Ji Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That was yesterday. It expired at 1:30pm yesterday. your usually naked on facebook anyway....:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Not sure if we're done shifting NW yet honestly. This one is starting to have that feel of backing into a good event @ 2 day leads. I look at the changes we have seen @500 over the last couple of runs and I think I tend to agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, H2O said: I'm with @mappy I've lost count the # of times there's been a storm like this with iffy temps. My area always looks great and unless I get rates it either white rains or melts on contact. Very skeptical and thats because I know my climo We aren't usually on the NW side on those, though. Given the cold upper-air, I'm not really too concerned at the surface. We can accumulate at 33ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I'm supposed to be in Philly Saturday evening with some buddies for a concert. option 1) change nothing and drive up 95 around lunch Saturday in the white rain option 2) panic and leave friday night because 3-6" of juicy powder is gonna turn the megalopolis into a december winter wonderland This is banter, I apologize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: We aren't usually on the NW side on those, though. Given the cold upper-air, I'm not really too concerned at the surface. We can accumulate at 33ish. Dec 5th 2009. higher elevations did better than me and it was a marginal temp event. I had a dusting and 2 miles away had 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I still would like to see the EPS even though we are now inside about 60 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Stormvista snow map looks more realistic IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 If it’s any consolation, tomorrow’s peak sun angle (around 28°) is the equivalent sun angle at 9:30am at the end of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, H2O said: Dec 5th 2009. higher elevations did better than me and it was a marginal temp event. I had a dusting and 2 miles away had 2" I was just thinking of that one. First snow in the new home...I was expecting some wet flakes and perhaps a slushting, but ended up with about 3" or so of mashed potatoes on raised surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Easy for you to say when a bird can fart up in Jackpotsville and you'll have deck pics of 2-4". I think that bird flew the coop last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 When’s the radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 My bird died last year if that's what we are using for snows. i ordered a replacement one using amazon Prime. If it doesn't snow then the delivery drone crashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Time to break out another WxWatcher Special: The Mid-Atlantic Fraud Five. If you're relying on any of these for a significant event you're on shaky ground. 1. Rates 2. Ratios 3. Thundersnow 4. Marginal Temps (not CAD we do well there) 5. Last Second Trend I actually think we're good here. Like MN Transplant said, we're on the NW side of this one with cold air in place. Also, I don't think anyone is expecting a siggy event. Easy for you to say when a bird can fart up in Jackpotsville and you'll have deck pics of 2-4". We've had more recent good trends during winter. Last season we snatched some measurable events at the very last second. That was after they trended in the wrong direction, but it was measurable nonetheless trying too hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 ALERT the RGEM is running now http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html It's popping up on TT too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 PSU saved this storm, by starting the storm thread way late, when very few people cared, and things looked bleak. New protocol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: shh I'm trying to rile the weenies up. What was your seasonal total last year? 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ji said: your usually naked on facebook anyway....:) you're Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 CMC is just ok...light stuff on the outer fringe where we are...destroys NYC and BOS tho EDIT: Maybe i'm looking at the wrong damn map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: CMC is just ok...light stuff on the outer fringe where we are...destroys NYC and BOS tho Where are you seeing the data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Where are you seeing the data? http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 RGEM looks east for us. Looks real good NYC/Boston. Probably 3-6 up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: CMC is just ok...light stuff on the outer fringe where we are...destroys NYC and BOS tho The one model that has it right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 FWIW, althought its about time to transition to the Ops vs the ENS...the GEFS precip map looks rather similar to the King's Op. Just looking for trends/continuity. Heck this morning i was waving to y'all while smoking cirrus now i can smell it with a little more luck, i may get to see it too.... Carry on... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I am back... Just had Fios installed. what did I miss? Will it be an even happier hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: RGEM looks east for us. Looks real good NYC/Boston. Probably 3-6 up that way. it would be nice to have all the m,odels in the same camp (so we could stress over all of them, I guess! lol), but the RGEM, for whatever reason, has been lousy since the 14/15 winter. But it's at the end of it's run so there's that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: I am back... Just had Fios installed. what did I miss? Will it be an even happier hour? After yesterdays happy hour crap fest, today is heading all the right way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Must be snow. I get a post alert every minute now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: CMC is just ok...light stuff on the outer fringe where we are...destroys NYC and BOS tho EDIT: Maybe i'm looking at the wrong damn map remember how good it felt yesterday to have the CMC in our camp and the euro not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ji said: remember how good it felt yesterday to have the CMC in our camp and the euro not? yesterday it felt good to have any model in our camp NAVGEM has stuck by us through thick and thin......time for it to take us home with 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 31 minutes ago, stormtracker said: you're *You're Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.