs in certain patterns. 

Those out west definitely laugh, except in times like this when the East is much more wintry than out west.  Crazy how rough the early season has been out there.

Out west the early season hasn’t been that bad.....we were at Mt. Rose on north shore Lake Tahoe on 11/28 and they were 100% open except the chutes (gates only)......now we chose that place cuz it’s base is the highest in Tahoe......sure Heavenly and Squaw weren’t at full speed but it’s not like nothing was open........I grew up out there and Thanksgiving riding was always gravy.....if things stunk by xmas then you knew the season was a ratter......I guess being able to be open into May in Tahoe makes up for any early jump New England may get like this year.....always loved riding in t-shirt in 60 degrees in high sun.....the beer was extra great too....

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