LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Down to light snow or flurries on the UWS. This banding shows how far we still have to go with snow forecasting. West of the city that band will overpreform. The city looks to be right around forecast and western LI below. Unless that band pivots or a new one developes western LI will be the big loser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 It appears that Long Island on the whole is underperforming in terms of snowfall. Am I misreading things? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Down to light snow or flurries on the UWS. This banding shows how far we still have to go with snow forecasting. West of the city that band will overpreform. The city looks to be right around forecast and western LI below. Unless that band pivots or a new one developes western LI will be the big loser That band is moving east. Itll get to the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, doncat said: Snow lightened up currently with 3" on the ground. Temp 31 degrees. Same over here across the river Woodbridge NJ. Think that's it? Or should we expect a little more later? So many people from so many areas here it gets a little confusing; surprised to see people well west of me with the same amounts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, swataz said: It appears that Long Island on the whole is underperforming in terms of snowfall. Am I misreading things? Just enough to cover the grass baldwin roads sidewalks wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Same over here across the river Woodbridge NJ. Think that's it? Or should we expect a little more later? So many people from so many areas here it gets a little confusing; surprised to see people well west of me with the same amounts... That band should move over you soon. Its been heavy here the past 10 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3" down with moderate snow continuing. Temp 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Moderate snow now for the last 20 minutes or so, havent checked snowboard in awhile but closing in on 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: That band should move over you soon. Its been heavy here the past 10 minutes Happening right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Heavy band consolidating and moving east towards NYC and Boroughs over the next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 13 minutes ago, swataz said: It appears that Long Island on the whole is underperforming in terms of snowfall. Am I misreading things? You are correct. Only 1.5”. No need for warning. Don’t see how we even get to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Not sticking to the streets/sidewalks here in Central Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 yep, nothing on paved surfaces, i can still see the grass in my backyard. weak. and upton still has 6" for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Upton was bullish even after the six hour delay in the start of things. Now that the banding has set up unfavorably, either they see something we don’t, or they aren’t willing to give up the ghost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3" here so far. Should get to 4"-5" with this band moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Just now, swataz said: Upton was bullish even after the six hour delay in the start of things. Now that the banding has set up unfavorably, either they see something we don’t, or they aren’t willing to give up the ghost. Band should swing through all of LI later. Don't give up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Probably going to start sticking on streets everywhere in next 30 mins. Usually 1 hour before sunset is when it starts when it’s been struggling and you’re 32 or lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2017 Author Share Posted December 9, 2017 Steady light snow all day. Can't ask for much more. ~2" with nothing on the pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2017 Author Share Posted December 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: You are correct. Only 1.5”. No need for warning. Don’t see how we even get to 4 I think you get to 4". It will start sticking more easily with the sun going down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 2.5” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 3.25" storm total so far. 30* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Roads all covered here except parts of the thruway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 ~2.5 on grass and now really starting to stick to pavement in Belle Mead...from the last half hour on we have had our heaviest rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdenzler Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 It appears that Long Island on the whole is underperforming in terms of snowfall. Am I misreading things?No.. about 1.5"... South shore Western Suffolk... been mostly light snow... Now we are in a dry slot... east end south fork might be changing to rain....Most lift was city West... Surprising given how far south the storm is... Even Philly getting more than us given what I am seeing on tv with army vs navy.Sent from my Moto G (4) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 5 minutes ago, tdenzler said: No.. about 1.5"... South shore Western Suffolk... been mostly light snow... Now we are in a dry slot... east end south fork might be changing to rain.... Most lift was city West... Surprising given how far south the storm is... Even Philly getting more than us given what I am seeing on tv with army vs navy. Sent from my Moto G (4) using Tapatalk There's still time for you guys to make it up. Maybe not 6" but 3 or 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Two photos from mid-afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 2.5" on grassy surfaces, 3"+ on cars that have been sitting and elevated surfaces, streets are completely covered but I suspect that the main streets are still wet in the traffic areas with shoulders and centers snowcovered but that will change in the next few minutes as the temp has dropped below 30 now. Flake size is much smaller than it was earlier but visibility is about half of what it was at less than 2 blocks now. Looks like 4-5" is reasonable and that's what was forecasted as of late yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Radar looks good. The highest levels of frontogenesis are aligned with the storm's movement, so there will be almost a training effect with any banding that develops. Looks like the area is line for a solid moderate event. Due to the nature of strong banding, some areas to the NW are experiencing subsidence, like the White Plains area. Now, let's look at some upper level data. This data is taken from the 12z NAM for KLGA. Looks like there will be some decent lift in the atmosphere, so parcels will be able to rise somewhat easily and saturate. The column itself is already very moist, as saturation is occurring at around 600mb. This is conducive for heavier precipitation. Based on the 700mb vorticity on the 18z NAM, it appears that the area of elevated lift will move farther east as the storm progresses up the coast, sweeping through the NYC area and onto LI. This would produce one strong band with high snowfall rates embedded. There also looks to be high levels of frontogenesis aloft, which will also work to bring heavier snowfall rates to the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 LI folks are canceling too early. The entire heavy band and CCB will cross LI later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Up to 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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