tnweathernut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, ShawnEastTN said: I know this probably doesn't belong in this thread but relates to our current storm, HRRR keeps showing a nice pulse up the great valley around 7PM tonight, looking at its snow total output looks like most of the HRRR snow totals show coming from that pulse this evening into early night. I have been noticing that too, Shawn. It's been a consistent feature in the HRRR. Looking forward to that falling at night (if it's real), should stick to everything once the sun goes down.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: I know this probably doesn't belong in this thread but relates to our current storm, HRRR keeps showing a nice pulse up the great valley around 7PM tonight, looking at its snow total output looks like most of the HRRR snow totals show coming from that pulse this evening into early night. Yep, I've been keeping an eye on that. MRX has snow tapering off by then. They've been slowly adjusting to the modeling all day, I guess they'll get around to extending the snow chances to early morning before it's over with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: I know this probably doesn't belong in this thread but relates to our current storm, HRRR keeps showing a nice pulse up the great valley around 7PM tonight, looking at its snow total output looks like most of the HRRR snow totals show coming from that pulse this evening into early night. I was just about to say that the HRRR just continues to put out amazing snow totals on that second impulse overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caitsaunt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Nice steady snow falling on Signal Mountain, but the roads are fine so far. School dismissed early, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 17z HRRR snow totals assuming 10:1 ratio. Note it still has snow falling on the last frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Jed33 said: I was just about to say that the HRRR just continues to put out amazing snow totals on that second impulse overnight. Folks in the NC thread have been talking about that all day. They think the last push of this storm is gonna Be impressive. Models continue with o trend that way also. The timing of that last push will work perfect for you all in at east Tn, mountain areas should see some impressive totals for sure. It always amazes me how these storms evolve and increase/decrease performance over a 12 hour period!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Column must be moistening and cooling. Intensity has really picked up here. Moderate snow south of Bristol near the S. Holston River. Ground got white in a hurry. Probably 1/4-1/3" on the ground already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Column must be moistening and cooling. Intensity has really picked up here. Moderate snow south of Bristol near the S. Holston River. Ground got white in a hurry. Probably 1/4-1/3" on the ground already. That's awesome, keep me updated on how it turns out for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 12z Euro expanded Nw some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Still dry here unfortunately, this makes the second time in a year I've been burned by virga. The temperature remains steady at 31F with the dew point unknown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Made it back home. About an inch here in the hills east of town with light snow still falling. The radar echoes kinda died off but there is still a lot of downstream moisture. I’ll be very curious to see how much Ducktown winds up with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 HRRR continues to back down from its 17Z beauty for those of us on the western fringe. SREF was down to a 2.3" mean at the 15Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 There will be a few more pulses per the HRRR, this was bonus snow for many that got it, most modeling had it moving in over night as the low moves north. The current run of the HRRR has snow over my area, hopefully it happens, I'd settle for flakes in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Good luck, John. I hope you and others on our forum score some white stuff! If nothing else, I am encouraged to see a system out of the gulf that snowed in the deep south/southeast so early in the year. Hopefully there will be more to come this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The radar seems to be looking a little better to the south west so maybe I will catch the edge of the precipitation. It is going to be close for people in West Knoxville. The East of the county is looking good but it is great seeing something this early. Congrats to all who are getting snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Both the 21z RAP and HRRR are still showing the 2 additional surges this evening and late tonight. I don't know if it'll amount to much over here in west Knoxville or not. I'm happy to have gotten a nice snow shower today so I'll call it a win. Anything else is a bonus. Congrats to all who saw snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Got a pic from ETSU, looked like about 1.5 to 2 inches on the ground there. I think there might be 2-3 more inches east of 81 down to East of Noog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, John1122 said: Got a pic from ETSU, looked like about 1.5 to 2 inches on the ground there. I think there might be 2-3 more inches east of 81 down to East of Noog. John please give us a heads up before