terpsnation Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The inner weenie in me says toss the 12 and hug the 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Between 42 & 43 hours, 3 k regenerates precip. I think u/l low approaches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Dry air intrusion between 2nd and 3rd precip waves is the key, currently over Dallas TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3K NAM looks almost identical to the GFS and is a northern Frederick County VA screw job. I am gonna need another 10 mile shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: Between 42 & 43 hours, 3 k regenerates precip. I think u/l low approaches Precip ever so slightly NW on 3 k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 12k NAM has line of precip/no precip in the exact same spot, and still has DC in 0.4" of QPF FWIW 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Precip ever so slightly NW on 3 k. Still going at 43 hours too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3km NAM is backbuilding the surface low down the SC coast. That's a very nnam thing to do 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do you see that on 12K...click through 39-48...LP jumps backward 3knam does that at 36-42hrs. The line of thunderstorms over the gulf-stream is causing it a lot of confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: 12k NAM has line of precip/no precip in the exact same spot, and still has DC in 0.4" of QPF FWIW 18z Yeah the 0.4” shifted like 10 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3k looked sweet. Don't know what the qpf will look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Still going at 43 hours too Ends around hr 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3km NAM has it snowing in DC proper for 17 hours. 12km NAM says 7 hours. Glad we've reached a consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Still going at 43 hours too Looks similar in placement but may not be quite as nice as happy hour. Still not too shabby fr you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Waiting for one more frame for the hr 51... but 3km NAM has 0.5" QPF line just about running the I-95 corridor at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I like seeing the precip shield all the way out near far Western VA. All we would need is one big heavy snow band and we're golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Looks similar in placement but may not be quite as nice as happy hour. Still not too shabby fr you guys. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017120800&fh=52&xpos=0&ypos=80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017120800&fh=52&xpos=0&ypos=80Switch that out for the Ferrier Total Snowfall and you'll get a better look, FYI. Mostly the same around here but it changes some of the prettier colors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Looks similar in placement but may not be quite as nice as happy hour. Still not too shabby fr you guys. Depends what expectations were. I think many of us were expecting another shift west. So having them essentially hold steady or maybe regress some is a let down. Especially for those of us west of the 95 corridor that need another west shift to get anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Precip for 3k NAM: Compared to 18z NAM: 0.5" QPF farther West, but 0.4" farther East. Weirdly enough precip/no precip line is farther West too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017120800&fh=52&xpos=0&ypos=80 I need about ten miles so I can use my snowblower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Precip for 3k NAM: Compared to 18z NAM: 0.5" QPF farther West, but 0.4" farther East. Weirdly enough precip/no precip line is farther West too. But precip is further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll take the 3knam and call it a day. ..and im on the west edge..1 -2" verbatim with below freezing temps thruout is fine with me. Same here. Still plenty time left for decent improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: I need about ten miles so I can use my snowblower. You want to rip up your lawn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Wonderdog said: But precip is further west. I said that It just seems like a tighter gradient between 0.5" QPF and 0.3" and then it levels off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, leesburg 04 said: You want to rip up your lawn? I'll be throwing down some ice before it starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Depends what expectations were. I think many of us were expecting another shift west. So having them essentially hold steady or maybe regress some is a let down. Especially for those of us west of the 95 corridor that need another west shift to get anything. Yeah I was in that camp as well so I get it. Im back to fringed and in truth didn’t expect another jog to make it to MBY regardless. GFS is gonna be big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, pasnownut said: Yeah I was in that camp as well so I get it. Im back to fringed and in truth didn’t expect another jog to make it to MBY regardless. GFS is gonna be big I hate being just about on the line near I-95. Some storms I feel like I'm farther NW than I actually am, and some storms I feel slightly SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Yeah I was in that camp as well so I get it. Im back to fringed and in truth didn’t expect another jog to make it to MBY regardless. GFS is gonna be big Gonna be an all nighter...I took leave for tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Best part about being on the fringe, whatever we get is gravy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.