MillvilleWx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Millville, DE is now a snow town. Seems like it. I bet they had 6"+ for this past event.Right around 7” per my folks. Dad said he got 5.5” first round a touch more than 1.5” from event two. It’s been crazy there this year. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: And that awesome cold windy foot of snow last January. Yeah I was in Rehoboth for that one. Great cold powder storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 18z GFS has a dusting for Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Friday looks like a disheveled mess... nothing like what 12z had... maybe 1-2 for SE MD if lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, yoda said: 18z GFS has a dusting for Thursday morning And Tuesday for the northern tier folks that you forgot to mention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, mappy said: And Tuesday for the northern tier folks that you forgot to mention 18z GFS doesn't have any snow for the northern tier on their maps until Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 50 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro has highs in the mid 20s here Wed with gust to 40 + ..not a day for short pants .. that's vodka cold wind chill stuff for early Dec man. For the clipper it looks like 850s around -10c at onset of precip and 23 degrees . Man ....if someone could manage .10 " qpf ...that be 2 inches possibly of cold smoke. We all would take. Gfs gives us some love Thursday am in the form of a tenth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, yoda said: 18z GFS doesn't have any snow for the northern tier on their maps until Thursday Look at the precip map, Yoda, not snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, mappy said: Look at the precip map, Yoda, not snow map I am... looks like 0.01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: I am... looks like 0.01 NE MD PUMMELED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: I am... looks like 0.01 Thanks. Temp will be near freezing so something to keep an eye on for those of us up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Thanks. Temp will be near freezing so something to keep an eye on for those of us up north There is a 20% chance of snow showers here for Tuesday evening. So not just you northerners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Too bad for early next week there isn't a HP around or it would have been a nice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Was thinking the clipper would be nice event, but just walked outside and another less rain, trying to wet snow thing will probably happen. It warms up so fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck said: Was thinking the clipper would be nice event, but just walked outside and another less rain, trying to wet snow thing will probably happen. It warms up so fast. Walk outside Wed morning. Might help your outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 3 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Euro has highs in the mid 20s here Wed with gust to 40 + ..not a day for short pants .. that's vodka cold wind chill stuff for early Dec man. For the clipper it looks like 850s around -10c at onset of precip and 23 degrees . Man ....if someone could manage .10 " qpf ...that be 2 inches possibly of cold smoke. We all would take. My triple pane with krypton is ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Walk outside Wed morning. Might help your outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Here's the P&C for this week for our house in McHenry in Garrett County. I'm heading up there this weekend (too bad not tonight!). Wisp opens this weekend, too...should be a great opening weekend for them. Tonight Snow showers likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. South wind 8 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday Snow showers. Temperature falling to around 15 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -3. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow showers, mainly before 1am. Low around 7. Wind chill values as low as -13. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Wednesday Snow showers likely, mainly before 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 17. Wind chill values as low as -13. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night A chance of snow showers, mainly between 8pm and 9pm, then a chance of light snow after 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. West wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Thursday Light snow likely, mainly before 8am, then a chance of snow showers after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 20 minutes ago, nj2va said: Here's the P&C for this week for our house in McHenry in Garrett County. I'm heading up there this weekend (too bad not tonight!). Wisp opens this weekend, too...should be a great opening weekend for them. Somewhat related, the VT Meteorology Program has been installing a number of high altitude weather stations in the area over the last few years. According to their Facebook page, they installed one on Spruce Knob, WV at 4682’ about a week ago. Should be fun to follow over the next couple of days. https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWVSENEC2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 00z 12km NAM takes away our clipper Wed night into Thursday and has nothing for tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z 12km NAM takes away our clipper Wed night into Thursday and has nothing for tonight Thursday event looked stronger and more organized, but still slides to our North. Still something to watch for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Seems like the trend today is to have a more vigorous clipper than previously modeled...00z NAM continued that theme. Just need to pull this this south and we could have a decent event on our hands. Before today, this system was moisture starved and weak at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Seems like the trend today is to have a more vigorous clipper than previously modeled...00z NAM continued that theme. Just need to pull this this south and we could have a decent event on our hands. Before today, this system was moisture starved and weak at best. Saw that too. Ratios should be great too. Even 0.1" of precip would guarantee WWAs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: Euro track was decent...and nams strength ...put them together and maybe 1-3" of pure fluff. Probably even more than 1-3". We saw how good ratios were with this past storm. Temps would be in the Low 20s, so raitos would be 1:15+. I assume if this were to happen, the NW burbs would cash in pretty well too, with someone getting 6" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Saw that too. Ratios should be great too. Even 0.1" of precip would guarantee WWAs. 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Euro track was decent...and nams strength ...put them together and maybe 1-3" of pure fluff. Yep...Us western zone folk are getting itchy after watching the last one scoot east. 1-3" of cold fluff would soothe the soul! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Probably even more than 1-3". We saw how good ratios were with this past storm. Temps would be in the Low 20s, so raitos would be 1:15+. I assume if this were to happen, the NW burbs would cash in pretty well too, with someone getting 6" of snowAll about thermals up top and better ascent in tandem to generate prime flake structure to maximize accumulation. It’s close to something noteworthy for us, but my guess is the northern tier crew have a better shot at getting accumulations close to 1”. A bit further souther with the Vort pass and we’ll get better forcing and increase our chances at something more than just a T. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 The thing I like about this clipper is there's a distinct circulation. Need the center to pass south of course but this shouldn't be just enhanced flurries like many others. Could be a decent stripe somewhere and won't know exactly where until pretty short leads. Even if the gfs and euro suck at 0z and again 12z tomorrow, we're still in the game if the potency holds. These kinds of events can surprise at even 12hr leads. Can't write it off until Wed at the earliest. The late week deal can do all sorts of things still as well. Another setup where people who jump to conclusions outside of 48 might eat words. Active northern stream periods like this are fun because you can't sleep on any of the vorts that pass under us even when the ops aren't showing much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: The thing I like about this clipper is there's a distinct circulation. Need the center to pass south of course but this shouldn't be just enhanced flurries like many others. Could be a decent stripe somewhere and won't know exactly where until pretty short leads. Even if the gfs and euro suck at 0z and again 12z tomorrow, we're still in the game if the potency holds. These kinds of events can surprise at even 12hr leads. Can't write it off until Wed at the earliest. The late week deal can do all sorts of things still as well. Another setup where people who jump to conclusions outside of 48 might eat words. Active northern stream periods like this are fun because you can't sleep on any of the vorts that pass under us even when the ops aren't showing much. In that sense, it's like '13-'14 all over again. Time and again, 36-48 hours was the period when things came into focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 0z GFS looks to be stronger as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: 0z GFS looks to be stronger as well Still passing to our north in S PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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