mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 At 28 hrs, a little slower with main slp still in the Gulf vs. Off Carolina coast at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Pire guess at 28, but looks like better attempt at phase....guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: 9/10 was a long time ago...I went from nothing to 3 inches in 12 hours...that isn't hopeless Indeed 9/10 seems like ancient history, as does 16. Believe me, nobody here wants a good dump more than I do (and I do mean snow). My avatar should help convey that. When we get enough to plow I'm out for 6-8 hours or more plowing everyone in the neighborhood. The collective will of this forum is a powerful thing... Great to see things come west with the track. Hope it holds true... Pretty amazing how much brine NVA VDOT has applied already. Nearly the entire way home along Rt 28, the toll road, Hunter Mill and Lawyers Rd is brined already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Northern stream not digging as deep at 36....precip mostly east of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Precip blossoming in deep south away from coast excellent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Pire guess at 28, but looks like better attempt at phase....guess Out to 34...not sure what to think..tough to judge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Not sure why it looks so much prettier on Pivotal... vs. wxbell agrees with TT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: Precip blossoming in deep south away from coast excellent Southern wave is stronger this run...might offset the digging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Low is 1 point lower at 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Low is 1 point lower at 15z 1002 vs. 1003 and closer to coast but precip looks weak. Pivotal map seems to make more sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: 1002 vs. 1003 and closer to coast but precip looks weak. Pivotal map seems to make more sense Yeah, it seems to represent it better. Not sure why NAM has precip further East by a hair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Not sure why it looks so much prettier on Pivotal... vs. wxbell agrees with TT. The top image is composite reflectivity. The bottom image is 1km reflectivity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 What just happened? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3K looks unchanged at 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, leesburg 04 said: What just happened? lol NAM looks like it should bring precip farther west. It FEELS like it should be farther west, but it kinda keeps it in the same place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: What just happened? lol Reality settled in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: NAM looks like it should bring precip farther west. It FEELS like it should be farther west, but it kinda keeps it in the same place Isn't the 3K better NAM if you can say that. Let's see where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: Isn't the 3K better NAM if you can say that. Let's see where it goes 3K NAM further west through hr 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3km precip shield looks a decent bit west compared to 12km (and west of 18z 3km). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 hours ago, Cobalt said: It will keep trending NW. This happens with most noreasters. At most you guys will get .1 or maybe .2" of precip if you're lucky Isn't the nam getting retired? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 12k Nam similar snowfall map imby to 18z, but it looks a little worse out to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 When you don't like one nam just go to the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Too many doing pbp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Ji said: When you don't like one nam just go to the other Words of wisdom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3k NAM at hr 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Isn't the 3K better NAM if you can say that. Let's see where it goes 12k Not gonna do it this run. Surface similar but qpf ticked east ever so slightly....but there isnt much room to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Something is screwy with the 12K...look at 45 and 48...did the LP just jump SW?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 NAMs saying 2 different things, which is correct? Neither!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Amped said: 2 NAMs saying 2 different things, which is correct? The one that has the most snow FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: 2 NAMs saying 2 different things, which is correct? Neither!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Do you see that on 12K...click through 39-48...LP jumps backward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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