yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 00z RGEM is pretty good actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Congrats Philly and all, but this isn’t too far from some of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z RGEM is pretty good actually Check out 17z to 22z... even has a band of mod snow... close to heavy snow for an hr or two http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Check out 17z to 22z... even has a band of mod snow... close to heavy snow for an hr or two http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html I’d gladly take it. 0.15” for DC. 0.2” for Annapolis east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 00z RGEM gets 0.1 line out west to IAD and to our south near EZF. DCA ~0.15 QPF and NE MD is approaching 0.20 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 If LWX is correct in using 13:1 SR's as they mentioned in the updated evening AFD... and if the 00z RGEM were correct in its QPF placement and amounts... this would suggest 2-3" from DC towards NE MD. Help us RGEM, you are our only hope... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 6 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z RGEM gets 0.1 line out west to IAD and to our south near EZF. DCA ~0.15 QPF and NE MD is approaching 0.20 QPF Might be good for some snow tv west of 95. At least it should stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: If LWX is correct in using 13:1 SR's as they mentioned in the updated evening AFD... and if the 00z RGEM were correct in its QPF placement and amounts... this would suggest 2-3" from DC towards NE MD. Help us RGEM, you are our only hope... NAM and RGEM are pretty sweet. If I remember correctly, the 3k NAM did well during last week's snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Might be good for some snow tv west of 95. At least it should stick. Cold snow, everything that falls should stick, even on the roads that aren't salted too. If I get 2" at my house, then I'm content with this December. Hell, if we even get snowflakes, I'm content. All I want to do is top 3" for December (2.9" so far). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, eurojosh said: I'll believe it when I see it. I have no expectation for my area..this looks like a NE MD event. I think the GFS will confirm that shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 0z meso's like my yard. I'm until the gfs takes it away. It is an interesting event. Development overhead is tricky. Eastern shore folks might have another shot of shovelable snow. I'll be skeptical until it's happening. West of 95 isn't the place to be on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 00z GFS drops 0.05 at DCA... 0.10 NE MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just now, yoda said: 00z GFS drops 0.05 at DCA... 0.10 NE MD Interestingly the shield expanded west quite a bit from 18z and basically doubled qpf. 2 more runs to go. Reverse busts are great even with light events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Still gives me nothing but closer to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Who’s staying up to watch the Euro go boom!? I’m not, but always look forward to my AM coffee reading of the overnight pbp. Make it happen people! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: Who’s staying up to watch the Euro go boom!? I’m not, but always look forward to my AM coffee reading of the overnight pbp. Make it happen people! :-) When was the last time we had a pbp with the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: Who’s staying up to watch the Euro go boom!? I’m not, but always look forward to my AM coffee reading of the overnight pbp. Make it happen people! :-) I mean, I'm on Winter Break so why not . Honestly I'd take 50 weekend storms where I can stay up and track it rather than worry about school or whether school will be cancelled or not. I'm not in it for the missed school days. I'm in it for the Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1/20/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 GFS tix west w/ qpf..... and yet chuck got trolled for suggesting this could happen..... he's been "interesting" this year, but I'd be leary at dismissing as of last 2 runs and model consensus. hmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 FWIW GEM not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 1/20/16 I don't remember this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: GFS tix west w/ qpf..... and yet chuck got trolled for suggesting this could happen..... he's been "interesting" this year, but I'd be leary at dismissing as of last 2 runs and model consensus. hmmmm. I mean, he did say that he felt like last week's storm would underperform. It did kind of underperform, but barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just now, yoda said: I don't remember this event 1" of snow, but due to really cold temps caused massive delays throughout DC. I remember I had a Science test and couldn't focus cause of all the CWG posts/comments about the blizzard (didn't know about AmericanWx until the January nor'easter of last year). Had school cancelled, and our roads were basically ice skating rinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: I don't remember this event Everyone was looking ahead to the blizzard. Roads weren’t treated, it snowed a lot longer than progged, and the roads became a disaster just in time for the evening rush. I only got 1.25” but people has like 5 hour plus commutes and many just stayed downtown and didn’t bother going home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Everyone was looking ahead to the blizzard. Roads weren’t treated, it snowed a lot longer than progged, and the roads became a disaster just in time for the evening rush. I only got 1.25” but people has like 5 hour plus commutes and many just stayed downtown and didn’t bother going home. But was it modeled properly? It was just overlooked, if I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Everyone was looking ahead to the blizzard. Roads weren’t treated, it snowed a lot longer than progged, and the roads became a disaster just in time for the evening rush. I only got 1.25” but people has like 5 hour plus commutes and many just stayed downtown and didn’t bother going home. We are awfully jittery when it snows for being a snow town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just now, Cobalt said: I mean, he did say that he felt like last week's storm would underperform. It did kind of underperform, but barely. I get ya....I'm just not a fan of "speaking" in absolutes in this sport, no less trolling others for suggesting things. The beauty of a forum, its to discuss and learn. I've been doing this since some of you were still in diapers. I'm no expert by any means, but I do know well enough to never write something off...especially when trends inside 24 hours say not to... weather is a humbling sport. just an observation.... carry on :). Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Everyone was looking ahead to the blizzard. Roads weren’t treated, it snowed a lot longer than progged, and the roads became a disaster just in time for the evening rush. I only got 1.25” but people has like 5 hour plus commutes and many just stayed downtown and didn’t bother going home. Ah okay, I remember now... thanks for the explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I get ya....I'm just not a fan of "speaking" in absolutes in this sport, no less trolling others for suggesting things. The beauty of a forum, its to discuss and learn. I've been doing this since some of you were still in diapers. I'm no expert by any means, but I do know well enough to never write something off...especially when trends inside 24 hours say not to... weather is a humbling sport. just an observation.... carry on :). Nut lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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