you head down to Nooga to visit family again. I'd like to be able to stock up on salt for the dumping of snow we'll certainly get along I-40 and north when you're away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I'm going next weekend most likely, if not then, I'm going for New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 measured 2.1" so far here in Tellico...still light snow. Ground temps were a little to warm, still some melting going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, John1122 said: I'm going next weekend most likely, if not then, I'm going for New Years. Thanks man! Speaking of, we need Uncle Nasty to chime in and give us some obs from the southern valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Cough...wow things went quiet. Anyway the models have continued to support a final wave of snow passing through the far eastern forum area. With the significant loss of activity the development of the low by the carolinas (at least from what others have mentioned) will determine if the precipitation shield is revived and back builds northwest. I'd say the next three hours will determine if the outcome pans out. Oh, and to make the post legitimate the current temperature is 29F with current winds from the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Snow is in fact expanding outward on radar (supposedly) as the models have shown, maybe even more than I expected. I think I'll finally call it a night and see if I awake to anything. Currently 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Picked up another 1.2" overnight, storm total of 3.1" here in Tellico. More along the foothills just outside town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Congrats to everyone who saw snow! My office in Erwin, TN saw snow almost time the entire day yesterday. Picked up around 2.5 inches there. Likely added more overnight and into this morning. North JC had around an inch yesterday. A small stripe of snow did finally develop over parts of east and northeast TN early early this AM, but the HRRR missed on such an expansive and long duration back build that was supposed to have started around 8PM last night! Even though this winter storm missed a large part of the TN Valley, it was a historic storm in parts of the Deep South and gulf coast region! 10" just north and west of Atlanta, thunder snow around New Orleans, heavy snow in northern Mexico and parts of south Texas, light snow reported in Pensacola, FL..... all before the winter solstice. Not to mention some of the western NC mountain folk getting crushed! Really happy for those guys and what this early season snow (and pattern) will do for their ski season!! I hope this pattern is one that repeats a couple of times as we head into true winter.....should be more fun ahead if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Well I'm not going to lie, I'm disappointed, the HRRR pulled me in. For hours models showed snowfall and remained consistent, technically in fact the radar even verified it! Except, nothing not a flake made it to the ground! I must have set a new world record for the most snowfall sublimating over me in a single storm! If such as a single flake hits the ground from the clipper it will be a miracle! Total Accumulated Snowfall for December 8-9, 2017 at 7:00 A.M. 0.00" Seriously though congrats to those who did in fact see snow! especially those along the gulf coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Don't feel bad, all I saw was flurries and a little light snow fall for just a while, never heavy enough to accumulate. Though if I go only about 10 miles east there is snow on the ground. Just one of those storms, but happy to even see something like this come through in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 1 hour ago, BlunderStorm said: Well I'm not going to lie, I'm disappointed, the HRRR pulled me in. For hours models showed snowfall and remained consistent, technically in fact the radar even verified it! Except, nothing not a flake made it to the ground! I must have set a new world record for the most snowfall sublimating over me in a single storm! If such as a single flake hits the ground from the clipper it will be a miracle! Total Accumulated Snowfall for December 8-9, 2017 at 7:00 A.M. 0.00" Seriously though congrats to those who did in fact see snow! especially those along the gulf coast! Well, you are in a great spot most storms.... I know the frustration with not getting hit. There have been numerous times in the last decade where SW Va was getting mauled by heavy snow and northeast TN was in a battle to stay mixed precip. Glad you are in our forum and hope the next one hits you squarely. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Picked up about 3/4 in of new snow overnight. Total between yesterday and last night was right around 1in. Yes, I was one of those who also succumbed to the HRRR. It sure looked great, but when it wasn't verifying around 7-9 PM last night, I began to even doubt any of it would verify. Woke up pleasantly surprised. Still, it's early in the winter season for sure. I'll consider an inch this time of year a win. Maybe we'll all have a big storm roll through later this month or next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Not a single flake here, now waiting on the clipper to see if it can wring out a snow shower or two. Of course it's clipping faster than predicted and will arrive at peak afternoon heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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