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December 8/9 wave


psuhoffman

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Nice trend at H5 and H25. I can see the qpf shield being thrown back more to NW like the globals have to match the look. In meantime, 3km looks good so far. It just nailed a prime meso event 36 hours out at one of my sites along the Rio Grande, so don’t dismiss too much just because of how far out in time it is for the model. This is a pretty interesting synoptic pattern to say the least.


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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I'm not sure we're grasping how close to a phase we are on the NAM

Can definitely see that, looping back and comparing to previous cycles.  the NS wave is clearly digging more southwest, and the SS wave closes off.  Not saying we'll see it happen in subsequent runs of this model or any others, but definitely very close.

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