RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 rgem is weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr still is kind of interesting even to the pike relatively speaking Yeah it is still really weenieish....RAP is weenieish too. But we know those short term nowacast models can do that beyond 6 hours...we'll need to see it continue. Ideally you'd want to see the 00z NAM/RGEM do something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Powderfreak Must be laughing at this thread for fake snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 HRRR soundings are definitely weenieish. We pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Nws Box is really not liking the event per their snow map fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Powderfreak Must be laughing at this thread for fake snow If only all of us could live in a hamlet wedged in the green mountain spine... It's all relative anyway. I'm sure Grand Targhee, WY peeps laugh at green mountain upslope events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If only all of us could live in a hamlet wedged in the green mountain spine... It's all relative anyway. I'm sure Grand Targhee, WY peeps laugh at green mountain upslope events. And the Thompson Pass people laugh at their snowfall!!! That’s where I would build a house somewhere above 4K in the coast range of Alaska. Hey guys I just had 15” in the last hour!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If only all of us could live in a extremely snowy hamlet wedged in the green mountain spine... It's all relative anyway. I'm sure Grand Targhee, WY peeps laugh at green mountain upslope events. Well the picnicTables ave. A Bit over 300" And Snow about 60%of winter days So thats like 4+x Orh I could prob go from living anywhere (Extremely Snowy and be happy wether its 475"Or310" Thou i would say SIERRA in a Big year blows them away due to massive frequent 5' storms and then Sunny days but there annual has had brutal stretches last 3 of 4 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Well the picnicTables ave. A Bit over 300" And Snow about 60%of winter days So thats like 4+x Orh I could prob go from living anywhere (Extremely Snowy and be happy wether its 475 You should build a house at 3500 feet on the spine. Might have zoning problems though...maybe a little hut made of sticks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: You should build a house at 3500 feet on the spine. Might have zoning problems though...maybe a little hut made of sticks? That would be tough to train women to do squats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Some friends of mine moved from NH to very close to Mt Rainier...they get a bit of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: You should build a courseat 3500 feet on the spine. Might have zoning problems though...maybe a little hut made of sticks? Im changing my name to 3K picnic Tables A yurt would suffice So would 2400' in those homes above the golf Course. Maybe Bertha lives up there and needs a live in trainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Some friends of mine moved from NH to very close to Mt Rainier...they get a bit of snow What elevation Dont want 3' of snow then 2" of rain at 3500' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Could we please stay on topic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What elevation Dont want 3' of snow then 2" of rain at 3500' Actually I don’t know. They got destroyed one recent winter. i should ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Could we please stay on topic? I agree. Lot of gobbledegook around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Violently agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Violently agree Lol. Yurts are very much on topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Yea, we have a huge winter incoming....let’s stay focused at the task at hand, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 James broke the Forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 00z HRRR still pretty weenieish. Prob has 1-2" to pike region with a band of 2-4" through CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 If my 8:00 AM final tomorrow gets cancelled we have to make it up Saturday morning at 8:00 AM I'm hoping it doesn't happen but I'm sort of thinking 2-4'' down this way. Nice ribbon of mid-level fronto moves overhead and we get sufficient lift/moisture into the SGZ with ratios near 18:1. Should see some enhancement from LIS Sound as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 That said, 00z rpm looks like garbage. Not much at all N of HFD-PVD and maybe an inch for south coast swath. 00z rap isn't as good as a couple hours ago though still gets 1-2" for a chunk of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: If my 8:00 AM final tomorrow gets cancelled we have to make it up Saturday morning at 8:00 AM I'm hoping it doesn't happen but I'm sort of thinking 2-4'' down this way. Nice ribbon of mid-level fronto moves overhead and we get sufficient lift/moisture into the SGZ with ratios near 18:1. Should see some enhancement from LIS Sound as well We listen when you get aggressive. Terrible am commute incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Still think 1-2” is the right play from 84 and south. Enough for people to freak out into spin outs on the roads, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We listen when you get aggressive. Terrible am commute incoming. I'll probably screw this one up too. My forecast was absolute garbage last weekend...pure garbage. I recognize after talking with Ryan on here that I underestimated the snowfall ratios so I've been trying to determine if I went more 10:1 if I would have went like 3-6'' as opposed to 2-4''. 3-6'' though still might not have cut it. I feel like though that the models completely missed the degree of 700mb frontogenesis that setup over the state and for how long it did. That also contributed to my lower forecast. Anyways...these clippers where you have a substantial gradient between LIS and 850mb temps have to be watched closely. This alone will setup a nice narrow zone of enhanced frontogenesis and you get any moisture to ride up over that and you can rip for a decent amount of time. The key is just getting the right track of the s/w for this to happen. Radar doesn't look horrific and mesoanalysis is showing fronto beginning to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I’m liking the radar but concerned when the shredding begins, and how quickly we get lift from the LIS to combat that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 This event is the definition of nowcast. I could see where we get a light dusting... or a couple inches if things break right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 HRRR tickles Noman's Land and Chilmark with a swath of 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Snows really starting to blossom down by Bwi. More so than forecast down there. Let’s hope that translates further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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