MillvilleWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The better jet alignment over the NE will probably lead to another 40-50 mile shift in the overall QPF shield. I’ll let it play out, but if you want a better expansion of precip on the NW side, this is exactly what you want to see. Atmosphere is slowed a touch with the more amplified look East of the Rockies. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 NAM might starting getting into its ridiculous phase in a sec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 NAM with a pretty big jump NW at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looks like relatively slight chances at the surface and 500, but the precip does look farther west too. But this is only out to 28h on TT right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 just compare the precipitable water normalized and compare to last run https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pwata&runtime=2017120718&fh=33&xpos=0&ypos=408 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Funny commercial in this threadSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 This looks like it will be bigSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 NAM looks decent for DC. Hour 45 has light snow into the city. Still a sharp cutoff to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Precip shield split on this run. Both streams are further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: NAM looks decent for DC. Hour 45 has light snow into the city. Still a sharp cutoff to the west. The SW side of thre precip down into NC and VA is further west, so I'm anxious to see how that plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Look at the differences with 12z GFS in the south, it's totally different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Oh, wow at closed 500mb low and NS really trying to merge: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The northern stream is dropping into the back side and its pumping heights out in front instead of squashing it like previous runs. Closed H5 in southern Miss. Hopefully the globals show this later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Driving home from Fairfax in the roads are brined kiss of death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just misses a phase, southern stream is too slow,northern stream too fast or whatever you want to call it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 997mb "wave" along the old front off of OBX. Not too shabby. Room to deepen this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, Amped said: Just misses a phase, southern stream is too slow,northern stream too fast or whatever you want to call it. Trend still good. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 00z is wetter than 18z in scenario 3/4 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 redevelops to a 997 off NC/VA capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 So so close to a phase. The trend keeps slowing the NS and digging it South instead of being merely a 'kicker'. We may get there yet by the time Saturday rolls around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: So so close to a phase. The trend keeps slowing the NS and digging it South instead of being merely a 'kicker'. We may get there yet by the time Saturday rolls around. think the stuff in VA slams us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 pivot at 54 hrs on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 We buy. Still snowing at 51 at DCA. Cutoff is gonna be brutal though if it plays out close to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Geez....993 mb East of DelMarVa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 SBY has some p-type issues this run..yeah bring that heavy snow area NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: pivot at 54 hrs on radar looks like a march event. if the precip is light..its rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Maps? Driving atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Temps hover around 32-34... Perfectly workable for at least mulch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I'm not sure we're grasping how close to a phase we are on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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