Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Time sensitive image (linked) That's 850mb frontogenesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 It's chips fall time. Not sure how much guidance can add to the disco now. My guess is the rgem/nam3k has it mostly right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flurries near Marshall along 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Radar looks to be filling in S of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 This event reminds me of our summer low clouds and sprinkles we get being so close to the Atlantic...except it’s snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 12 minutes ago, loshjott said: MoCo stays strong; no early release. We're in the north. We know how to drive in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I have light fluffies here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's chips fall time. Not sure how much guidance can add to the disco now. My guess is the rgem/nam3k has it mostly right. I hope so, need them for the win to get snow. I do find it interesting that no matter where the models say the initial band will set up it always sets up towards Carrol County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Yep...Hrrr still not picking up nw band The hrrr is becoming dead to me. All it does is cloud up thoughts by being contrary to more reliable guidance leading into events. Then it settles in and ends up looking like other guidance. The only reliable thing I'm seeing on a regular basis from the hrrr is precip shutoff timing. Other than that it seems to kinda suck honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 HRRR did great with the last storm; really kind of led the pack. So far this storm, naso much. I am disregarding it as it says something different each run. Its confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just now, usedtobe said: I hope so, need them for the win to get snow. I do find it interesting that no matter where the models say the initial band will set up it always sets up towards Carrol County. We'll see how it plays out but in my mind, the NW precip is a net +. Since the shield is going to build and then rotate out, seeing the nw extent being further than modeled "could" be a sign that there is some upside to the E and NE of DC. And I'm rooting for your yard like always. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 A little heavier lighties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I love that there is a traffic camera a mile or so south of my house on 83 that I can watch whats going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 The one thing Leesburg does well is white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 ^ lol...funny S right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just started on NE rockville. Inch per week rates but at least the event has begun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flurries finally in Columbia near Merriweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: We'll see how it plays out but in my mind, the NW precip is a net +. Since the shield is going to build and then rotate out, seeing the nw extent being further than modeled "could" be a sign that there is some upside to the E and NE of DC. And I'm rooting for your yard like always. haha Even as late as this morning, nothing was expected to start in any areas until noon - 2PM. Things look good to me, but that doesn't mean anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Occasional flurries in Columbia per mrs. WxUSAF. Anytime that radar wants to fill in over MBY would be GREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDphotog Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flurries have commenced in Glen Burnie, well in and off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 developing SW of expected. This will probably be a 3" event. three events by Dec 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The hrrr is becoming dead to me. All it does is cloud up thoughts by being contrary to more reliable guidance leading into events. Then it settles in and ends up looking like other guidance. The only reliable thing I'm seeing on a regular basis from the hrrr is precip shutoff timing. Other than that it seems to kinda suck honestly. Yep. I am pretty much sticking with the RGEM and 3K from now on. The RGEM has been very good so far this year. Even with placement of lake effect streamers. Down to flurries now. 27 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Nada in Tyson's. Seems like it's snowing all around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flurries for sure at Frisco Taphouse in Columbia. What? It’s a business meeting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 48 frame loop. It is weird how the band always sets up from Winchester to Westminster. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 A small part of it is also probably the beam height away from the radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: 48 frame loop. It is weird frustrating how the band always sets up from Winchester to Westminster. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-48 fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Very light snow here in McLean. So light that I had to go to the window to check it out myself to see if I was hallucinating or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: A small part of it is also probably the beam height away from the radar site. That is interesting. Never thought about that before. Maybe it is right on the outer edge of the radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 flurries at work in Hunt Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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