powderfreak Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 12z runs of the NAM and GFS seem pretty darn similar for snowfall with local variations. 12z GGEM is GEM gone wild. 3km NAM/WRF 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Reggie locks in the cold . Fresh pack .. faster development, track it south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 If we can dig the northern stream by another 25-50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Yea, rgem would be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah this is a NNE special. Even WxBlue should make out. Hopefully later next week works out down here. 2 hours ago, dryslot said: GYX is pretty bullish.......... It's all about locking in the cold air at surface, which in my brief time of observing temps, think it does well around here. Yeah, GYX's forecast is a little bit more than what I was thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Rgem still goes warm past 48. Gonna need one more tick south for interior SNE to get more than 2". GFS might get it done actually but barely...esp north of pike. It's prob a bit light on the snowfall clown maps because it warms the sfc a little too fast. We want to try and see a secondary squeeze south and over CC. That would lock in the sfc at least. Might take a little more than that to keep 900 cold but even a delay or slowing down of the WAA would mean the diff between 1" and 4-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: It's all about locking in the cold air at surface, which in my brief time of observing temps, think it does well around here. Yeah, GYX's forecast is a little bit more than what I was thinking. How soon the secondary gets going will be key as well to wrap around more moisture back to the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: How soon the secondary gets going will be key as well to wrap around more moisture back to the NW Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Rgem still goes warm past 48. Gonna need one more tick south for interior SNE to get more than 2". GFS might get it done actually but barely...esp north of pike. It's prob a bit light on the snowfall clown maps because it warms the sfc a little too fast. We want to try and see a secondary squeeze south and over CC. That would lock in the sfc at least. Might take a little more than that to keep 900 cold but even a delay or slowing down of the WAA would mean the diff between 1" and 4-5". I’m just trying to keep us 32 or below and rain free. The more I look at this today, the less snowy it looks . Maybe 1-2 but I’d prefer ice instead of snow wipe out warm rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m just trying to keep us 32 or below and rain free. The more I look at this today, the less snowy it looks . Maybe 1-2 but I’d prefer ice instead of snow wipe out warm rainer Snow isnt getting wiped out where you are. Even if it goes warm, it's like low 40s for 4 hours or something. But there's a chance it stays colder at sfc. We'll see. I'd like the quick 3" thump because then you prob get a net gainer in the interior in that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Rgem still goes warm past 48. Gonna need one more tick south for interior SNE to get more than 2". GFS might get it done actually but barely...esp north of pike. It's prob a bit light on the snowfall clown maps because it warms the sfc a little too fast. We want to try and see a secondary squeeze south and over CC. That would lock in the sfc at least. Might take a little more than that to keep 900 cold but even a delay or slowing down of the WAA would mean the diff between 1" and 4-5". I'd sell, Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I really like where this has been heading the past few runs. Juicing up a bit. Naturally I'll be in NYC for some holiday family stuff on Tuesday/Wednesday so it'll definitely dump back in Stowe. As PF's enthusiasm ramps up, SNE frets. 29.9* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd sell, Will. I prob would in your spot...but further west of you I might not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 I'll buy what the GGEM is selling. Not just Tuesday, but the whole 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 48 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If we can dig the northern stream by another 25-50 miles. It will probably happen. This has the potential to be a Kocin storm if the -NAO holds just a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 51 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If we can dig the northern stream by another 25-50 250 - 500 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck said: It will probably happen. This has the potential to be a Kocin storm if the -NAO holds just a little. I don’t think this is you Charles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yea, mispoke. Need Earlier redevelopment. Northern stream doesnt dig much, it’s pretty flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Surprised, BOX is pretty bullish for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Euro has a nice little sfc reflection trying to squeeze underneath. Still best lift is North but it prob has a 2-3" thump for interior in the 495 region westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 12z Euro is colder at the surface here then 0z, More potent s/w as well by about 4mb or so, 1.10" qpf, That's like 8-10" here, Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro has a nice little sfc reflection trying to squeeze underneath. Still best lift is North but it prob has a 2-3" thump for interior in the 495 region westward. Hopefully that includes 84 region as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully that includes 84 region as well Better pike North but you prob get an inch or so and then the sfc would have trouble getting out of 30s with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Surprised, BOX is pretty bullish for this area. They were also bullish for this area yesterday and it still overperformed. A nice 2-3” refresher here is fine. The morning commute might stink though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro is colder at the surface here then 0z, More potent s/w as well by about 4mb or so, 1.10" qpf, That's like 8-10" here, Lock it up. Footer up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Footer up there Plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Ski area special bring it on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Plus That includes today's depth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That includes today's depth Yup, Just saw that, They need to work on there maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: They were also bullish for this area yesterday and it still overperformed. A nice 2-3” refresher here is fine. The morning commute might stink though That may be for most of us-commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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